AI Stock Picks — NASDAQ 100

Monday, September 21, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Neutral  Normal choppiness · VIX 15.0

The NASDAQ 100 is showing a bifurcated tape: a broad swath of consumer, industrial, and healthcare names are down double digits over the past 30 days, while AI infrastructure, semiconductors, and select mega-cap tech names are rallying hard on strong 5-day and 30-day momentum and are trading close to their 52-week highs. The rally is concentrated rather than broad-based, so selectivity matters more than usual.

AI infrastructure and semiconductor capex momentum (memory, foundry equipment, networking optics)Mega-cap tech strength (AAPL, META, NVDA, GOOGL) holding near 52-week highs while broader index lagsSharp differentiation between beaten-down defensives/consumer names and a narrow group of high-momentum winners

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 0
0%
84 · 488.4%
488.4% / 60%
0 of 20

Nothing new to buy today — hold the positions you already have.

Already open: COP (to Sep 23), KO (to Sep 23), MA (to Sep 23), AAL.L (to Sep 23), GOOGL (to Sep 23), TGT (to Sep 24), V (to Sep 24), RIO.L (to Sep 24), SDLF.L (to Sep 25), GILD (to Sep 25), ANET (to Sep 26), IQV (to Sep 26) … and 72 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
6 picks
Blaze
6 picks
Nova
1 pick
Orion
6 picks
Quinn
7 picks

No Qualifying Picks Found

All five agents analyzed the candidates but did not find any stocks meeting the probability threshold for this target.

What Each Agent Evaluated

No stock cleared the bar this run. Below is what each analyst selected and why it did not make the final report, plus the candidates each one passed over.

Aria — Momentum & Technical

Stocks this agent selected

  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc. · 75% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.2% stop.
  • ALABAstera Labs, Inc. · 75% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.38 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -13.1% stop.
  • ARMArm Holdings plc · 75% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.43 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.7% stop.
  • INTCIntel Corporation · 65% · High
    Reward-to-risk 0.46 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.9% stop.
  • METAMeta Platforms, Inc. · 50% · Low
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 53% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.

Candidates passed over

  • NVDA
    30-day gain is positive but the stock has stalled over the last 5 days, failing the momentum requirement
  • NBIS
    Despite a positive monthly gain, the stock has pulled back nearly 5% over the last 5 days, failing the momentum requirement
  • SNDK
    Recent 5-day trend has turned negative even though the monthly trend is still positive
  • MU
    Slightly negative over the last 5 days despite a positive monthly gain, so it doesn't clear the momentum bar
  • STX
    Falling over the last 5 days and underperforming the broader market, failing both momentum and relative-strength checks

Blaze — Fundamental & Earnings

Stocks this agent selected

  • NVDANVIDIA Corporation · 63% · High
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.0% stop.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc. · 83% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.2% stop.
  • SNDKSandisk Corporation · 83% · Very High
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 83% raw (67% after calibration)).
  • STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc · 83% · Very High
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 83% raw (67% after calibration)).
  • LITELumentum Holdings Inc. · 83% · Very High
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 83% raw (67% after calibration)).

Candidates passed over

  • META
    Last quarter's earnings actually missed expectations by double digits and the stock is already up 35% in 30 days with an overbought RSI near 78 plus heavy insider selling — no confirmed positive catalyst to justify chasing further.
  • WBD
    The EPS 'beat' came against a very low bar while actual revenue and net income both fell sharply year-over-year; the stock is already at its 52-week high with an overbought RSI near 76 and heavy insider selling.
  • ASML
    30-day price return is negative and underperforming the Nasdaq benchmark by more than 6 points, and its earnings report lands inside the 30-day holding window, adding binary event risk on top of soft momentum.
  • ALAB
    Genuine earnings beat and steep discount to its 52-week high, but insider selling has been extremely heavy (~$209M) and the stock already jumped over 30% in just the last 5 trading days, suggesting much of the good news is priced in.
  • TER
    Solid earnings beat, but next-quarter revenue guidance was roughly flat to down sequentially rather than raised, a weaker signal than similarly-priced peers in this group.

Nova — News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Stocks this agent selected

  • MUMicron Technology, Inc. · 63% · High
    Reward-to-risk 0.48 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.5% stop.

Candidates passed over

  • NVDA
    Price jumped nearly 6% today but the news search found no company-specific catalyst behind it — just broad AI-sector enthusiasm
  • META
    Huge 35% run-up over 30 days, but no specific catalyst turned up — only a passing mention in a generic market roundup, and the stock already looks overbought
  • ARM
    Massive 32% 30-day gain with no confirmed company-specific news behind it
  • INTC
    Enormous 35% 30-day surge, but no specific catalyst was found in the news search to explain or confirm it's still got room to run
  • WBD
    Stock is up and overbought, but the only news mentioning it is a generic multi-company market roundup, not a specific catalyst

Orion — Macro & Sector Rotation

Stocks this agent selected

  • NVDANVIDIA Corporation · 76% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.0% stop.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc. · 73% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.2% stop.
  • ALABAstera Labs, Inc. · 73% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.38 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -13.1% stop.
  • ARMArm Holdings plc · 73% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.43 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.7% stop.
  • INTCIntel Corporation · 73% · Very High
    Reward-to-risk 0.46 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.9% stop.

Candidates passed over

  • META
    Already up 35% in a month with an overbought RSI near 78 and trading above its own recent trading band — too extended, and no sector-specific tailwind was confirmed for its industry.
  • WBD
    Media/entertainment doesn't belong to the semiconductor/AI-infrastructure sector currently favored by the rally, so it was excluded from consideration.
  • NBIS
    Despite a positive monthly return, the last 5 days show a nearly 5% pullback and a bearish volume-price divergence.
  • SNDK
    Recent 5-day momentum is negative and volume signals aren't confirming the price gains.
  • STX
    Underperforming the broader tech benchmark and losing momentum over the past week.

Quinn — Quantitative / Statistical

Stocks this agent selected

  • INTCIntel Corporation · 62% · High
    Reward-to-risk 0.46 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.9% stop.
  • WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. · 60% · Medium
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 55% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • ARMArm Holdings plc · 60% · Medium
    Reward-to-risk 0.43 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.7% stop.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc. · 60% · Medium
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.2% stop.
  • MUMicron Technology, Inc. · 60% · Medium
    Reward-to-risk 0.48 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.5% stop.

Candidates passed over

  • NVDA
    No qualifying setup: RSI is neutral (58), MACD histogram is negative, and there's no Bollinger squeeze or golden cross to trigger any setup.
  • NBIS
    On-balance volume divergence plus negative 5-day momentum drag the computed probability down to the 50% floor with low confidence.
  • SNDK
    On-balance volume divergence plus negative 5-day momentum push the computed probability down to the 50% floor with low confidence.
  • STX
    Despite a technically bullish MACD crossover, recent 5-day momentum is negative and the stock is underperforming the Nasdaq benchmark, undermining confidence in the setup.
  • LITE
    On-balance volume divergence plus negative 5-day momentum push the computed probability down to the 50% floor with low confidence.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 101 NASDAQ 100 constituents and short-listed 24 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Explosive sustained momentum (+29% 30-day, +24% 5-day) and trading just below its 52-week high, signaling strong continued demand for AI compute.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-21 runs until 2026-10-21 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • NVDANVIDIA CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Steady positive momentum across both windows and only ~4% below its 52-week high, the clearest AI-leadership continuation setup.
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.0% stop.
  • METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: One of the strongest mega-cap movers (+35% 30-day) and within 5% of its 52-week high, showing durable buying interest.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 53% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.Already held
    Scout: +30% over 30 days with price sitting essentially at its 52-week high, reflecting strong sustained demand in cybersecurity.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-15 runs until 2026-10-15 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • FTNTFortinet, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Consistent 30-day gain and less than 1% off its 52-week high, indicating durable strength in security software.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Accelerating 5-day and 30-day returns with price essentially at its 52-week high, showing fresh momentum breaking out.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 55% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • AAPLApple Inc.Already held
    Scout: Steady positive trend across both windows and only ~2% from its 52-week high, a low-volatility momentum continuation candidate.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-01 runs until 2026-10-01 (10 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedAlready held
    Scout: Sharp +21% 30-day gain with continued 5-day strength, suggesting a genuine re-rating rather than a one-day spike.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-11 runs until 2026-10-11 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return (+18.6%) accelerating faster than the 30-day figure, indicating fresh momentum building in AI networking silicon.
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.2% stop.
  • NBISNebius Group N.V.Passed over
    Scout: Momentum accelerating into the most recent week (+10.8% 5-day vs +7.3% 30-day), consistent with continued AI-cloud infrastructure demand.
    Aria: Despite a positive monthly gain, the stock has pulled back nearly 5% over the last 5 days, failing the momentum requirement
    Blaze: Earnings beat noted in the calendar data, but no confirming release text or news, a bearish volume divergence, and momentum has cooled over the last 5 days — too mixed for a confident pick.
    Nova: No news catalyst found, and 5-day momentum is actually negative despite the 30-day gain
    Orion: Despite a positive monthly return, the last 5 days show a nearly 5% pullback and a bearish volume-price divergence.
    Quinn: On-balance volume divergence plus negative 5-day momentum drag the computed probability down to the 50% floor with low confidence.
  • ALABAstera Labs, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Very strong recent acceleration (+31.8% 5-day) building on an already positive 30-day trend, a high-momentum AI connectivity play.
    Reward-to-risk 0.38 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -13.1% stop.
  • SNDKSandisk CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Double-digit gains in both the 5-day and 30-day windows point to sustained strength in memory/storage pricing dynamics.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 83% raw (67% after calibration)).
  • MUMicron Technology, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Consistent double-digit 5-day and 30-day gains reflecting strong memory-market fundamentals and pricing tailwinds.
    Reward-to-risk 0.48 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.5% stop.
  • STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return accelerating well above the 30-day trend, showing fresh buying interest in storage hardware.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 83% raw (67% after calibration)).
  • LITELumentum Holdings Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Strong and accelerating momentum (+15.5% 5-day) with only ~11% distance from its 52-week high, benefiting from optical networking demand tied to AI data centers.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Very High, 83% raw (67% after calibration)).
  • TERTeradyne, Inc.Passed over
    Scout: 5-day return of +16% sharply outpacing the flat 30-day figure, indicating a fresh momentum inflection in semiconductor test equipment.
    Aria: Losing momentum over the last 5 days and lagging the broader market
    Blaze: Solid earnings beat, but next-quarter revenue guidance was roughly flat to down sequentially rather than raised, a weaker signal than similarly-priced peers in this group.
    Orion: Barely positive over 30 days and losing ground relative to the broader market recently.
    Quinn: 30-day return is only +1.6%, 5-day momentum is negative, and the stock is underperforming the Nasdaq benchmark despite a modestly bullish MACD.
  • ASMLASML Holding N.V.Passed over
    Scout: 5-day return turning sharply positive (+9%) after a soft 30-day period, suggesting a momentum reversal in lithography equipment demand.
    Aria: Down over the past 30 days and underperforming the broader market, failing the basic trend requirement
    Blaze: 30-day price return is negative and underperforming the Nasdaq benchmark by more than 6 points, and its earnings report lands inside the 30-day holding window, adding binary event risk on top of soft momentum.
    Orion: Down over the past 30 days, failing the basic positive-trend requirement.
    Quinn: 30-day return and 5-day momentum are both negative, the stock is underperforming the benchmark, and on-balance volume divergence pushes the computed probability down to the 50% floor.
  • DDOGDatadog, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Positive and improving momentum across both windows, reflecting continued enterprise cloud-monitoring demand.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-14 runs until 2026-10-14 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Steady positive trend with 5-day momentum (+5.8%) outpacing the 30-day figure, a consistent semiconductor performer.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-11 runs until 2026-10-11 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ARMArm Holdings plcDropped at merge
    Scout: Exceptional momentum (+32% 30-day, +35% 5-day) reflecting strong demand for its licensing model in AI chip design, though still well off its 52-week high, leaving room to run.
    Reward-to-risk 0.43 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.7% stop.
  • GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Already held
    Scout: Consistent positive momentum across both windows from a mega-cap with continued AI and cloud tailwinds.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-24 runs until 2026-09-23 (2 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • TSLATesla, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Positive and improving momentum in both the 5-day and 30-day windows, showing renewed buying interest.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (18 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.Already held
    Scout: 5-day return (+4.65%) outpacing the flat 30-day trend, indicating fresh momentum building in AI software demand.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-17 runs until 2026-10-17 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • INTCIntel CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Extremely strong 30-day and 5-day gains reflecting a major sentiment shift, though the size of the move warrants a smaller position given extension risk.
    Reward-to-risk 0.46 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -10.9% stop.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.