StockPicker Report — FTSE 100

Today's Market Mood

Cautious Normal choppiness · VIX 15.7

The FTSE 100 is in a broad, sharp correction — the large majority of constituents are down high-single to double-digit percentages over the past 30 days, with many well off their 52-week highs. Only a small cluster of names, concentrated in energy, defensive quality compounders, and a few financials/investment trusts, have held up or continued rising through the rout, making them the more credible near-term relative-strength candidates rather than broad market beta.

Broad index-wide risk-off correction with most FTSE 100 names down double digits over 30 daysEnergy majors (Shell, BP) bucking the trend on firmer oil pricesQuality/defensive compounders (Smiths Group, Diploma, Intertek, Beazley) trading near 52-week highs despite the wider selloffSelective financial and investment-trust resilience (Standard Chartered, Schroders, Alliance Witan, Scottish Mortgage, Polar Capital Technology Trust)

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

Take today0 of 0

New exposure0%

Already open64 · 309.7%

Total after today309.7% / 60%

Slots left0 of 20

Nothing new to buy today — hold the positions you already have.

Already open: GILD (to Sep 25), ANET (to Sep 26), AMZN (to Sep 26), MSFT (to Sep 27), IMI.L (to Sep 30), NOW (to Oct 1), HSX.L (to Oct 1), LSEG.L (to Oct 1), ADM (to Oct 2), MCK (to Oct 2), BEZ.L (to Oct 2), BIIB (to Oct 3) … and 52 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did

Aria

3 picks

Blaze

3 picks

Nova

2 picks

Orion

3 picks

Quinn

3 picks

No Qualifying Picks Found

All five agents analyzed the candidates but did not find any stocks meeting the probability threshold for this target.

What Each Agent Evaluated

No stock cleared the bar this run. Below is what each analyst selected and why it did not make the final report, plus the candidates each one passed over.

Aria — Momentum & Technical

Stocks this agent selected

DPLM.LDiploma PLC · 75% · Very High
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
ALW.LAlliance Witan Plc · 72% · Very High
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 66% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SMIN.LSmiths Group plc · 65% · High
Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
Despite a strong 30-day gain, the stock has slipped over the last 5 days (-2.6%), failing the short-term momentum requirement
SGRO.L
Share price is down slightly over the past month, failing the positive trend requirement

Blaze — Fundamental & Earnings

Stocks this agent selected

BP.LBP p.l.c. · 69% · High
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 64% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SMIN.LSmiths Group plc · 53% · Medium
Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
DPLM.LDiploma PLC · 53% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

ALW.L
Share price is essentially flat over the past 30 days with only modest outperformance versus the market — too weak a trend to support a 5% move, and no fundamental catalyst data was available to offset that.
SGRO.L
30-day price return is negative, failing the positive-trend bar needed when fundamental catalyst data is unavailable, despite a tight trading range that could break either direction.

Nova — News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Stocks this agent selected

SMIN.LSmiths Group plc · 53% · Medium
Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
DPLM.LDiploma PLC · 53% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

BP.L
Even though the stock is up over the past month, its price has actually been sliding over the last 5 days, which doesn't fit the fresh-move pattern we look for when news data isn't available
ALW.L
Price has barely moved over the past month and is only modestly outperforming the market, showing no sign of a fresh catalyst-driven move
SGRO.L
Share price is down slightly over the past month, which rules it out as a positive-momentum candidate

Orion — Macro & Sector Rotation

Stocks this agent selected

SMIN.LSmiths Group plc · 61% · High
Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
BP.LBP p.l.c. · 58% · Medium
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 64% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
DPLM.LDiploma PLC · 56% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

ALW.L
Belongs to a sector (investment trusts) that has held up in the correction, but its own price is essentially flat over the past month with very little volatility, making a 5% move in 30 days unlikely based on current trend.
SGRO.L
As a property/REIT stock it is more sensitive to interest rates, a headwind in the current environment, and its price has actually fallen slightly over the past month with no clear upward trend.

Quinn — Quantitative / Statistical

Stocks this agent selected

DPLM.LDiploma PLC · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
ALW.LAlliance Witan Plc · 60% · Medium
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 66% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SGRO.LSEGRO Plc · 60% · Medium
Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (56% after calibration)).

Candidates passed over

SMIN.L
Price momentum looks strong, but trading volume is diverging from the price rise (a distribution warning), which pulls the computed probability down to the 50% floor with low confidence.
BP.L
No quantitative setup triggered — RSI is neutral, the MACD histogram is negative, and there is no Bollinger squeeze or golden cross present.

Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 22 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

PCT.LPolar Capital Technology Trust plcAlready held
Scout: Up 10.7% over 30 days and 5% over 5 days, only ~11% off its 52-week high while the index is broadly down — strongest momentum in the index, tech-trust NAV likely tracking a resilient tech tape.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SMIN.LSmiths Group plcDropped at merge
Scout: Up 5.6% over 30 days and a sharp 8.1% over the last 5 days, sitting only 1.5% off its 52-week high — clear accelerating momentum against the broader market decline.
Average probability across the 4 agent(s) that selected it was 58% raw (48% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
DPLM.LDiploma PLCDropped at merge
Scout: Up 7.2% over 30 days and 5.3% over 5 days, less than 1% from its 52-week high — one of the few names showing sustained strength through the correction.
Average probability across the 5 agent(s) that selected it was 60% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
SMT.LScottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLCAlready held
Scout: Up 7.6% over 30 days and 3.4% over 5 days, just 1.5% off its 52-week high — growth-trust NAV holding up despite the wider selloff.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BGEO.LLion Finance Group PLC (Bank of Georgia)Liquidity filter
Scout: Up 6.7% over 30 days and 2.2% over 5 days, under 1% from its 52-week high — resilient regional bank momentum uncorrelated with the FTSE-wide drawdown.
20-day average daily volume 77,476 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
SHEL.LShell plcAlready held
Scout: Up 7.2% over 30 days and 2% over 5 days on firmer oil, only 3% off its 52-week high — energy sector providing a rare pocket of strength.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BP.LBP p.l.c.Dropped at merge
Scout: Up 7.1% over 30 days and 1.4% over 5 days, 6% off its 52-week high — tracking the same energy-price tailwind as Shell with room to re-test highs.
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 64% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
KGF.LKingfisher plcAlready held
Scout: Accelerating momentum — up 6.1% over the last 5 days versus 3.3% over 30 days — a retailer bucking the broader consumer-stock weakness seen elsewhere in the index.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-23 runs until 2026-10-23 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
ITRK.LIntertek Group plcAlready held
Scout: Essentially flat but positive over both 5- and 30-day windows and sitting just 0.3% from its 52-week high — a defensive testing/inspection business showing rare stability.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-08 runs until 2026-10-08 (14 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BEZ.LBeazley plcAlready held
Scout: Positive on both 5- and 30-day windows and only 0.3% from its 52-week high — specialty insurer showing the steadiest relative strength in the index.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-02 runs until 2026-10-02 (8 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
IMI.LIMI plcAlready held
Scout: Up modestly on both 5- and 30-day windows, under 2% from its 52-week high — industrial engineer holding firm against the sector-wide drawdown.
Already held: a position opened 2026-08-31 runs until 2026-09-30 (7 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
STAN.LStandard Chartered PLCAlready held
Scout: Up 2.8% over 30 days and just 3.75% off its 52-week high despite a recent 3.5% 5-day dip — an emerging-markets-levered bank that has largely shrugged off the domestic UK weakness.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-18 runs until 2026-10-18 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SDR.LSchroders plcAlready held
Scout: Positive on both 5- and 30-day windows, under 2% from its 52-week high — asset manager showing rare consistency through the correction.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (15 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
ALW.LAlliance Witan PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Steady small positive returns on both 5- and 30-day windows and just 1.4% off its 52-week high — global investment trust showing unusual stability.
Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 66% raw (56% after calibration), below the 58% minimum to qualify.
TSCO.LTesco PLCAlready held
Scout: Up 3.4% over 30 days and only 6.5% off its 52-week high — defensive grocer holding up better than most consumer names in a weak tape.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
LGEN.LLegal & General Group PlcAlready held
Scout: Up 2.9% over 30 days, under 7% from its 52-week high — insurer showing relative resilience versus peers like Aviva and Prudential which are down sharply.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SSE.LSSE plcAlready held
Scout: Up 4.4% over 30 days — utility/renewables name outperforming the broader index and less exposed to the risk-off dynamics hitting cyclicals.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
VOD.LVodafone Group Public Limited CompanyAlready held
Scout: Up 6.5% over 30 days and only 5% off its 52-week high despite a recent pullback — the 30-day trend suggests underlying strength that could resume.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (15 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
SGRO.LSEGRO PlcDropped at merge
Scout: Turned positive over the last 5 days and sits just under 5% from its 52-week high — logistics REIT showing an early reversal against the broader property-sector weakness.
Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (56% after calibration)).
HSX.LHiscox LtdAlready held
Scout: Up 2.2% over 30 days and only 4% off its 52-week high — specialty insurer holding up notably better than the wider financials complex.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-01 runs until 2026-10-01 (7 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
BATS.LBritish American Tobacco p.l.c.Already held
Scout: Positive on both 5- and 30-day windows — classic defensive/high-yield name attracting rotation as investors de-risk from cyclicals.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-15 runs until 2026-10-15 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
DCC.LDCC plcAlready held
Scout: Small but consistent gains over both 5- and 30-day windows and under 4.5% from its 52-week high — steady energy-distribution compounder holding firm.
Already held: a position opened 2026-09-18 runs until 2026-10-18 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.