AI Stock Picks — FTSE 100

Thursday, November 12, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Optimistic  Normal choppiness · VIX 18.7

The FTSE 100 is showing a broad-based rally, with the large majority of constituents posting positive 30-day returns and many sitting within a few percent of their 52-week highs. Momentum is strongest in consumer discretionary, REITs/property, staples, and select financials, while miners and a handful of banks (NatWest, Lloyds, HSBC) are lagging or pulling back after sharp declines. No fresh company-specific news was available in the pre-fetched data, so this analysis leans on price momentum and proximity to highs as the primary signal.

Broad market-wide recovery rally with double-digit 30-day gains across multiple sectorsUK property/REIT rebound (British Land, Land Securities, LondonMetric) after a prior downturnConsumer discretionary and staples strength near 52-week highs (M&S, Next, Burberry, Diageo, Coca-Cola Europacific)Divergence in mining/resources - industrial and financial names rallying while precious/base metals miners (Rio Tinto, Glencore, Fresnillo, Antofagasta) remain weakFinancials showing accelerating short-term momentum (Standard Chartered, Bank of Georgia, Investec, IAG) even where 30-day returns are more modest

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 2
0%
94 · 271.4%
271.4% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 INVP.L SKIP — £643.50 → £676.76
stop £602.96
 Position cap reached — 94 of 20 slots in use.
#2 BRBY.L SKIP — £1,180.50 → £1,241.48
stop £1,068.35
 Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.

Already open: UNH (to Nov 14), ULVR.L (to Nov 18), PFE (to Nov 19), ROST (to Nov 19), CSX (to Nov 21), TRV (to Nov 22), SGE.L (to Nov 25), SVT.L (to Nov 25), NSC (to Nov 26), RTX (to Nov 27), SO (to Nov 27), CNA.L (to Nov 27) … and 82 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
5 picks
Blaze
3 picks
Nova
3 picks
Orion
3 picks
Quinn
3 picks

2 Stock Picks

#1 INVP.LInvestec Group
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Earnings in Window
Moderate conviction · 59%

Investec is a banking and wealth management group operating mainly in the UK and South Africa. Its shares are up over 8% in the past month with the strongest 5-day momentum of the group (+4.25%) and are clearly outpacing the wider market, backed by rising trading volume. The key risk is that the company reports results in about a week, and earnings surprises can swing the price sharply in either direction.

Stop-loss£602.96-6.3%
Today's price£643.50
Target£676.76+5.2%
Agents estimate: £677.83 (+0.2% vs target)
If you invested £1,000
▲£1,052 if the target hits (+5.2%)
▼£937 if the stop-loss is hit (-6.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price is already pinned to the Bollinger upper band ($645.57 vs. current $643.5) while the 5-day move (+4.25%) outpaces the 30-day return (+8.24%), suggesting the gain is concentrated in a sharp recent spike rather than steady trend continuation that could mean-revert.
  • Short interest data is unavailable (404), so the bull case's volume-confirmation claim can't be cross-checked against positioning risk, and the stated OBV level (51.6M) has no historical baseline given to confirm it's actually rising rather than just a snapshot.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 62%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.8:1
55%
+0.8%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
70%
High
Blaze
—
—
Strong 30-day momentum, but earnings are due in about a week, inside the 30-day holding window, creating binary event risk that pulls the odds below the stronger candidates
Nova
56%
Medium
Orion
—
—
Good recent momentum but sits in the same mixed financials sector, plus earnings fall within the 30-day window without a confirmed catalyst to lean on.
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#2 BRBY.LBurberry Group plc
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Earnings in Window
Moderate conviction · 59%

Burberry is the British luxury fashion brand known for its iconic trench coats and check pattern. Its shares have jumped 13% over the past month, clearly outrunning the wider market, with solid momentum and technical signals. The main risk is that the company is also reporting results today, so part of this rally may be an earnings reaction, and luxury stocks can be volatile around consumer-spending headlines.

Stop-loss£1,068.35-9.5%
Today's price£1,180.50
Target£1,241.48+5.2%
Agents estimate: £1,243.43 (+0.2% vs target)
If you invested £1,000
▲£1,052 if the target hits (+5.2%)
▼£905 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.5%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • OBV reads deeply negative (-46,360,361) despite the 13% price surge, a textbook bearish volume-price divergence suggesting the rally is not backed by sustained accumulation even though the system didn't flag an explicit divergence alert.
  • Price is already up against the Bollinger upper band ($1,156 vs. $1,180.5 close, i.e. trading above it) and is still 14.24% below its 52-week high, meaning the 'heavy volume' day cited as bullish could equally be a blow-off top or short-covering spike rather than sustained accumulation.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
65%
-0.1%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
70%
High
Blaze
—
—
Reports earnings today after a 13% rally over the past month; the binary earnings event risk inside the holding window makes this less attractive than peers without upcoming earnings
Nova
56%
Medium
Orion
66%
High
Quinn
—
—
Also qualified at 60% probability but downside risk is wider (-6.6%) than the top picks, giving a weaker reward-to-risk ratio.

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by December 12, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by December 12, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 25 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • MKS.LMarks and Spencer Group plcAlready held
    Scout: Up nearly 15% over 30 days and still accelerating (+3.9% in 5 days) while sitting less than 1% below its 52-week high — strongest combined momentum/breakout setup in the index.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-11 runs until 2026-12-11 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • DGE.LDiageo plcAlready held
    Scout: Up 13.5% over 30 days, positive in the last 5 days, and less than 1% from its 52-week high, suggesting a durable recovery rather than a one-day spike.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • CCEP.LCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: 12.6% 30-day gain with continued 5-day upside and within 1% of its 52-week high — momentum is broad-based across both windows.
    20-day average daily volume 159,460 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • CRDA.LCroda International PlcLiquidity filter
    Scout: Nearly 10% 30-day return plus a 2.9% 5-day gain while trading within 1% of its 52-week high, indicating the rally has legs into new-high territory.
    20-day average daily volume 448,592 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • UU.LUnited Utilities Group PLCAlready held
    Scout: Steady 9.4% 30-day gain and positive 5-day momentum, sitting under 1% from its 52-week high — a defensive name breaking out, not just bouncing.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-04 runs until 2026-12-04 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • IHG.LInterContinental Hotels Group PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: 12.7% 30-day gain with continued 5-day strength and under 2% from its 52-week high, showing sustained demand rather than a brief pop.
    20-day average daily volume 373,904 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • CTEC.LConvatec Group PLCDropped at merge
    Scout: Nearly 11% 30-day gain with positive 5-day follow-through, just over 1% below its 52-week high.
    Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • NXT.LNEXT plcLiquidity filter
    Scout: 8.6% 30-day gain holding steady near its 52-week high (within 1.2%), consistent with a stock consolidating gains rather than reversing.
    20-day average daily volume 278,509 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • SDLF.LStandard Life plcAlready held
    Scout: 10% 30-day gain with price holding flat over the last 5 days just 1.6% off its 52-week high — momentum intact without overextension.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-30 runs until 2026-11-29 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SGE.LThe Sage Group plcAlready held
    Scout: 8.2% 30-day gain and under 3% from its 52-week high despite a short-term pullback, suggesting the broader uptrend remains intact.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-26 runs until 2026-11-25 (13 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • KGF.LKingfisher plcAlready held
    Scout: Strongest 30-day return in this group at 17.6%, trading within 3.7% of its 52-week high — one of the clearest momentum leaders in the index.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • WTB.LWhitbread plcAlready held
    Scout: 11.8% 30-day gain and within 3.5% of its 52-week high, reflecting a sustained move rather than a single-day jump.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-02 runs until 2026-12-02 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SSE.LSSE plcAlready held
    Scout: 8.6% 30-day gain with continued 5-day upside and under 3% from its 52-week high — utilities momentum with room to new highs.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BLND.LBritish Land Company PLCDropped at merge
    Scout: Nearly 10% 30-day gain as part of a broader REIT rebound, trading within 4% of its 52-week high.
    Only Orion selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 64% raw (59% after calibration)).
  • LAND.LLand Securities Group PlcAlready held
    Scout: Strong 13.8% 30-day gain with positive 5-day momentum, within 4% of its 52-week high — one of the stronger property-sector movers.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-10 runs until 2026-12-10 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • LSEG.LLondon Stock Exchange Group plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 11% 30-day gain, holding within 4% of its 52-week high, indicating durable institutional demand.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Medium, 53% raw (48% after calibration)).
  • STAN.LStandard Chartered PLCAlready held
    Scout: 5-day return of 6.5% shows sharp recent acceleration on top of a positive 30-day trend, within 6% of its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-11 runs until 2026-12-11 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • IAG.LInternational Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.Already held
    Scout: 5-day gain of 5.8% layered on a 7.9% 30-day gain signals building momentum, with room to run before hitting its 52-week high (-8.3%).
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-09 runs until 2026-12-09 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BGEO.LLion Finance Group PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: 5-day return of 8.8% is the sharpest short-term acceleration in the index, on top of an already-positive 30-day trend and within 7.4% of its 52-week high.
    20-day average daily volume 103,403 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • INVP.LInvestec GroupPicked #1
    Scout: Consistent gains across both windows (8.2% 30-day, 4.6% 5-day) with price closing in on its 52-week high (-6.7%).
    Made the final report at #1.
  • III.L3i Group OrdDropped at merge
    Scout: 13% 30-day gain accelerating to 5.3% over the last 5 days — strong momentum, though still well off its 52-week high, implying more room to recover.
    Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 70% raw (59% after calibration)).
  • BRBY.LBurberry Group plcPicked #2
    Scout: 13.1% 30-day gain with continued 4.7% 5-day strength suggests a genuine turnaround in a previously beaten-down luxury name.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • RR.LRolls-Royce Holdings plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 10.5% 5-day surge marks a sharp reacceleration even though the 30-day return is roughly flat — a potential inflection point worth tracking for continuation.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: High, 63% raw (59% after calibration)).
  • AZN.LAstraZeneca PLCAlready held
    Scout: Leading large-cap momentum with a 15.8% 30-day gain, still within 11.5% of its 52-week high despite a minor short-term pullback.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-30 runs until 2026-11-29 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AUTO.LAutotrader Group plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 14.3% 30-day gain with continued positive 5-day momentum, indicating sustained buying interest.
    Reward-to-risk 0.49 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.33% target against a -10.9% stop.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.