AI Stock Picks — S&P 500

Monday, October 5, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Neutral  Normal choppiness · VIX 15.5

The S&P 500 is showing a sharp two-speed market: a large majority of constituents are down double digits over the past day/30 days (banks, REITs, retailers, airlines, staples, healthcare), consistent with a broad risk-off/volatility shock, while semiconductor, AI-infrastructure, cybersecurity, and refining names are rallying hard and sitting near their 52-week highs. The divergence suggests capital is rotating into a narrow set of high-conviction growth/cyclical winners even as the broader index de-rates.

Semiconductor and AI-infrastructure momentum (chips, cybersecurity, data/cloud software) decoupling from a weak broad marketRefiners (crack-spread driven) and select energy names extending gains near highsBroad-based drawdown across financials, retail, staples, REITs and healthcare creating a bifurcated tape

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 3
0%
53 · 153.8%
153.8% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 TER SKIP — $444.53 → $467.65
stop $398.30
 Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#2 MSFT SKIP — $525.18 → $552.10
stop $484.22
 Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#3 JCI SKIP — $156.85 → $164.95
stop $146.97
 Position cap reached — 53 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: ITRK.L (to Oct 8), SDR.L (to Oct 9), VOD.L (to Oct 9), TSLA (to Oct 9), HCA (to Oct 11), SHEL.L (to Oct 14), TSCO.L (to Oct 14), WMT (to Oct 14), BBY (to Oct 15), PM (to Oct 16), SWKS (to Oct 17), TMO (to Oct 17) … and 41 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
5 picks
Blaze
11 picks
Nova
2 picks
Orion
4 picks
Quinn
13 picks

3 Stock Picks

Diversification filter applied: 1 pick removed due to high same-sector price correlation with a higher-ranked pick (MPWR), avoiding concentrated sector exposure.
Sector concentration cap applied: 1 lower-ranked pick removed to keep at most 2 picks per sector (ANET), so the final list isn't over-concentrated in one sector.
#1 TERTeradyne, Inc.
5/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals  ⚠ Earnings in Window
Moderate conviction · 55%

Teradyne makes automated testing equipment for semiconductor chips and robotics, benefiting directly from the AI-driven boom in chip manufacturing. The stock has jumped nearly 20% in a month with accelerating short-term momentum. The key risk is that an earnings report in about two weeks could cause a big swing after such a sharp climb.

Stop-loss$398.30-10.4%
Today's price$444.53
Target$467.65+5.2%
Agents estimate: $468.54 (+0.2% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,052 if the target hits (+5.2%)
▼$896 if the stop-loss is hit (-10.4%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 55%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price at $444.53 is sitting right at the Bollinger upper band of $447.16, leaving almost no technical room to extend before a mean-reversion pullback toward the $385.18 midline.
  • The prior-close jump from $357.03 to $444.53 (24.51% in one session) suggests the bulk of the 'strong momentum' is a single earnings-gap event already priced in, not sustained accumulation — chasing it now means buying after the catalyst, not ahead of it.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 55% (raw model estimate: 67%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
67%
+0.1%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
76%
Very High
Nova
53%
Medium
Orion
66%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#2 MSFTMicrosoft Corporation
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals  ⚠ Earnings in Window
Moderate conviction · 55%

Microsoft runs Windows, Office, and the Azure cloud platform, and is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure buildout. The stock is climbing steadily and outpacing the broader market, which signals strong investor demand right now. The main risk is that a chunk of this gain has been a sharp one-day jump, and an earnings report later this month could introduce volatility.

Stop-loss$484.22-7.8%
Today's price$525.18
Target$552.10+5.1%
Agents estimate: $552.75 (+0.1% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,051 if the target hits (+5.1%)
▼$922 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.8%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 55%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • MACD histogram has thinned to just 0.948 (MACD 8.63 vs signal 7.68), a much weaker separation than typical 'strong crossover' setups, indicating the bullish momentum is already decelerating even as price pushes toward the upper Bollinger band of $522.41.
  • At $525.18 the stock is trading essentially at its Bollinger upper band (522.41), and 5-day momentum of just 2.2% versus the prior 30-day pace of 6.32% shows the rally losing speed, not accelerating.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 55% (raw model estimate: 69%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.7:1
60%
+1.1%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
76%
Very High
Nova
—
—
No company-specific news catalyst found and only modest 5-day price momentum (+2.2%), too weak to clear the bar versus other candidates
Orion
66%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#3 JCIJohnson Controls International plc
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals  ⚠ Earnings in Window
Moderate conviction · 55%

Johnson Controls makes building-control, HVAC, and fire-safety systems for commercial buildings. The stock is in a steady uptrend and outperforming the broader market with healthy, less-stretched technicals than some of the flashier semiconductor names. The main risk is a broad market pullback or a surprise at its earnings report later this month, though this pick carries comparatively lower risk than the others on this list.

Stop-loss$146.97-6.3%
Today's price$156.85
Target$164.95+5.2%
Agents estimate: $165.21 (+0.2% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,052 if the target hits (+5.2%)
▼$937 if the stop-loss is hit (-6.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 55%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • JCI is only 0.43% off its 52-week high and pressed against its Bollinger upper band of $156.31 (price $156.85), meaning the 'value entry' framing used for TER/MSFT doesn't apply here — there's no discount left, raising reversion risk after a 7.16% 30-day run.
  • RSI of 68.58 paired with price already above the upper Bollinger band signals a stretched short-term move; the thesis's 'not overbought' framing undercuts its own evidence given RSI is only ~1-2 points from the conventional 70 overbought line.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 55% (raw model estimate: 69%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.8:1
55%
+1.6%
0.4%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
71%
Very High
Nova
—
—
Orion
—
—
Building products/industrials isn't one of the sectors favored by the current rotation into semiconductors, AI infrastructure, and refining.
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by November 4, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by November 4, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 503 S&P 500 constituents and short-listed 27 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Up 22% on the day, +20.7% over 30 days, and only 0.7% off its 52-week high — sustained multi-window momentum with almost no overhead resistance.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-30 runs until 2026-10-30 (25 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • FTNTFortinet, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +17.8% daily move, +16.9% over 30 days, sitting just 0.3% from its 52-week high; cybersecurity demand momentum looks intact.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-24 runs until 2026-10-24 (19 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +28% daily surge, +29.8% over 30 days, essentially at its 52-week high (-0.6%) — one of the strongest trend continuations in the index.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-23 runs until 2026-10-23 (18 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • NVDANVIDIA CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Steady uptrend (+5.8% over 30 days) and within 0.5% of its 52-week high, showing the AI capex trade remains well-supported with low resistance overhead.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-22 runs until 2026-10-22 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +32% daily pop, +24.9% over 30 days, just 2.1% from its 52-week high — momentum in AI/data-center chip names remains strong.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (16 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MSFTMicrosoft CorporationPicked #2
    Scout: +5.1% on the day and +6.3% over 30 days while only 5.2% off its high; a steadier mega-cap anchor to the current tech rally.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • ANETArista Networks, Inc.Passed over
    Scout: +6.8% daily, +6.1% over 30 days, 3.7% off its 52-week high — consistent networking/data-center demand momentum.
    Aria: Failed the momentum screen — its 5-day trend is slightly negative (-0.06%) despite a positive 30-day return.
    Nova: No company-specific catalyst found and 5-day momentum is actually slightly negative, meaning the move already stalled
  • SNPSSynopsys, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +24% daily, +24.6% over 30 days; EDA/semiconductor design-software demand continuing to re-rate the stock higher.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-01 runs until 2026-10-31 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +20.8% daily, +24.4% over 30 days; a direct peer-and-beneficiary of the same EDA/AI chip design tailwind as Synopsys.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-02 runs until 2026-11-01 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +21.3% daily, +20.3% over 30 days; custom-silicon/AI networking demand momentum still building.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-10-02 runs until 2026-11-01 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.Diversification filter
    Scout: +21% daily, +21.5% over 30 days; power-management chip demand tied to AI server buildouts showing sustained strength.
    Dropped by diversification filter: 0.82 30-day daily-return correlation with TER (both in Technology).
  • DDOGDatadog, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +30% daily, +31.5% over 30 days, only 5.6% off its 52-week high — cloud-observability demand momentum is unusually strong and broad-based across windows.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-25 runs until 2026-10-25 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • TERTeradyne, Inc.Picked #1
    Scout: +24.5% daily, +19.5% over 30 days; semiconductor test-equipment demand riding the same AI capex wave.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +15.7% daily, +15.4% over 30 days, just 6% off its high; analog-chip demand recovery looks durable.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #7, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedDropped at merge
    Scout: +14.1% daily, +13.9% over 30 days; broad analog-chip strength reinforcing the semiconductor rally.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (55% after calibration)).
  • FFIVF5, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +17.4% daily, +17.7% over 30 days, within 1% of its 52-week high — application delivery/security demand showing a clean breakout.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-25 runs until 2026-10-25 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • NTAPNetApp, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +20.6% daily, +18.3% over 30 days, only 3.5% off its 52-week high; enterprise storage demand momentum looks sustained.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #6, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • AAPLApple Inc.Already held
    Scout: +4% daily and +5.3% over 30 days while only 3.6% off its 52-week high — a steadier large-cap name participating in the tech strength with less downside risk than high-beta peers.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-22 runs until 2026-10-22 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.Already held
    Scout: +10.3% daily, +12.2% over 30 days, just 1% off its 52-week high; life-sciences tools demand recovery looks genuine and durable.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-17 runs until 2026-10-17 (12 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MTDMettler-Toledo International Inc.Liquidity filter
    Scout: +14.6% daily, +16.3% over 30 days, within 1% of its 52-week high; lab-instrumentation demand strength mirrors the broader life-sciences tools rally.
    20-day average daily volume 213,939 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • RVTYRevvity, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +20.8% daily, +23.8% over 30 days, just 0.6% from its 52-week high — one of the strongest multi-window moves in the healthcare-tools group.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #8, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • CRLCharles River Laboratories International, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +7.7% daily, +10.7% over 30 days, essentially at its 52-week high (-0.4%); contract-research demand momentum looks intact.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #11, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • JCIJohnson Controls International plcPicked #3
    Scout: +8.2% daily, +7.2% over 30 days, only 0.4% off its 52-week high — building-systems/HVAC demand showing a clean, low-resistance breakout.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • VLOValero Energy CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: +13.1% daily, +9.5% over 30 days, just 0.6% off its 52-week high; refining-margin strength is a genuine near-term tailwind.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #9, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: +11.5% daily, +9% over 30 days, within 1% of its 52-week high — refiners are showing some of the cleanest sustained strength outside tech.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #10, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • PSXPhillips 66Dropped at merge
    Scout: +5.7% daily, +4.1% over 30 days, just 2.7% off its 52-week high; benefiting from the same refining-margin tailwind as peers.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 68% raw (55% after calibration)).
  • WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: +9.6% daily and essentially at its 52-week high (-0.1%) despite a flat 5-day return — a notable breakout that may reflect speculative catalysts worth monitoring closely.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (55% after calibration)).

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.