Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days
Neutral Normal choppiness · VIX 19.8
The index shows a sharp bifurcation: mega-cap tech and semiconductor names (NVDA, AMD, INTC, MU, AVGO, META, GOOGL) are in steep, broad-based drawdowns of 20-60% from 52-week highs, while healthcare, insurance, staples, travel, and select industrials show sustained multi-week momentum and sit within a few percent of their highs. This looks like an active rotation out of high-multiple growth/AI-adjacent names into defensives and value rather than a broad risk-off event.
Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.
| Rank | Stock | Action | Size | Entry → Target | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | JKHY | SKIP | — | $175.32 → $184.20 stop $160.94 |
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital. |
| #2 | STE | SKIP | — | $257.30 → $270.32 stop $235.94 |
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital. |
| #3 | DAL | SKIP | — | $92.10 → $96.70 stop $84.64 |
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital. |
| #4 | MCK | SKIP | — | $1,082.76 → $1,136.90 stop $1,017.79 |
Position cap reached — 77 of 20 slots in use. |
| #5 | SPG | SKIP | — | $234.69 → $246.71 stop $218.73 |
Position cap reached — 77 of 20 slots in use. |
Already open: HUM (to Nov 11), TJX (to Nov 11), UNH (to Nov 14), KO (to Nov 18), ULVR.L (to Nov 18), PFE (to Nov 19), ROST (to Nov 19), FAST (to Nov 20), CSX (to Nov 21), TRV (to Nov 22), SGE.L (to Nov 25), SVT.L (to Nov 25) … and 65 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.
Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.
Jack Henry provides the core software that banks and credit unions use to run their day-to-day operations. The stock is in a strong, steady uptrend and handily outpacing the market, with no technical warning signs. The main risk is simply that after such a strong run, a pause is natural.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
STERIS makes sterilization and infection-control equipment for hospitals and labs. Its latest quarter beat expectations and management raised full-year profit guidance, with its Life Sciences division growing especially fast. The main risk is that the stock has already climbed sharply and looks overbought in the short term, so a pause or pullback wouldn't be surprising.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Delta is one of the largest U.S. airlines, flying passengers and cargo around the world. Its stock has been climbing steadily, helped by strong travel demand and cost discipline, and it's clearly outperforming the broader market right now. The main risk is that fuel prices or a slowdown in travel demand could quickly reverse this upward run.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 69%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
McKesson distributes prescription drugs and medical supplies to pharmacies and hospitals across the country, a steady, unglamorous business that keeps generating revenue in good times and bad. Its shares have climbed steadily and are trading near a one-month high as investors shift money into defensive healthcare names and away from volatile tech stocks. The risk is that this move has happened quickly, so if the broader market calms down or rallies, some of this defensive-stock money could flow back out.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Simon owns premium shopping malls and outlet centers across the country. The company just raised its full-year profit guidance and its dividend at the same time, and mall occupancy and shopper traffic are both climbing — real signs of a healthy business, not just financial engineering. The main risk is that the stock has already run up sharply and looks stretched on short-term charts, so some of this good news may already be reflected in the price.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 63%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by December 10, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.
Step-by-Step Action Plan
Position Sizing by Conviction Tier
Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.
| Agents Agreeing | What It Means | Max Allocation Per Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 5/5 | Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed | Up to 10% |
| 4/5 | Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned | Up to 8% |
| 3/5 | High conviction — three agents independently agreed | Up to 6% |
| 2/5 | Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed | Up to 4% |
| 1 Agent | Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence | Up to 2% |
The Three Exit Rules
A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.
Scout scanned 503 S&P 500 constituents and short-listed 27 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.
Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.
Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).
Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.
Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.
Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.
Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.