Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days
Neutral Normal choppiness · VIX 17.6
The NASDAQ 100 shows a sharp rotation: AI/semiconductor and high-multiple software names (NVDA, AMD peers, MU, AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, MRVL, CRWD, DDOG, PANW, NBIS, CRWV, ALAB) are deep in drawdowns 25-60% off 52-week highs, while consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, and select travel/industrial names are holding near their highs with steady 5-day and 30-day gains. This bifurcation suggests near-term upside is more likely to come from defensive/steady-momentum names riding a flight from risk than from a snap-back in beaten-down tech.
Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.
| Rank | Stock | Action | Size | Entry → Target | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | FAST | SKIP | — | $55.49 → $58.26 stop $51.66 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #2 | PEP | SKIP | — | $143.94 → $151.14 stop $134.15 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #3 | LIN | SKIP | — | $526.55 → $552.88 stop $496.54 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #4 | REGN | SKIP | — | $959.41 → $1,007.38 stop $879.78 |
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital. |
| #5 | CTAS | SKIP | — | $227.26 → $238.62 stop $210.22 |
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital. |
Already open: HUM (to Nov 11), TJX (to Nov 11), UNH (to Nov 14), KO (to Nov 18), ULVR.L (to Nov 18), PFE (to Nov 19), ROST (to Nov 19), CSX (to Nov 21), TRV (to Nov 22), SGE.L (to Nov 25), SVT.L (to Nov 25), NSC (to Nov 26) … and 80 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.
Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.
Fastenal sells nuts, bolts, and industrial supplies to factories and businesses across the country. Right now money is flowing out of expensive AI/tech stocks and into steadier, less flashy businesses like this one, and Fastenal's share price is sitting right near its 52-week high with strong upward momentum. The main risk is that its stock has moved up quickly and could pause for breath, or the rotation could stall before its target is reached.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 67%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
PepsiCo makes snacks and beverages people buy regardless of the economy, which makes it a classic safe-haven stock. As investors shift money away from volatile tech names, PepsiCo's shares have jumped nearly 14% in the past month. The main risk is that trading volume hasn't fully confirmed the rally, and the stock is still well below its 52-week high, so the move could lose steam.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 68%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Linde is one of the world's largest suppliers of industrial gases like oxygen and nitrogen, used across manufacturing, healthcare, and energy. The stock has climbed steadily and is outperforming the broader tech-heavy market, with technical signals pointing to continued strength. The main risk is a broad reversal if investors rotate back toward growth stocks.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Regeneron is a biotech company best known for its eye and immune-disease drugs. Healthcare is one of the sectors benefiting from the current shift away from richly-valued tech stocks, and Regeneron's shares have surged over 25% in the past month on strong momentum. The main risks are that the stock now looks stretched after such a fast run-up, and company insiders have been selling shares recently.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Cintas supplies uniforms, cleaning supplies, and safety gear to businesses across North America. The company just posted record revenue and margins and explicitly raised its full-year earnings guidance, with management sounding confident about the rest of the year. The main risk is that the stock has already climbed over 10% in the past month, so some of this optimism could already be reflected in the price.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 74%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by December 11, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.
Step-by-Step Action Plan
Position Sizing by Conviction Tier
Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.
| Agents Agreeing | What It Means | Max Allocation Per Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 5/5 | Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed | Up to 10% |
| 4/5 | Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned | Up to 8% |
| 3/5 | High conviction — three agents independently agreed | Up to 6% |
| 2/5 | Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed | Up to 4% |
| 1 Agent | Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence | Up to 2% |
The Three Exit Rules
A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.
Scout scanned 101 NASDAQ 100 constituents and short-listed 28 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.
Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.
Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).
Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.
Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.
Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.
Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.