StockPicker Backtest

Window	Picks	Hit rate	Avg return
All time	175	77.7%	3.40%
Last 90 days	175	77.7%	3.40%
Last 60 days	175	77.7%	3.40%
Last 40 days	89	92.1%	5.30%

Agent	Picks selected	Hit rate	Avg return	Solo picks
Aria	139	79.1%	4.06%	3
Blaze	59	79.7%	2.29%	0
Nova	90	78.9%	3.04%	0
Orion	146	78.8%	3.39%	2
Quinn	16	100%	6.62%	0

Pick position	Picks	Hit rate	Avg return	Avg days to target
Pick 1	46	80.4%	2.93%	8.5
Pick 2	41	78.0%	2.97%	10.1
Pick 3	35	85.7%	4.74%	10.8
Pick 4	28	71.4%	3.78%	7.4
Pick 5	25	68.0%	2.65%	10.2

Probability bucket	Samples	Raw agent %	Empirical hit rate	Calibrated rate
50–59%	11	~54%	64 %	64 %
60–69%	136	~64%	77 %	77 %
70–79%	28	~74%	86 %	86 %

Symbol	Run Date	Entry	Actual %	Hit?
IBM	2026-05-24	253.84	17.32%	HIT
IBM	2026-05-25	253.84	17.32%	HIT
CSCO	2026-05-12	98.72	17.03%	HIT
ORCL	2026-05-12	193.84	16.48%	HIT
ORCL	2026-05-11	195.95	15.22%	HIT

Symbol	Run Date	Entry	Actual %	Hit?
NVDA	2026-05-17	225.32	-100.00%	MISS
UNH	2026-05-17	393.85	-100.00%	MISS
ACN	2026-06-02	196.59	-29.58%	MISS
AKAM	2026-06-02	154.01	-28.55%	MISS
APP	2026-05-29	599.89	-20.47%	MISS

All Picks

Rank	Symbol	Company	Index	Run Date	Entry Price	Target %	Target Price	Hit?	Days	Actual %	Price on Target Date
1	ACGL	Arch Capital Group Ltd.	S&P 500	2026-07-01	97.06	+5.0%	101.91	HIT	1	5.30%	—
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-26	668.00	+5.0%	701.40	HIT	4	8.23%	—
1	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-25	162.78	+5.0%	170.92	HIT	5	8.32%	—
2	ALL	The Allstate Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-25	233.54	+5.0%	245.22	HIT	7	7.19%	—
3	ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-25	234.89	+5.0%	246.63	HIT	1	7.86%	—
1	ALL	The Allstate Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-24	231.55	+5.0%	243.13	HIT	8	8.11%	—
1	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-23	165.96	+5.0%	174.26	HIT	7	6.24%	—
1	ANET	Arista Networks, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-18	164.93	+5.0%	173.18	HIT	4	5.84%	—
2	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-18	592.92	+5.0%	622.57	HIT	4	7.97%	—
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-17	568.23	+5.0%	596.64	HIT	1	8.60%	—
2	ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-17	141.20	+5.0%	148.26	HIT	15	5.47%	—
1	AMCR	Amcor plc	S&P 500	2026-06-16	41.11	+5.0%	43.17	HIT	14	5.45%	—
2	ALLE	Allegion plc	S&P 500	2026-06-16	133.70	+5.0%	140.39	HIT	14	5.08%	—
1	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-15	153.80	+5.0%	161.49	HIT	3	6.61%	—
2	BAX	Baxter International Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-15	20.86	+5.0%	21.90	HIT	11	5.66%	—
3	AXP	American Express Company	S&P 500	2026-06-15	325.44	+5.0%	341.71	HIT	9	5.26%	—
1	BAX	Baxter International Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-14	20.86	+5.0%	21.90	HIT	12	5.66%	—
2	AXP	American Express Company	S&P 500	2026-06-14	325.44	+5.0%	341.71	HIT	10	5.26%	—
3	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-14	567.25	+5.0%	595.61	HIT	4	8.79%	—
1	BAX	Baxter International Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-14	20.86	+5.0%	21.90	HIT	12	5.66%	—
2	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-14	153.80	+5.0%	161.49	HIT	4	6.61%	—
3	AXP	American Express Company	S&P 500	2026-06-14	325.44	+5.0%	341.71	HIT	10	5.26%	—
1	ANET	Arista Networks, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-14	163.24	+5.0%	171.40	HIT	8	6.93%	—
2	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-14	153.80	+5.0%	161.49	HIT	4	6.61%	—
3	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-14	567.25	+5.0%	595.61	HIT	4	8.79%	—
4	AXP	American Express Company	S&P 500	2026-06-14	325.44	+5.0%	341.71	HIT	10	5.26%	—
1	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-12	152.46	+5.0%	160.08	HIT	5	5.67%	—
2	AJG	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	S&P 500	2026-06-12	220.90	+5.0%	231.98	HIT	19	8.50%	—
3	BAX	Baxter International Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-12	20.49	+5.0%	21.51	HIT	13	5.17%	—
4	AMGN	Amgen Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-12	354.06	+5.0%	371.76	HIT	20	5.67%	—
5	AON	Aon plc	S&P 500	2026-06-12	335.17	+5.0%	352.33	HIT	20	6.65%	—
1	AJG	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	S&P 500	2026-06-12	220.90	+5.0%	231.95	HIT	19	8.50%	—
2	BAX	Baxter International Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-12	20.49	+5.0%	21.51	HIT	13	5.17%	—
3	MMM	3M Company	S&P 500	2026-06-12	157.91	+5.0%	165.81	HIT	12	5.07%	—
4	AON	Aon plc	S&P 500	2026-06-12	335.17	+5.0%	351.93	HIT	20	6.65%	—
5	APH	Amphenol Corporation	S&P 500	2026-06-12	152.46	+5.0%	160.08	HIT	5	5.67%	—
1	ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-08	227.23	+5.0%	238.59	HIT	17	7.00%	—
2	AMGN	Amgen Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-08	349.58	+5.0%	367.06	HIT	24	7.03%	—
1	ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-07	227.23	+5.0%	238.59	HIT	18	7.00%	—
2	AMGN	Amgen Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-07	349.58	+5.0%	367.06	HIT	25	7.03%	—
3	AXON	Axon Enterprise, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-07	486.12	+5.0%	510.43	HIT	22	5.04%	—
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-05	501.70	+5.0%	526.79	HIT	6	10.15%	—
1	AXON	Axon Enterprise, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-04	481.48	+5.0%	505.55	HIT	0	6.59%	—
2	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-04	500.77	+5.0%	525.81	HIT	7	10.36%	—
3	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-04	542.52	+5.0%	569.64	HIT	26	7.08%	—
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-03	490.05	+5.0%	514.55	HIT	8	12.77%	—
2	AAPL	Apple Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-03	315.20	+5.0%	330.96	MISS	—	-2.08%	308.63
3	ARE	Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-03	52.74	+5.0%	55.38	HIT	26	5.40%	—
4	A	Agilent Technologies, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-03	135.05	+5.0%	141.80	MISS	—	-3.23%	130.69
5	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-03	521.54	+5.0%	547.62	HIT	19	5.77%	—
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-02	458.17	+5.0%	481.08	HIT	0	6.96%	—
2	APTV	Aptiv PLC	S&P 500	2026-06-02	68.60	+5.0%	72.03	HIT	0	7.65%	—
3	AKAM	Akamai Technologies, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-02	154.01	+5.0%	161.71	MISS	—	-28.55%	110.04
4	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-02	510.13	+5.0%	535.64	HIT	1	6.35%	—
5	ACN	Accenture plc	S&P 500	2026-06-02	196.59	+5.0%	206.42	MISS	—	-29.58%	138.44
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-01	450.06	+5.0%	472.56	HIT	1	8.89%	—
2	APTV	Aptiv PLC	S&P 500	2026-06-01	67.94	+5.0%	71.34	HIT	1	8.70%	—
3	FRT	Federal Realty Investment Trust	S&P 500	2026-06-01	119.63	+5.0%	125.61	HIT	11	5.19%	—
4	AXON	Axon Enterprise, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-01	448.72	+5.0%	471.06	HIT	0	6.28%	—
5	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-06-01	516.10	+5.0%	541.91	HIT	2	5.12%	—
1	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-31	450.06	+5.0%	472.56	HIT	2	8.89%	—
2	APTV	Aptiv PLC	S&P 500	2026-05-31	67.94	+5.0%	71.34	HIT	2	8.70%	—
3	AXON	Axon Enterprise, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-31	448.72	+5.0%	471.16	HIT	1	6.28%	—
4	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-31	516.10	+5.0%	541.91	HIT	3	5.12%	—
5	ARES	Ares Management Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-31	128.50	+5.0%	134.93	HIT	15	5.34%	—
1	APP	AppLovin Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-29	599.89	+5.0%	629.88	MISS	—	-20.47%	477.08
2	AXON	Axon Enterprise, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-29	439.32	+5.0%	461.29	HIT	3	8.55%	—
3	APTV	Aptiv PLC	S&P 500	2026-05-29	63.67	+5.0%	66.85	HIT	0	6.71%	—
4	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-29	449.68	+5.0%	472.16	HIT	4	8.98%	—
5	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-29	518.09	+5.0%	543.99	HIT	17	5.63%	—
1	ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-28	215.40	+5.0%	226.42	HIT	8	5.49%	—
2	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-28	448.25	+5.0%	470.66	HIT	5	9.33%	—
3	BAX	Baxter International Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-28	19.33	+5.0%	20.30	HIT	13	5.07%	—
4	ARE	Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-28	49.93	+5.0%	52.43	HIT	5	5.63%	—
1	APP	AppLovin Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-27	514.24	+5.0%	540.30	HIT	0	10.42%	—
2	AMT	American Tower Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-27	184.95	+5.0%	194.20	MISS	—	-5.06%	175.59
3	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-27	503.89	+5.0%	529.08	HIT	7	7.67%	—
4	AMAT	Applied Materials, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-27	454.89	+5.0%	477.63	HIT	6	7.73%	—
5	AAPL	Apple Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-27	308.33	+5.0%	323.75	MISS	—	-7.96%	283.78
1	LLY	Eli Lilly and Company	S&P 500	2026-05-26	1065.00	+5.0%	1118.25	HIT	2	5.80%	—
2	NOW	ServiceNow, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-26	102.13	+5.0%	107.24	HIT	2	6.46%	—
3	GS	The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-26	996.73	+5.0%	1046.57	HIT	6	5.20%	—
4	MS	Morgan Stanley	S&P 500	2026-05-26	201.03	+5.0%	211.08	HIT	7	6.94%	—
5	ASML	ASML Holding N.V.	S&P 500	2026-05-26	1632.90	+5.0%	1714.55	HIT	8	5.72%	—
1	NOW	ServiceNow, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-25	102.13	+5.0%	107.24	HIT	3	6.46%	—
2	IBM	International Business Machines Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-25	253.84	+5.0%	266.53	HIT	4	17.32%	—
3	LLY	Eli Lilly and Company	S&P 500	2026-05-25	1065.00	+5.0%	1118.25	HIT	3	5.80%	—
4	MS	Morgan Stanley	S&P 500	2026-05-25	201.03	+5.0%	211.08	HIT	8	6.94%	—
5	TXN	Texas Instruments Incorporated	S&P 500	2026-05-25	309.21	+5.0%	324.67	HIT	1	5.07%	—
1	IBM	International Business Machines Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-24	253.84	+5.0%	266.53	HIT	5	17.32%	—
2	NOW	ServiceNow, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-24	102.13	+5.0%	107.24	HIT	4	6.46%	—
3	LLY	Eli Lilly and Company	S&P 500	2026-05-24	1065.00	+5.0%	1118.25	HIT	4	5.80%	—
4	CRM	Salesforce, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-24	180.07	+5.0%	189.07	HIT	5	6.13%	—
5	ASML	ASML Holding N.V.	S&P 500	2026-05-24	1632.90	+5.0%	1714.55	HIT	10	5.72%	—
1	STAN.L	Standard Chartered PLC	Ftse 100	2026-05-22	1946.00	+5.0%	2043.30	HIT	10	6.01%	—
2	HSBA.L	HSBC Holdings plc	Ftse 100	2026-05-22	1374.20	+5.0%	1442.91	MISS	—	4.18%	1431.60
3	DGE.L	Diageo plc	Ftse 100	2026-05-22	1600.00	+5.0%	1680.00	MISS	—	-4.38%	1530.00
4	BA.L	BAE Systems plc	Ftse 100	2026-05-22	1993.50	+5.0%	2093.18	MISS	—	-7.37%	1846.50
5	WPP.L	WPP plc	Ftse 100	2026-05-22	275.90	+5.0%	289.70	MISS	—	-1.63%	271.40
1	ADP	Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-22	225.31	+5.0%	236.58	MISS	—	-3.06%	218.41
2	AMD	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-22	467.51	+5.0%	490.89	HIT	4	7.78%	—
1	MRVL	Marvell Technology, Inc.	NASDAQ	2026-05-22	196.33	+5.0%	206.15	HIT	4	6.08%	—
2	ARM	Arm Holdings plc	NASDAQ	2026-05-22	306.51	+5.0%	321.84	HIT	6	9.38%	—
3	FTNT	Fortinet, Inc.	NASDAQ	2026-05-22	133.93	+5.0%	140.63	HIT	10	9.86%	—
4	CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.	NASDAQ	2026-05-22	663.46	+5.0%	696.63	HIT	7	10.18%	—
5	DDOG	Datadog, Inc.	NASDAQ	2026-05-22	222.32	+5.0%	233.44	HIT	7	11.26%	—
1	DGE.L	Diageo plc	FTSE 100	2026-05-22	1602.50	+5.0%	1682.62	MISS	—	-4.52%	1530.00
2	MNG.L	M&G plc	FTSE 100	2026-05-22	314.60	+5.0%	330.32	HIT	28	5.21%	—
3	STAN.L	Standard Chartered PLC	FTSE 100	2026-05-22	1937.50	+5.0%	2034.39	HIT	11	6.48%	—
4	WPP.L	WPP plc	FTSE 100	2026-05-22	274.70	+5.0%	288.42	MISS	—	-1.20%	271.40
1	SNOW	Snowflake Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-22	165.54	+5.0%	173.82	HIT	4	7.29%	—
2	SWKS	Skyworks Solutions, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-22	73.54	+5.0%	77.21	HIT	0	12.08%	—
3	LLY	Eli Lilly and Company	S&P 500	2026-05-22	1041.65	+5.0%	1093.73	HIT	6	8.17%	—
4	CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-22	648.23	+5.0%	680.64	HIT	7	12.77%	—
5	PANW	Palo Alto Networks, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-22	252.92	+5.0%	265.57	HIT	7	11.38%	—
1	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-17	225.32	+5.0%	236.59	MISS	—	-100.00%	0.00
2	UNH	UnitedHealth Group Incorporated	S&P 500	2026-05-17	393.85	+5.0%	413.54	MISS	—	-100.00%	0.00
3	LLY	Eli Lilly and Company	S&P 500	2026-05-17	1004.92	+5.0%	1055.17	HIT	5	5.98%	—
4	CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-17	594.08	+5.0%	623.78	HIT	3	9.43%	—
5	PANW	Palo Alto Networks, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-17	242.83	+5.0%	254.97	HIT	5	7.31%	—
1	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-14	225.83	+10.0%	248.41	MISS	—	-9.14%	205.19
2	TSLA	Tesla, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-14	445.27	+10.0%	489.80	MISS	—	-8.72%	406.43
3	CSCO	Cisco Systems, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-14	101.87	+10.0%	112.06	HIT	0	13.41%	—
4	UNH	UnitedHealth Group Incorporated	S&P 500	2026-05-14	401.16	+10.0%	441.28	MISS	—	1.83%	408.52
5	AAPL	Apple Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-14	298.87	+10.0%	328.76	MISS	—	-2.59%	291.13
1	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-13	220.78	+10.0%	242.86	MISS	—	-7.06%	205.19
2	CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings	S&P 500	2026-05-13	546.18	+10.0%	600.80	HIT	5	13.30%	—
3	AMAT	Applied Materials	S&P 500	2026-05-13	431.20	+10.0%	474.32	HIT	20	13.65%	—
4	VRT	Vertiv Holdings	S&P 500	2026-05-13	367.13	+10.0%	403.84	MISS	—	-17.50%	302.87
5	PANW	Palo Alto Networks	S&P 500	2026-05-13	215.60	+10.0%	237.16	HIT	1	10.49%	—
1	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-12	219.44	+10.0%	241.38	MISS	—	-6.64%	204.87
2	ORCL	Oracle Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-12	193.84	+10.0%	213.22	HIT	17	16.48%	—
3	CSCO	Cisco Systems, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-12	98.72	+10.0%	108.59	HIT	2	17.03%	—
4	LRCX	Lam Research Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-12	296.05	+10.0%	325.66	HIT	21	12.96%	—
5	CAT	Caterpillar Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-12	926.79	+10.0%	1019.47	MISS	—	-3.15%	897.63
1	LRCX	Lam Research Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-11	294.05	+10.0%	323.46	HIT	22	13.73%	—
2	GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	400.71	+10.0%	440.78	MISS	—	-11.06%	356.38
3	ASML	ASML Holding N.V.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	1592.02	+10.0%	1751.22	HIT	24	10.39%	—
4	TSLA	Tesla, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	428.35	+10.0%	471.19	MISS	—	-10.92%	381.59
5	ORCL	Oracle Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-11	195.95	+10.0%	215.55	HIT	18	15.22%	—
1	GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	400.71	+5.0%	420.83	MISS	—	-11.06%	356.38
2	AAPL	Apple Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	293.26	+5.0%	307.95	HIT	11	5.31%	—
3	MRVL	Marvell Technology, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	170.13	+5.0%	178.64	HIT	3	7.32%	—
4	PANW	Palo Alto Networks, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-11	207.88	+5.0%	218.27	HIT	2	9.58%	—
5	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-11	215.22	+5.0%	225.99	HIT	3	9.53%	—
1	MRVL	Marvell Technology, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	170.13	+12.0%	190.55	HIT	11	12.08%	—
2	CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	527.77	+12.0%	591.10	HIT	5	12.56%	—
3	AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	430.00	+12.0%	481.60	MISS	—	-8.80%	392.16
4	PANW	Palo Alto Networks, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	207.88	+12.0%	232.83	HIT	4	14.59%	—
5	LRCX	Lam Research Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-10	294.05	+12.0%	329.34	HIT	23	13.73%	—
1	AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	430.00	+4.0%	447.20	HIT	22	6.97%	—
2	AMZN	Amazon.com, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	272.68	+4.0%	283.59	MISS	—	-10.45%	244.19
3	ADI	Analog Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	416.52	+4.0%	433.18	HIT	24	5.08%	—
4	MRVL	Marvell Technology, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	170.13	+4.0%	176.94	HIT	3	4.60%	—
5	SNPS	Synopsys, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	516.48	+4.0%	537.14	MISS	—	-9.92%	465.27
1	AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	430.00	+4.0%	447.20	HIT	22	6.97%	—
2	GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	400.71	+4.0%	416.74	MISS	—	-9.10%	364.26
3	ASML	ASML Holding N.V.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	1592.02	+4.0%	1655.70	HIT	23	7.12%	—
4	AAPL	Apple Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	293.26	+4.0%	304.99	HIT	12	5.31%	—
5	AMZN	Amazon.com, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	272.68	+4.0%	283.59	MISS	—	-10.45%	244.19
1	LRCX	Lam Research Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-10	294.05	+10.0%	323.46	HIT	23	13.73%	—
2	AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	430.00	+10.0%	473.00	HIT	23	11.99%	—
3	ASML	ASML Holding N.V.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	1592.02	+10.0%	1751.22	HIT	25	10.39%	—
4	ADI	Analog Devices, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-10	416.52	+10.0%	458.17	MISS	—	-2.86%	404.62
5	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-10	215.22	+10.0%	236.74	MISS	—	-3.27%	208.19
1	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-09	215.20	+5.0%	225.96	HIT	5	9.54%	—
2	AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	430.00	+5.0%	451.50	HIT	23	6.97%	—
3	GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	400.80	+5.0%	420.84	MISS	—	-9.35%	363.31
4	AMZN	Amazon.com, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	272.68	+5.0%	286.31	MISS	—	-10.07%	245.22
5	AAPL	Apple Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	293.32	+5.0%	307.99	HIT	13	5.28%	—
1	MSFT	Microsoft Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-09	415.12	+5.0%	435.88	HIT	20	8.46%	—
2	AMZN	Amazon.com, Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	272.68	+5.0%	286.31	MISS	—	-10.07%	245.22
1	NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	S&P 500	2026-05-09	215.20	+10.0%	236.72	MISS	—	-3.05%	208.64
2	AVGO	Broadcom Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	430.00	+10.0%	473.00	HIT	24	11.99%	—
3	GOOGL	Alphabet Inc.	S&P 500	2026-05-09	400.80	+10.0%	440.88	MISS	—	-9.35%	363.31

StockPicker Backtest

Overall

Success Rate by Time Window

Per-agent accuracy

Performance by pick position

Probability Calibration

Top 5 winners / losers

Top winners

Top losers

All Picks