AI Stock Picks — NASDAQ 100

Friday, November 6, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Cautious  Normal choppiness · VIX 23.9

The NASDAQ 100 is in the midst of a severe, concentrated selloff: nearly every semiconductor, AI-infrastructure, and high-multiple growth name (INTC, MRVL, STX, ALAB, LRCX, MU, NVDA, AVGO, ARM, SNDK, CRWV, NBIS, DDOG, PANW, FTNT, CRWD) is down 20-50% over the past 30 days and sits far below its 52-week high. In sharp contrast, consumer staples, payroll/business-services, healthcare, and select consumer-discretionary names are grinding higher and trading near their highs, pointing to an aggressive capital rotation out of AI/semis risk and into defensives rather than a broad market collapse.

Violent rotation out of semiconductors and AI-infrastructure names into defensive staples and healthcarePayroll/business-services and consumer-staples compounders (ADP, PAYX, CTAS, KDP, CCEP, MDLZ, COST, WMT) quietly making new highsPockets of mega-cap tech and select growth names (AMZN, ABNB, IDXX, GEHC, TTWO) showing strong short-term bounce-back momentum despite the broader tech routBiotech/pharma (GILD, AMGN, VRTX) acting as a low-beta safe haven within the index

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 5
0%
59 · 160.7%
160.7% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 GEHC SKIP — $82.51 → $87.16
stop $74.42
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#2 PAYX SKIP — $116.73 → $122.72
stop $107.98
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#3 ABNB SKIP — $191.17 → $201.68
stop $172.63
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#4 MDLZ SKIP — $66.16 → $69.80
stop $60.73
Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#5 SBUX SKIP — $105.11 → $110.72
stop $97.65
Position cap reached — 59 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: HUM (to Nov 11), TJX (to Nov 11), UNH (to Nov 14), KO (to Nov 18), ULVR.L (to Nov 18), PFE (to Nov 19), ROST (to Nov 19), FAST (to Nov 20), CSX (to Nov 21), TRV (to Nov 22), SGE.L (to Nov 25), SVT.L (to Nov 25) … and 47 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
10 picks
Blaze
6 picks
Nova
4 picks
Orion
5 picks
Quinn
13 picks

5 Stock Picks

#1 GEHCGE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Moderate conviction · 59%

GE HealthCare makes medical imaging and diagnostic equipment used by hospitals worldwide. The company beat earnings expectations and raised its full-year guidance across revenue, margins, and profit, and the stock is still about 8% below its recent high. The risk is that the stock has already rallied sharply over the past month, so some of the good news may already be reflected in the price.

Stop-loss$74.42-9.8%
Today's price$82.51
Target$87.16+5.6%
Agents estimate: $87.67 (+0.6% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,056 if the target hits (+5.6%)
▼$902 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.8%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI14 is 72.36, firmly in overbought territory, and the stock is riding the upper Bollinger Band (85.10 vs. price 82.51) — a pullback or consolidation is statistically more likely than a continuation of the +27.4% run.
  • The rally has occurred with no golden cross (Sma50 69.32 vs Sma200 69.85, essentially flat/converging) — price is extended ~19% above both moving averages, an unusually wide gap that often mean-reverts.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 68%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
63%
+0.7%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 70% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
—
—
RSI above 72 signals overbought conditions, and its 50-day average is still below its 200-day average, so the longer-term trend hasn't fully confirmed the rally
Blaze
82%
Very High
Nova
65%
High
Orion
64%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#2 PAYXPaychex, Inc.
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 3/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Moderate conviction · 59%

Paychex provides payroll and HR outsourcing services, mostly to small and mid-sized businesses. Like its larger peer ADP, it's benefiting from investors rotating out of beaten-down tech names into stable, cash-generating businesses, with a price trend that looks healthy rather than stretched. The key risk is that this rally is largely sector-driven and could cool if the rotation reverses.

Stop-loss$107.98-7.5%
Today's price$116.73
Target$122.72+5.1%
Agents estimate: $122.86 (+0.1% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,051 if the target hits (+5.1%)
▼$925 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.5%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Despite the bull case for 'room to run,' the stock's current price of 116.73 is already pressing the upper Bollinger Band (121.34) after a +15.55% 30-day move, suggesting the easy gains from the earnings pop are largely priced in.
  • Volume is modest at 1.12M shares with no reported volume surge confirming the breakout, unlike other picks in this batch — the move lacks a clear volume-confirmation signal.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 70%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.7:1
59%
+1.3%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 70% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
82%
Very High
Nova
—
—
No recent catalyst, and the next earnings report (42 days out) falls outside the near-term catalyst window.
Orion
64%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#3 ABNBAirbnb, Inc.
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Moderate conviction · 59%

Airbnb runs the world's largest short-term rental marketplace, connecting travelers with hosts. Its stock has jumped sharply over the past month and is beating the broader tech market by a wide margin, suggesting investors like what they're seeing. The main risk is that several company insiders have been selling shares, and after such a fast run-up, some profit-taking wouldn't be surprising.

Stop-loss$172.63-9.7%
Today's price$191.17
Target$201.68+5.5%
Agents estimate: $202.64 (+0.5% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,055 if the target hits (+5.5%)
▼$903 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.7%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • The stock is only -1.18% from its 52-week high after a 19.2% monthly run — nearly all the post-earnings re-rating may already be captured, leaving little margin for a fresh 5% catalyst within 30 days.
  • ATR14 of 6.81 (3.6% of the $191.17 price) signals elevated volatility; combined with RSI at 66.71 sitting just under overbought, a sharp reversal on any travel-demand headline risk is plausible before the thesis plays out.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 67%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
64%
+0.5%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 70% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
—
—
The earnings beat already happened and the stock popped 19% in a single day; with heavy insider selling and a move this large already, much of the good news looks priced in
Nova
68%
High
Orion
—
—
Its big jump was a one-day earnings reaction rather than steady rotation buying, and heavy insider selling adds caution right after such a sharp move.
Quinn
60%
Medium
#4 MDLZMondelez International, Inc.
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Moderate conviction · 59%

Mondelez makes well-known snack brands like Oreo and Cadbury. The stock has strong recent momentum, part of the same move into consumer-staples companies that investors see as safer than high-flying tech names, and its trend looks healthy. The risk is that its most recent earnings have already been reported, so there's no fresh scheduled news event to keep driving the stock over the next month.

Stop-loss$60.73-8.2%
Today's price$66.16
Target$69.80+5.5%
Agents estimate: $70.13 (+0.5% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,055 if the target hits (+5.5%)
▼$918 if the stop-loss is hit (-8.2%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • OBV is deeply negative at -80,813,849 despite the price rally — this on-balance-volume reading suggests distribution (selling pressure) underneath the price gain, undercutting the 'strong momentum' narrative even though the system's divergence flag didn't trip.
  • 5-day momentum has already decelerated sharply to +5.44% recent vs. the 30-day total of 10.97%, meaning most of the move happened earlier and the most recent price action is cooling, not accelerating.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 66%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.7:1
60%
+0.8%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 70% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
—
—
EPS beat confirmed but no clear guidance raise was visible in the earnings release, insiders (including the CEO) have been selling, and shares are already near their highs
Nova
65%
High
Orion
—
—
A confirmed consumer-staples beneficiary, but weaker relative strength than Costco or CCEP makes it a less compelling entry right now.
Quinn
60%
Medium
#5 SBUXStarbucks Corporation
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 3/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Moderate conviction · 59%

Starbucks is executing a turnaround plan it calls 'Back to Starbucks,' and its latest quarter showed a big earnings jump and expanding profit margins. Management described the improvement as durable and introduced a solid outlook for next year, and the stock is still about 6% below its recent high. The main risk is that the turnaround still needs more quarters to prove itself and consumer spending on coffee could soften if the economy weakens.

Stop-loss$97.65-7.1%
Today's price$105.11
Target$110.72+5.3%
Agents estimate: $111.07 (+0.3% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,053 if the target hits (+5.3%)
▼$929 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.1%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 59%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • 5-day momentum has stalled to just +2.32%/+1.39% recent return even though the 30-day return is +9.36% — the 'durable turnaround' narrative hasn't translated into continued near-term buying pressure.
  • Price (105.11) is barely above the 200-day average (100.14) and the 50-day (99.14), a much thinner cushion than peers like PAYX or MDLZ, leaving less technical support if sentiment on consumer discretionary names sours.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 59% (raw model estimate: 70%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.8:1
57%
+1.6%
7%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 70% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
70%
High
Blaze
81%
Very High
Nova
—
—
Orion
—
—
Quinn
60%
Medium

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by December 6, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by December 6, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 101 NASDAQ 100 constituents and short-listed 24 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • ABNBAirbnb, Inc.Picked #3
    Scout: 5-day return +16.3%, 30-day +19.2%, only 1.2% off its 52-week high — one of the strongest, most sustained uptrends in the index right now.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • IDXXIDEXX Laboratories, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day +22.4% and 30-day +30.9% with the stock still accelerating; momentum this broad-based is rare in the current tape.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #10, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • GEHCGE HealthCare Technologies Inc.Picked #1
    Scout: 5-day +7.8%, 30-day +27.4%, only 8% below its 52-week high; healthcare-tech holding up while chip names collapse.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +31%, just 6.4% off its 52-week high; diversified software/industrial compounder acting as a safe harbor.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #13, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • CTASCintas CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Steady +13.9% 30-day gain and only 4.4% from its 52-week high; defensive business-services name showing low-volatility strength.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #12, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +15.8% over 30 days and just 2.3% off its all-time high; payroll/HR services name benefiting from the flight to defensives.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #7, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • PAYXPaychex, Inc.Picked #2
    Scout: +15.6% 30-day return, 8.8% off highs; same defensive payroll-services tailwind as ADP.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCDropped at merge
    Scout: +14.4% 30-day return and only 2.3% from its 52-week high; consumer-staples strength amid the growth-stock rout.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #8, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.Already held
    Scout: +17.8% 30-day gain, just 3.2% off its 52-week high; staples names are the clear leadership group right now.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-04 runs until 2026-12-04 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MDLZMondelez International, Inc.Picked #4
    Scout: +11% 30-day return and only 3.8% off highs; steady snack-foods compounder benefiting from defensive rotation.
    Made the final report at #4.
  • COSTCostco Wholesale CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: +12.7% 30-day, +4.1% in the last 5 days, just 3.9% off its 52-week high; a high-quality staple holding near highs.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #9, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • WMTWalmart Inc.Already held
    Scout: +17% over 30 days with consistent buying; large-cap retail staple benefiting from capital rotating out of tech.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-02 runs until 2026-12-02 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SBUXStarbucks CorporationPicked #5
    Scout: +9.4% 30-day return and only 5.7% from its 52-week high; turnaround narrative plus defensive positioning.
    Made the final report at #5.
  • MARMarriott International, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +15.2% 30-day gain, just 3.9% off highs; travel/leisure name showing resilient demand trends.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-06 runs until 2026-12-06 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • XELXcel Energy Inc.Already held
    Scout: +10.2% 30-day return and only 4.9% off its 52-week high; utility sector acting as a low-volatility haven.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-03 runs until 2026-12-03 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +16.3% 30-day return, just 5% off its 52-week high; biotech providing ballast while semis sell off.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-30 runs until 2026-11-29 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AMGNAmgen Inc.Already held
    Scout: +14.6% 30-day gain and only 4.7% off highs; pharma defensiveness attracting rotation flows.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-29 runs until 2026-11-28 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedPassed over
    Scout: +8.9% 30-day return, just 3.8% off its 52-week high; steady biotech outperformance versus the broader index.
    Aria: Two different 5-day momentum readings conflict with each other, and the most recent earnings came in just short of estimates, adding uncertainty
    Blaze: Actually missed on EPS despite a revenue guidance raise, and the stock has pulled back over the last five days, suggesting the initial reaction may already be fading
    Nova: Its most recent earnings report, 4 days ago, was actually a slight miss, and the stock has fallen over the last 5 days — a genuine negative signal, not a data gap.
    Quinn: Despite a positive 30-day return, the most recent 5-day price trend has turned negative, contradicting the otherwise bullish technical setup.
  • FASTFastenal CompanyAlready held
    Scout: +4.2% 30-day return and only 3.7% off its 52-week high; industrial distributor showing quiet, consistent strength.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-21 runs until 2026-11-20 (14 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ADSKAutodesk, Inc.Passed over
    Scout: +13.8% 30-day and +5.5% over the last 5 days; one of the few software names bucking the broader tech downtrend.
    Aria: Trading volume shows a bearish divergence (price rising without buying pressure confirming it), and earnings land in 18 days, squarely inside the 30-day window
    Orion: A software/growth name that sits outside the current defensive rotation and remains exposed to the broader high-multiple tech selloff.
    Quinn: Trading volume (OBV) is diverging from the price rise, indicating the recent gains lack solid volume support — a sign of unsustainable buying.
  • AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Sharp 5-day bounce of +8.7% while most mega-cap tech peers remain under pressure, signaling renewed buying interest.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-11-04 runs until 2026-12-04 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +13.4% over the last 5 days on top of a positive 30-day trend; gaming name showing strong near-term acceleration.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (59% after calibration)).
  • ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +6.2% 30-day return with a steady uptrend; defensive auto-parts retailer holding up well.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #11, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +11.5% 30-day return and +4.5% over 5 days; medical-device leader showing durable demand outside the chip selloff.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #6, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.