StockPicker Report — FTSE 100

Today's Market Mood

Cautious Normal choppiness · VIX 16.0

The FTSE 100 experienced a broad, sharp single-day selloff with dozens of constituents down 5-18%, indicating a significant risk-off shock across most sectors. A handful of stocks bucked the trend with strong gains on the day backed by positive 5-day and 30-day momentum, concentrated in housebuilders, banks, energy majors, and a few names sitting near their 52-week highs.

Broad index-wide selloff with isolated pockets of strengthHousebuilders (Persimmon, Barratt Redrow) rallying on rate/sentiment optimismEnergy majors (Shell, BP) gaining on oil price strengthFinancials (Standard Chartered, NatWest) showing relative resilience near highs

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

Take today0 of 0

New exposure0%

Already open61 · 238.7%

Total after today238.7% / 60%

Slots left0 of 20

Nothing new to buy today — hold the positions you already have.

Already open: IMI.L (to Sep 30), HSX.L (to Oct 1), LSEG.L (to Oct 1), BEZ.L (to Oct 2), BIIB (to Oct 3), DE (to Oct 3), ELV (to Oct 4), HSBA.L (to Oct 7), ITRK.L (to Oct 8), SDR.L (to Oct 9), VOD.L (to Oct 9), TSLA (to Oct 9) … and 49 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did

Aria

4 picks

Blaze

2 picks

Nova

1 pick

Orion

2 picks

Quinn

3 picks

No Qualifying Picks Found

All five agents analyzed the candidates but did not find any stocks meeting the probability threshold for this target.

What Each Agent Evaluated

No stock cleared the bar this run. Below is what each analyst selected and why it did not make the final report, plus the candidates each one passed over.

Aria — Momentum & Technical

Stocks this agent selected

WTB.LWhitbread plc · 72% · Very High
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 66% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
AZN.LAstraZeneca PLC · 70% · High
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 65% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
BP.LBP p.l.c. · 57% · Medium
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 56% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

MKS.L
Share price fell over the past 30 days, failing the requirement for a positive overall trend

Blaze — Fundamental & Earnings

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 56% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
BP.LBP p.l.c. · 56% · Medium
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 56% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

WTB.L
Trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages with a flat 30-day return, and its earnings report falls inside the 30-day window (about 16 days out), adding binary event risk on top of a weak technical setup.
AZN.L
Up only modestly over 30 days and 5-day momentum has stalled near zero; it's also trading below its 200-day moving average, so it lacks the clearly constructive trend needed as a fundamental proxy without confirmed catalyst data.
MKS.L
30-day price return is negative and the stock sits below its 50-day moving average, failing the positive-trend requirement used as a fallback proxy when catalyst data is unavailable.

Nova — News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 56% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
Today's 7% rally lacked confirmation — 5-day momentum is nearly flat, trading volume was below its 20-day average, and MACD just turned bearish
WTB.L
Share price fell today and both 5-day and 30-day momentum are close to flat — no fresh positive move to use as a catalyst proxy
AZN.L
5-day return is negative despite today's bounce, and volume was below average — momentum isn't strong enough to confirm a move
MKS.L
Share price fell today and the 30-day trend is negative — moving the wrong direction for a bullish thesis

Orion — Macro & Sector Rotation

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 60% · High
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
BP.LBP p.l.c. · 54% · Medium
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 56% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

WTB.L
Shares fell today and the stock has been essentially flat over the past month, showing no positive trend or momentum to build a case on
AZN.L
Although up on the day, the stock has lost ground over the last 5 days and sits well below its 200-day trend line, showing a shaky rather than confirmed uptrend
MKS.L
Shares fell today, the stock is down over the past month, and it is underperforming the wider market, none of which support a near-term gain case

Quinn — Quantitative / Statistical

Stocks this agent selected

PSN.LPersimmon Plc · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
WTB.LWhitbread plc · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 66% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
AZN.LAstraZeneca PLC · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 65% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
None of the quantitative setup conditions were met — RSI is neutral (49.9), the MACD histogram is negative, there's no Bollinger squeeze, and the 30-day return is only +1.7%, well short of the momentum threshold.
MKS.L
A positive MACD and a Bollinger squeeze were offset by a confirmed volume divergence — price movement is not being backed by trading volume, a distribution warning sign — pushing the probability down to the framework's 50% floor with Low confidence, and the 30-day return is still negative.

Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 20 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

PSN.LPersimmon PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Up nearly 13% today with strong 5-day (+11.4%) and 30-day (+15.6%) momentum, signaling a genuine breakout in housebuilders.
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
BTRW.LBarratt Redrow plcAlready held
Scout: Sustained housebuilder rally with +7% today, +10% over 5 days and +9% over 30 days.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
STAN.LStandard Chartered PLCAlready held
Scout: Up 7% today and sitting just 1.3% off its 52-week high, indicating strong sustained momentum in financials.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-18 runs until 2026-10-18 (19 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SMIN.LSmiths Group plcAlready held
Scout: Up 8.4% today, +10.7% over 30 days, and only 1.9% from its 52-week high.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
DPLM.LDiploma PLCAlready held
Scout: Up 6.75% today with consistent 30-day momentum (+9.75%) and near its 52-week high.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-28 runs until 2026-10-28 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BGEO.LLion Finance Group PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: Up 7.15% today with steady 5- and 30-day gains, trading near its 52-week high.
20-day average daily volume 76,838 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
SHEL.LShell plcAlready held
Scout: Up 7.5% today on apparent oil price strength, with positive 5-day and 30-day trends.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (15 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BP.LBP p.l.c.Dropped at merge
Scout: Up 7% today, benefiting from the same energy price tailwind as Shell, with positive multi-week momentum.
Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 56% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SMT.LScottish Mortgage Investment TrustAlready held
Scout: Up 6.2% today and trading within 1% of its 52-week high on strong 30-day growth-stock momentum.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
PCT.LPolar Capital Technology TrustAlready held
Scout: Up 6% today with a strong 30-day gain of 9.4%, reflecting tech-sector risk appetite.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
IHG.LInterContinental Hotels Group PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: Resilient with +4.8% over 5 days and +3.6% over 30 days despite the broader market weakness.
20-day average daily volume 307,145 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
VOD.LVodafone Group plcAlready held
Scout: Up 4.6% today with a positive 30-day trend, showing relative strength versus peers.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (10 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
NWG.LNatWest Group plcAlready held
Scout: Up 1.3% today and holding a positive 30-day trend just 5% off its 52-week high.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-17 runs until 2026-10-17 (18 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
KGF.LKingfisher plcAlready held
Scout: Up over 4% today with a solid 30-day gain of 6.3%, suggesting building momentum in retail.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-23 runs until 2026-10-23 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
MTLN.LMetlen Energy & Metals PLCLiquidity filter
Scout: Modest but consistent positive 5-day and 30-day returns despite sector-wide mining weakness.
20-day average daily volume 141,389 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
ITRK.LIntertek Group plcAlready held
Scout: Trading exactly at its 52-week high with steady positive short-term momentum, a sign of persistent buyer interest.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-08 runs until 2026-10-08 (9 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
WTB.LWhitbread plcDropped at merge
Scout: Positive 5-day return of 2.3% bucking a weak leisure-sector backdrop.
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 66% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
AZN.LAstraZeneca PLCDropped at merge
Scout: Up nearly 4% today and positive over 30 days, showing defensive-pharma resilience amid the broader rout.
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 65% raw (55% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
TSCO.LTesco PLCAlready held
Scout: Up 3% today, holding roughly flat over 30 days, reflecting defensive grocery demand during market stress.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (15 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
MKS.LMarks and Spencer Group plcPassed over
Scout: Positive 5-day return of 2.2%, showing relative resilience versus the broader retail sector decline.
Aria: Share price fell over the past 30 days, failing the requirement for a positive overall trend
Blaze: 30-day price return is negative and the stock sits below its 50-day moving average, failing the positive-trend requirement used as a fallback proxy when catalyst data is unavailable.
Nova: Share price fell today and the 30-day trend is negative — moving the wrong direction for a bullish thesis
Orion: Shares fell today, the stock is down over the past month, and it is underperforming the wider market, none of which support a near-term gain case
Quinn: A positive MACD and a Bollinger squeeze were offset by a confirmed volume divergence — price movement is not being backed by trading volume, a distribution warning sign — pushing the probability down to the framework's 50% floor with Low confidence, and the 30-day return is still negative.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.