AI Stock Picks — FTSE 100

Friday, November 13, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Optimistic  Normal choppiness · VIX 19.2

FTSE 100 constituents show a broad-based rally, with dozens of blue-chips posting double-digit 30-day gains and many trading within 1-3% of their 52-week highs. The rally is led by retail/consumer turnarounds, insurers, and defensive utilities, while mining and precious-metals names (Rio Tinto, Glencore, Anglo American, Fresnillo, Antofagasta) are sharply diverging to the downside, pulling back 8-15% over the same period.

Broad UK equity rally with widespread double-digit 30-day returns across sectorsMining/commodity stocks diverging sharply lower while the rest of the index ralliesRetail and consumer-discretionary turnaround names (M&S, Next, Burberry, Kingfisher) showing the strongest combined 5-day and 30-day momentumInsurers and financials participating broadly (Aviva, Legal & General, St James's Place, Standard Chartered)Defensive utilities (United Utilities, Severn Trent, SSE) also pushing to new highs, suggesting rotation beyond pure risk-on names

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 1
0%
102 · 296.9%
296.9% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 STJ.L SKIP — £1,172.50 → £1,231.12
stop £1,065.80
 Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.

Already open: UNH (to Nov 14), ULVR.L (to Nov 18), PFE (to Nov 19), ROST (to Nov 19), CSX (to Nov 21), TRV (to Nov 22), SGE.L (to Nov 25), SVT.L (to Nov 25), NSC (to Nov 26), RTX (to Nov 27), SO (to Nov 27), CNA.L (to Nov 27) … and 90 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
3 picks
Blaze
3 picks
Nova
3 picks
Orion
2 picks
Quinn
3 picks

1 Stock Pick

#1 STJ.LSt. James's Place plc
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10
Moderate conviction · 59%

St. James's Place is a UK wealth management firm that manages investments and gives financial advice to clients. It has been the fastest-moving stock of the group lately, gaining speed over just the past week, and its technical picture looks healthy without being overbought. The main risk is that its longer-term trend hasn't fully caught up yet, and sentiment-driven financial stocks can reverse quickly if markets turn choppy.

Stop-loss£1,065.80-9.1%
Today's price£1,172.50
Target£1,231.12+5.0%
If you invested £1,000
▲£1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼£909 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.1%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • OBV at -44,135,978 is sharply negative despite the 14% price rally, a clear sign that volume is not confirming the move the way the bull thesis claims — cumulative on-balance volume is falling even as price climbs.
  • Price at 1172.5p is still below the 200-day SMA of 1186.60 with no golden cross present (GoldenCross: false), so the longer-term trend structure remains bearish even as short-term momentum improves.
  • Price (1172.5) is pressed right against the upper Bollinger Band (1181.72), suggesting the rally is stretched and due for mean reversion toward the 1108.98 middle band rather than further acceleration.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 60%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
65%
-0.6%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
70%
High
Blaze
56%
Medium
Nova
56%
Medium
Orion
—
—
Despite a 30-day rally, the stock is still trading below its 200-day average and almost 26% off its 52-week high, suggesting a bounce from a longer downtrend rather than a confirmed new uptrend.
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by December 13, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by December 13, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 25 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • MKS.LMarks and Spencer Group plcAlready held
    Scout: Accelerating momentum with a 7.5% 5-day and 13.4% 30-day return, sitting just -0.13% off its 52-week high — a breakout setup.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-11 runs until 2026-12-11 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AV.LAviva plcAlready held
    Scout: Trading at its 52-week high (0% off) with a strong 4.2% 5-day and 10.6% 30-day return, showing no sign of exhaustion.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-29 runs until 2026-11-28 (15 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BRBY.LBurberry Group plcAlready held
    Scout: Strongest momentum in the index — 6.95% 5-day and 14.2% 30-day gains — indicating an accelerating turnaround, though still -13.9% off its high leaves room to run.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-12 runs until 2026-12-12 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • DGE.LDiageo plcAlready held
    Scout: Steady 12.2% 30-day gain with price just -0.31% from its 52-week high, suggesting sustained institutional buying rather than a one-day pop.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • UU.LUnited Utilities Group PLCAlready held
    Scout: Defensive momentum play: 9.2% 30-day return and just -0.19% from its 52-week high, showing a steady grind higher.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-04 runs until 2026-12-04 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • CCEP.LCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: 11.9% 30-day gain with price only -0.39% below its 52-week high — consumer staples momentum near a breakout point.
    20-day average daily volume 158,187 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • LGEN.LLegal & General Group PlcAlready held
    Scout: 8.0% 30-day and 3.3% 5-day gains with price -1.07% from its high — financial sector participating broadly in the rally.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-02 runs until 2026-12-02 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SDLF.LStandard Life plcAlready held
    Scout: 8.3% 30-day return, just -1.15% off its 52-week high, with consistent 5-day follow-through (2.3%).
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-30 runs until 2026-11-29 (16 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • CTEC.LConvatec Group PLCDropped at merge
    Scout: 11.9% 30-day and 3.1% 5-day gains, trading -0.42% from its 52-week high — healthcare products momentum near highs.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 54% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • SVT.LSevern Trent PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: 6.9% 30-day gain with price just -0.95% from its 52-week high, a steady defensive momentum name.
    20-day average daily volume 461,612 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • SSE.LSSE plcAlready held
    Scout: 8.7% 30-day return with price only -1.28% off its high and a healthy 3.1% 5-day gain confirming continued buying.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • NXT.LNEXT plcLiquidity filter
    Scout: 8.5% 30-day and 3.65% 5-day gains, just -0.77% from its 52-week high — retail momentum near a fresh high.
    20-day average daily volume 254,646 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • IHG.LInterContinental Hotels Group PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: Strong 13.9% 30-day return with price -1.12% from its 52-week high, showing travel/hospitality momentum intact.
    20-day average daily volume 362,216 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • CRDA.LCroda International PlcLiquidity filter
    Scout: 7.0% 30-day gain, trading just -0.58% below its 52-week high — specialty chemicals momentum near highs.
    20-day average daily volume 453,275 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • SGE.LThe Sage Group plcAlready held
    Scout: 8.3% 30-day return with price -2.32% from its 52-week high, consistent software-sector momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-26 runs until 2026-11-25 (12 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BNZL.LBunzl plcPassed over
    Scout: Price just -1.70% from its 52-week high with a positive 30-day (4.2%) and 5-day (1.05%) trend, a low-volatility momentum name.
    Aria: Despite a solid 30-day gain, the stock has lost steam over the past 5 days (slightly negative short-term momentum), failing the near-term trend requirement
    Blaze: Its 30-day gain and strength relative to the broader market rally were the weakest of the six candidates, giving the least technical conviction, and no catalyst data was available to offset that.
    Nova: The stock's 5-day momentum has turned slightly negative and no catalyst could be confirmed, so the earlier rally looks like it's stalling rather than building.
    Orion: Five-day momentum has gone flat and its MACD has turned negative, and its sector (distribution) isn't among the ones named as current rotation leaders.
    Quinn: Momentum has stalled over the last 5 days and the MACD indicator is negative, so it doesn't meet the minimum bar for any quantitative setup in this framework.
  • AZN.LAstraZeneca PLCAlready held
    Scout: Among the largest 30-day gains in the index at 17.5%, still -11.1% from its 52-week high, leaving room for continuation.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-30 runs until 2026-11-29 (16 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • LSEG.LLondon Stock Exchange Group plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 16.8% 30-day gain with a strong 3.1% 5-day follow-through, trading just -3.79% from its 52-week high.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 57% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • RTO.LRentokil Initial plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 17.65% 30-day return with continued 2.2% 5-day momentum, suggesting a strong recovery trend still building.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (59% after calibration)).
  • STAN.LStandard Chartered PLCAlready held
    Scout: 5.73% 5-day gain accelerating on top of a 2.2% 30-day return — a banking name showing fresh near-term acceleration.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-11 runs until 2026-12-11 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BGEO.LLion Finance Group PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: Strong momentum on both windows (7.1% 5-day, 8.4% 30-day), one of the few names showing acceleration rather than a one-off spike.
    20-day average daily volume 102,854 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • KGF.LKingfisher plcAlready held
    Scout: 15.7% 30-day gain with price only -3.23% from its 52-week high — DIY retail momentum nearing a breakout.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • IAG.LInternational Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.Already held
    Scout: 9.6% 30-day and a strong 4.4% 5-day gain, trading -8.12% from its high with room to continue the travel-sector rally.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-09 runs until 2026-12-09 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AUTO.LAutotrader Group plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 12.4% 30-day gain with continued 3.85% 5-day momentum, showing sustained buying interest.
    Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • STJ.LSt. James's Place plcPicked #1
    Scout: 14.0% 30-day and 4.3% 5-day gains — one of the strongest dual-window momentum profiles in wealth management.
    Made the final report at #1.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.