StockPicker Report — FTSE 100

Today's Market Mood

Cautious Normal choppiness · VIX 16.4

The FTSE 100 data shows a broad, sharp decline across nearly all constituents, with most names down 5-20% over the past 30 days and well off their 52-week highs — consistent with an index-wide correction rather than isolated stock weakness. Against that backdrop only a small minority of names show genuine sustained positive momentum (positive 5-day and/or 30-day returns, or proximity to 52-week highs), so candidates here are selective relative-strength plays rather than broad conviction bets.

Broad FTSE 100 correction — most constituents down double digits over 30 days and far from 52-week highsEnergy majors (Shell, BP) and select defensives showing relative resilience with positive 30-day returnsA handful of quality/growth names (Smiths Group, Diploma, Polar Capital Technology Trust, Scottish Mortgage) bucking the trend with strong sustained momentumHousebuilders (Persimmon, Barratt Redrow) staging a sharp short-term bounce off depressed levelsA small group of names trading within 1-2% of their 52-week highs (Intertek, Beazley, Alliance Witan, Schroders) offering relative stability

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

Take today0 of 0

New exposure0%

Already open58 · 183.7%

Total after today183.7% / 60%

Slots left0 of 20

Nothing new to buy today — hold the positions you already have.

Already open: BEZ.L (to Oct 2), BIIB (to Oct 3), DE (to Oct 3), ITRK.L (to Oct 8), SDR.L (to Oct 9), VOD.L (to Oct 9), TSLA (to Oct 9), HCA (to Oct 11), SHEL.L (to Oct 14), TSCO.L (to Oct 14), WMT (to Oct 14), BBY (to Oct 15) … and 46 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did

Aria

3 picks

Blaze

2 picks

Nova

1 pick

Orion

1 pick

Quinn

3 picks

No Qualifying Picks Found

All five agents analyzed the candidates but did not find any stocks meeting the probability threshold for this target.

What Each Agent Evaluated

No stock cleared the bar this run. Below is what each analyst selected and why it did not make the final report, plus the candidates each one passed over.

Aria — Momentum & Technical

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 70% · High
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
BP.LBP p.l.c. · 75% · Very High
Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 75% raw (59% after calibration)).
ALW.LAlliance Witan Plc · 75% · Very High
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 62% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

JD.L
Its share price fell 3.7% over the past 30 days, failing the basic requirement that the overall trend be positive, despite a recent 5-day bounce.

Blaze — Fundamental & Earnings

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 56% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
ALW.LAlliance Witan Plc · 53% · Medium
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 62% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
Recent 5-day momentum turned negative and the MACD trend has turned bearish, and its next earnings report falls inside the 30-day window, adding event risk without a confirmed catalyst to justify taking it on.
JD.L
Share price is down over the past month and sits well below its 52-week high, with the price still under its 50-day average, so it doesn't show the steady positive trend needed to qualify as a fallback pick when news data is unavailable.

Nova — News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 53% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
Recent 5-day momentum is essentially flat (+0.23%) and today's volume was below average, so there's no sign of a fresh move despite a positive 30-day return.
ALW.L
This is a diversified investment trust moving with broad market NAV; returns are essentially flat over both the past 5 and 30 days with no sign of a distinct catalyst or breakout.
JD.L
Shares fell on the most recent trading day and the 30-day return is negative, contradicting the positive 5-day bounce, so there's no clean fresh-move signal to act on.

Orion — Macro & Sector Rotation

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 58% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
Relative strength is positive but recent 5-day momentum turned negative and MACD just crossed bearish; earnings fall within the 30-day window, adding event risk without any confirmed sector tailwind news.
ALW.L
Price is sitting near its highs but 30-day momentum is essentially flat (under 1%) and volatility is very low, making a 5% move within 30 days unlikely without a new catalyst.
JD.L
30-day price trend is negative (-3.7%), failing the basic positive-momentum requirement despite a recent short-term bounce.

Quinn — Quantitative / Statistical

Stocks this agent selected

JD.LJD Sports Fashion Plc · 63% · High
Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: High, 63% raw (55% after calibration)).
PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
ALW.LAlliance Witan Plc · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 62% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
A Bollinger squeeze is present, but momentum is too weak to confirm it — MACD is negative and the 5-day price move is essentially flat, so the setup lacks the volume/momentum confirmation seen in the picks above.

Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 22 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

SMIN.LSmiths Group plcAlready held
Scout: Strongest momentum in the index: +8.8% over 30 days and +0.9% over 5 days, only 3.6% off its 52-week high — a genuine outperformer in a weak tape.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
PCT.LPolar Capital Technology Trust plcAlready held
Scout: +9.5% over 30 days and +0.9% over 5 days shows sustained buying; tech-trust exposure benefiting from relative strength versus the broader index.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
DPLM.LDiploma PLCAlready held
Scout: +7.85% over 30 days and only 2.8% off its 52-week high, indicating durable accumulation despite a flat last 5 days.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
PSN.LPersimmon PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Standout short-term reversal: +8.7% over 5 days and +8.5% over 30 days, suggesting a housebuilder-sector bounce with real follow-through.
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SMT.LScottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLCAlready held
Scout: +7.7% over 30 days and just 1.1% off its 52-week high — growth-trust momentum holding up well against the index-wide drawdown.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
KGF.LKingfisher plcAlready held
Scout: +6.0% over 30 days with a stable last 5 days, a rare positive-momentum retailer in an otherwise weak consumer space.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-23 runs until 2026-10-23 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
CCC.LComputacenter plcLiquidity filter
Scout: Sharp 5-day bounce of +4.4% and only 9.5% off its 52-week high, suggesting renewed buying interest after a flat 30-day period.
20-day average daily volume 375,460 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
BTRW.LBarratt Redrow plcAlready held
Scout: +4.5% over 5 days and +1.6% over 30 days — housebuilder momentum building alongside Persimmon's bounce.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SHEL.LShell plcAlready held
Scout: +4.6% over 30 days and only 4.5% off its 52-week high; energy-sector resilience makes it one of the steadiest large-caps in the index.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (13 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BP.LBP p.l.c.Dropped at merge
Scout: +2.9% over 30 days gives it one of the few positive medium-term trends in the index, tracking Shell's relative sector strength.
Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 75% raw (59% after calibration)).
VOD.LVodafone Group Public Limited CompanyAlready held
Scout: +3.9% over 30 days despite a flat last 5 days — a telecom holding up against the broader selloff.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (8 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SSE.LSSE plcAlready held
Scout: +2.8% over 30 days with a stable 5-day trend, consistent with defensive utility demand during index weakness.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
STAN.LStandard Chartered PLCAlready held
Scout: +2.3% over 30 days and only 6.2% off its 52-week high, a relative-strength bank despite sector-wide bank weakness elsewhere in the index.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-18 runs until 2026-10-18 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
IAG.LInternational Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.Already held
Scout: +2.3% over 30 days and +0.9% over 5 days, showing a steady uptrend in airline demand.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-22 runs until 2026-10-22 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
IHG.LInterContinental Hotels Group PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: +2.5% over both the 5-day and 30-day windows, a consistent uptrend among a small group of positive-momentum names.
20-day average daily volume 301,984 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
SPX.LSpirax Group plcLiquidity filter
Scout: +3.8% over 30 days and +2.9% over 5 days — accelerating short-term momentum in an industrial name.
20-day average daily volume 200,427 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
MTLN.LMetlen Energy & Metals PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: +2.1% over 30 days and +2.8% over 5 days, showing consistent buying pressure.
20-day average daily volume 144,218 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
ITRK.LIntertek Group plcAlready held
Scout: Trading just 0.1% below its 52-week high with a stable 5-day and 30-day trend — a low-volatility relative-strength holding.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-08 runs until 2026-10-08 (7 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BEZ.LBeazley plcAlready held
Scout: Only 0.1% off its 52-week high, among the most stable names in the index while peers are deeply drawn down.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-02 runs until 2026-10-02 (1 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
ALW.LAlliance Witan PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Just 1.5% off its 52-week high with a flat but positive 30-day return, signaling resilience versus the broader market.
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 62% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SDR.LSchroders plcAlready held
Scout: Only 1.75% off its 52-week high and slightly positive over both windows — relative stability in the asset-management sector.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (8 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
JD.LJD Sports Fashion PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Sharp +5.8% 5-day bounce suggests a short-term reversal attempt, though still down on the month — a higher-risk momentum trade.
Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: High, 63% raw (55% after calibration)).

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.