StockPicker Report — FTSE 100

Today's Market Mood

Neutral Normal choppiness · VIX 15.9

The FTSE 100 shows wide dispersion rather than a clean trend: several large constituents (Experian, Rentokil, Entain, Autotrader, Sage, LSEG) have posted steep 5-day and 30-day declines, while a distinct set of names — housebuilders, banks, energy majors and a handful of names sitting near their 52-week highs — show genuine sustained momentum. Given the breadth of weakness elsewhere, this looks like a stock-picker's market rather than a broad bullish or bearish regime, so candidates below are concentrated in the pockets showing real multi-window strength.

Housebuilders (Persimmon, Barratt Redrow) rallying hard on rate-cut and demand optimismEnergy majors (BP, Shell) rebounding with crude strength and proximity to highsBanks/financials (Standard Chartered, NatWest, Bank of Georgia) showing consistent 30-day strengthDefensive/quality compounders (Beazley, Intertek, Spirax, Diploma) trading near 52-week highs with steady uptrendsBroad weakness in consumer discretionary, gambling and business-services names dragging index breadth lower

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

Take today0 of 2

New exposure0%

Already open61 · 231.7%

Total after today231.7% / 60%

Slots left0 of 20

Rank	Stock	Action	Size	Entry → Target	Notes
#1	UU.L	SKIP	—	£1,413.00 → £1,483.65 stop £1,308.44	Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#2	ABDN.L	SKIP	—	£248.40 → £260.82 stop £227.78	Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.

Already open: IMI.L (to Sep 30), HSX.L (to Oct 1), LSEG.L (to Oct 1), BEZ.L (to Oct 2), BIIB (to Oct 3), DE (to Oct 3), ELV (to Oct 4), HSBA.L (to Oct 7), ITRK.L (to Oct 8), SDR.L (to Oct 9), VOD.L (to Oct 9), TSLA (to Oct 9) … and 49 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did

Aria

3 picks

Blaze

3 picks

Nova

2 picks

Orion

3 picks

Quinn

3 picks

2 Stock Picks

#1 UU.LUnited Utilities Group PLC

4/5 Agents Agree Risk 4/10 ⚠ Conflicting Signals

Moderate conviction · 55%

United Utilities is the regulated water and wastewater company serving North West England. Its share price has been climbing steadily and outpacing the broader market, with technical signals pointing to a stable, well-supported uptrend. The main risk is that utilities tend to move slowly, so a 5% gain could take the full 30 days, and any regulatory or rate news could disrupt the trend.

Stop-loss£1,308.44-7.4%

Today's price£1,413.00

Target£1,483.65+5.0%

If you invested £1,000

▲£1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)

▼£926 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.4%)

The AI puts the chance of the win case at 55%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

Positive 30-day and 5-day momentum, beating the FTSE benchmark by +3.3%
RSI at 58.8 is in the healthy strength zone, with a clearly bullish MACD (line above signal, positive histogram)
Price is above a rising 50-day average which is above the 200-day average, a constructive trend
Regulated utility earnings are relatively predictable, reducing surprise risk
Positive, steady trend: 30-day and 5-day returns both positive
Price sits above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating an established uptrend
Trading just over 5% below its 52-week high, suggesting incremental room to run
Price is sitting exactly at its 30-day high with a positive MACD and a steady, if modest, uptrend

What could go wrong

Momentum could stall or reverse if the broader market pulls back
Utility stocks are typically slow movers, so hitting a 5% target within 30 days is not guaranteed even in an uptrend
Recent news and catalyst data could not be retrieved for this run, so an undetected negative headline can't be ruled out
Fundamental catalyst data was unavailable — thesis rests on price action
Utilities typically move slowly, making a 5% move in 30 days a stretch without a specific catalyst
Next earnings date falls outside the 30-day window but adds longer-term uncertainty

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate

Today's price action contradicts the bull case: UU.L fell 1.26% to 1413 from a previous close of 1431, and at 1413 it is actually already below the cited 50-day SMA of 1390.06's upside but more importantly below its own recent high — the 'sitting at 30-day high' claim doesn't match a stock that just dropped through its prior close.
The MACD histogram of 6.65 is extended relative to a signal line of only 0.85, an unusually wide gap for a low-volatility utility (ATR14 just 29.54 vs price 1413), suggesting the move is stretched rather than freshly breaking out.

Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 55% (raw model estimate: 60%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

Reward : Risk0.7:1

Breakeven Win Rate60%

Expected Value+0.0%

Suggested Allocation0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria

72%

Very High

Blaze

56%

Medium

Nova

—

Shares closed down today despite mild positive monthly return, failing the 'fresh move up' requirement

Orion

53%

Medium

Quinn

60%

Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo Finance Finviz MarketWatch Seeking Alpha

#2 ABDN.LAberdeen Group Plc

3/5 Agents Agree Risk 5/10 ⚠ Conflicting Signals

Moderate conviction · 55%

abrdn (Aberdeen Group) is a UK investment and asset management company. Its shares have been quietly grinding higher and beating the broader market, and the chart is coiled tightly in a way that often precedes a breakout move. The main risk is that as a financial firm its fortunes are tied to market sentiment, so a broader market wobble could stall the trend.

Stop-loss£227.78-8.3%

Today's price£248.40

Target£260.82+5.0%

If you invested £1,000

▲£1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)

▼£917 if the stop-loss is hit (-8.3%)

The AI puts the chance of the win case at 55%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

30-day price return +1.4% with positive 5-day momentum, beating the FTSE benchmark by +3.9%
RSI at 53.6 sits in the healthy strength zone, and MACD is bullish (line above signal, positive histogram)
Price is stacked above a rising 50-day average which sits above the 200-day average, a constructive trend structure
Bollinger Band squeeze detected, which often precedes a volatility expansion
Consistent positive trend over both 30-day and 5-day windows
Trading roughly 6% below its 52-week high, a modest value-entry cushion
Price sits well above its 200-day average, indicating a longer-term uptrend
Bollinger Band squeeze detected, often a precursor to a breakout move

What could go wrong

Momentum could reverse quickly if broader market sentiment turns, especially for a financial-sector stock
No earnings date is currently scheduled, so there's no clear near-term catalyst to drive the move
Recent news and catalyst data could not be retrieved for this run, so an undetected negative headline can't be ruled out
Fundamental catalyst data was unavailable — thesis rests on price action
Momentum signals are milder than other candidates (MACD close to flat)
No confirmed earnings date available to check for upcoming event risk

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate

The Bollinger squeeze is directionally ambiguous — a squeeze precedes a breakout in either direction, yet ABDN.L just fell 1.51% today to 248.4 from 252.2, printing a bearish RSI-neutral MACD (line -0.0777 still below signal-crossing territory at -0.446, barely positive histogram of 0.37), which is a weak setup for a squeeze resolving upward.
30-day return of just 1.39% with 5-day momentum decelerating to 0.52% (down from the 30-day figure's pace) shows momentum stalling, not accelerating, right as the stock sits only ~6% off its 52-week high.

Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 55% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

Reward : Risk0.6:1

Breakeven Win Rate62%

Expected Value+0.2%

Suggested Allocation0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria

77%

Very High

Blaze

56%

Medium

Nova

—

Shares closed down today and momentum is only marginally positive, too weak to support a catalyst-driven pick

Orion

—

Modest positive trend but its sector (asset management) doesn't fit the housebuilder/energy/utility strength pattern seen elsewhere, and no catalyst could be confirmed

Quinn

60%

Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo Finance Finviz MarketWatch Seeking Alpha

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by October 30, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
Exit all positions by October 30, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing	What It Means	Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5	Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed	Up to 10%
4/5	Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned	Up to 8%
3/5	High conviction — three agents independently agreed	Up to 6%
2/5	Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed	Up to 4%
1 Agent	Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence	Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

Stop-loss hit — exit the moment the price falls to the Max Downside % shown on the pick card. Apply this rule without exception.
Target hit — sell when the stock reaches its Target Price. You may choose to sell half and trail the remainder, but always lock in at least some profit.
Time's up — close all positions by October 30, 2026. The agents built their thesis around a 30-day window; beyond that, the original analysis no longer applies.

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter

Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge

The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.

e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.

✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.

If You Invested $1,000

$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100) / $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)

The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.

e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.

✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.

Current Price

Market price at time of analysis

The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.

e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.

✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.

Target Price

Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)

The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.

e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.

✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.

Target Gain

(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100

The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.

e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.

✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.

Max Downside

Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry

The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.

e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.

⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.

Reward : Risk

Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|

How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.

e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).

✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.

Breakeven Win Rate

|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100

The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.

e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.

✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.

Expected Value

(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)

The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.

e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.

✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.

Suggested Allocation

half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%

The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.

e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.

Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.

Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 24 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

PSN.LPersimmon PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Strongest momentum in the index: +12.7% over 5 days and +14.4% over 30 days as housebuilders re-rate on rate-cut expectations; still well off its 52-week high, leaving room to run.
Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 57% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
BTRW.LBarratt Redrow plcAlready held
Scout: Housebuilder sector tailwind mirrors Persimmon, with +9.4% over 5 days and +6.3% over 30 days signalling sustained sector rotation into homebuilders.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SMIN.LSmiths Group plcAlready held
Scout: +10.5% 30-day return and only ~2% off its 52-week high; momentum and proximity to highs both support continuation.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SMT.LScottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLCAlready held
Scout: Sitting within 1% of its 52-week high with a +8.5% 30-day return, showing persistent risk-on flows into growth/tech-heavy trusts.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
STAN.LStandard Chartered PLCAlready held
Scout: Consistent bank strength: +5.6% recent move backed by a +6.0% 30-day trend and only ~3% from its 52-week high.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-18 runs until 2026-10-18 (18 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
KGF.LKingfisher plcAlready held
Scout: +8.1% 30-day return reflects improving retail/DIY sentiment; still 10% below its high, leaving upside room within the trend.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-23 runs until 2026-10-23 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
DPLM.LDiploma PLCAlready held
Scout: Quality industrial distributor near its 52-week high (-2.3%) with a +8.4% 30-day return, a classic steady-momentum setup.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
PCT.LPolar Capital Technology Trust plcAlready held
Scout: +9.9% 30-day return tracking tech-sector strength, with the 5-day trend still positive.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SPX.LSpirax Group plcLiquidity filter
Scout: Positive across both the 5-day and 30-day windows (+2.0%/+5.0%) with steady proximity to its highs.
20-day average daily volume 195,398 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
BGEO.LLion Finance Group PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: +7.0% 30-day gain and just ~3% from its 52-week high, showing durable strength in this high-growth bank.
20-day average daily volume 82,632 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
SHEL.LShell plcAlready held
Scout: Only 5% off its 52-week high with a positive 30-day trend; crude price strength supports a near-term catalyst for further upside.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (15 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BP.LBP p.l.c.Dropped at merge
Scout: Sharp recent bounce alongside sector peer Shell, with a positive 30-day trend riding the same energy tailwind.
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 53% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
IHG.LInterContinental Hotels Group PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: Positive on both the 5-day (+3.3%) and 30-day (+3.6%) windows, indicating resilient travel/leisure demand.
20-day average daily volume 295,796 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
CRDA.LCroda International PlcLiquidity filter
Scout: Recent 5-day strength (+2.5%) and only ~5% from its 52-week high suggest the stock is stabilizing near resistance with room to break out.
20-day average daily volume 454,173 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
NWG.LNatWest Group plcAlready held
Scout: Steady positive trend across both windows and only ~5% from its 52-week high, consistent with broader UK bank strength.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-17 runs until 2026-10-17 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
ITRK.LIntertek Group plcAlready held
Scout: Trading essentially at its 52-week high with a stable positive trend, a classic low-volatility momentum name.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-08 runs until 2026-10-08 (8 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BEZ.LBeazley plcAlready held
Scout: Within 0.1% of its 52-week high with consistent small positive moves across both windows — a quality insurer in a clear uptrend.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-02 runs until 2026-10-02 (2 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
MKS.LMarks and Spencer Group plcDropped at merge
Scout: Sharp +4.9% 5-day bounce signals renewed buying interest after a 30-day pullback, with the stock still within reach of its highs.
Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (55% after calibration)).
JD.LJD Sports Fashion PlcPassed over
Scout: Strong +9.5% 5-day reversal suggests a turn in sentiment after weakness, offering a near-term bounce catalyst.
Aria: 30-day price return is negative and the stock is underperforming the benchmark, failing the screen
Blaze: Stock fell sharply just after an earnings date that already passed this week — a negative price reaction rather than a supportive trend.
Nova: 30-day return is negative and shares dropped over 6% today, the opposite of the fresh-momentum signal this framework requires
Orion: 30-day trend is negative and the stock trades below its 50-day average, showing weak relative strength versus the market
Quinn: Meets a baseline multi-factor setup but the potential downside (-7.1%) is large relative to the 5% target, and today's session shows a sharp single-day drop, making the risk-reward less attractive than other candidates.
SVT.LSevern Trent PLCPassed over
Scout: Defensive utility posting steady gains across both windows (+1.7%/+1.1%) and close to its 52-week high, a lower-volatility momentum candidate.
Aria: 5-day momentum is slightly negative, failing the short-term momentum requirement despite a positive 30-day trend
Blaze: 30-day gain is only marginal and 5-day momentum is essentially flat-to-negative, a weaker trend than the selected candidates.
Nova: 5-day momentum is flat to slightly negative and the stock closed down today, so there's no fresh move to support a catalyst thesis
Orion: Similar modest positive trend to United Utilities but slightly further from its recent high; passed over to avoid duplicate water-utility exposure
Quinn: 5-day momentum has turned negative and trading volume is diverging from price, undermining the positive MACD signal.
UU.LUnited Utilities Group PLCPicked #1
Scout: Positive 5-day (+2.0%) and 30-day trend with proximity to highs, mirroring utility-sector strength.
Made the final report at #1.
SSE.LSSE plcAlready held
Scout: +3.5% 30-day return with steady near-term gains, benefiting from renewed interest in UK utilities/infrastructure.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
VOD.LVodafone Group Public Limited CompanyAlready held
Scout: Positive 30-day trend (+2.8%) and close proximity to its 52-week high after a recent bounce.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (9 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
ABDN.LAberdeen Group PlcPicked #2
Scout: Modest but consistent positive momentum across both windows and only ~6% from its 52-week high.
Made the final report at #2.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.