AI Stock Picks — NASDAQ 100

Wednesday, September 9, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Neutral  Normal choppiness · VIX 16.2

The NASDAQ 100 shows a sharp bifurcation: dozens of large-cap names are down 10-20% on the day (Broadcom, Booking, Honeywell, Old Dominion, Cadence, Shopify, Rocket Lab), while a distinct cluster of semiconductor, memory/storage, and AI-infrastructure names is rallying hard on both 5-day and 30-day momentum. Given the broad weakness elsewhere, candidates below are limited to names with confirmed multi-timeframe strength rather than single-day spikes.

Memory/storage supercycle (NAND/HBM pricing) lifting MU, SNDK, WDC, STXAI datacenter capex driving semis, optical networking, and power/utility demandBroad-based single-day selloff across roughly half the index creating elevated correlation riskMega-cap AI bellwethers (META, TSLA, AMD) showing renewed momentum after a pullback

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 4
0%
112 · 923.5%
923.5% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 QCOM SKIP — $175.59 → $184.37
stop $159.61
 Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#2 LRCX SKIP — $315.28 → $331.04
stop $283.75
 Half-Kelly sizes this at 0% — the odds carry no edge worth capital.
#3 META SKIP — $651.53 → $684.11
stop $608.53
 Position cap reached — 112 of 20 slots in use.
#4 TSLA SKIP — $368.76 → $387.20
stop $339.26
 Position cap reached — 112 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: LLY (to Sep 10), DXCM (to Sep 11), BDX (to Sep 12), EXPD (to Sep 13), CPAY (to Sep 16), GPN (to Sep 16), STT (to Sep 16), STJ.L (to Sep 16), SCHW (to Sep 17), TRGP (to Sep 17), AV.L (to Sep 17), PSN.L (to Sep 17) … and 100 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
11 picks
Blaze
8 picks
Nova
3 picks
Orion
4 picks
Quinn
9 picks

4 Stock Picks

Sector concentration cap applied: 1 lower-ranked pick removed to keep at most 2 picks per sector (MRVL), so the final list isn't over-concentrated in one sector.
#1 QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 64%

Qualcomm makes chips used in smartphones and other connected devices. The stock is up over the past month and outpacing the broader tech market, with a clean technical setup and no signs of being overextended. The main risk is a large recent single-day jump that could see some profit-taking in the near term.

Stop-loss$159.61-9.1%
Today's price$175.59
Target$184.37+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$909 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.1%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 64%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price at $175.59 trades above the upper Bollinger Band ($174.47), a short-term overextension signal that cuts against the 'non-overbought' framing built on RSI alone.
  • Today's single-day gain of +4.61% accounts for most of the stated 5-day momentum (+5.39%), suggesting the 'momentum' is largely a one-day pop rather than a gradual trend, raising mean-reversion risk.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 64% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
65%
+0.1%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
—
—
Q3 revenue and EPS both declined year-over-year and management cited a 'challenging memory and supply environment' while raising prices to offset costs — a defensive tone with no confirmed beat or guidance raise.
Nova
—
—
No specific catalyst found in recent news despite a moderate uptrend
Orion
61%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#2 LRCXLam Research Corporation
2/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10
Strong conviction · 64%

Lam Research sells the specialized equipment chipmakers use to manufacture advanced semiconductors, an industry benefiting from the AI buildout. Its most recent quarterly earnings beat expectations and it has a strong history of beating estimates, though the company's detailed outlook commentary wasn't available to us this time. The risk is that the case leans more on a solid track record than fresh company statements, and insiders — including the CEO — have been selling.

Stop-loss$283.75-10.0%
Today's price$315.28
Target$331.04+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$900 if the stop-loss is hit (-10.0%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 64%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • MACD line is still negative at -3.0088, well below zero and below its own signal line's typical bullish threshold — the 'strengthening MACD' is a shrinking negative gap, not a confirmed bullish crossover.
  • Price ($315.28) sits below its own 50-day SMA ($318.80), undercutting the trend-strength narrative even as it stays above the 200-day SMA ($262.61).
  • 5-day momentum is essentially flat at -0.04%, showing the earnings-beat catalyst (already 60 days old) has stalled short-term despite the 28.1% discount-to-high pitch.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 64% (raw model estimate: 63%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
67%
-0.6%
0%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
—
—
The stock's very recent 5-day trend is flat-to-slightly-down, failing the short-term momentum requirement despite a positive monthly return
Blaze
66%
High
Nova
—
—
No catalyst found and short-term momentum is essentially flat, suggesting the move lacks fresh fuel
Orion
—
—
Chip equipment maker rallying with the broader semiconductor group, but 5-day momentum is flat and MACD is still negative, so the sector tailwind hasn't yet shown up as a clear uptrend here.
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#3 METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
2/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10
Strong conviction · 64%

Meta owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp and is investing heavily in AI. The stock has climbed steadily and is beating the broader tech market, but it's trading near overbought territory after its run, which tempers the near-term upside case. The key risk is that a stock this hot can pull back quickly if sentiment shifts.

Stop-loss$608.53-6.6%
Today's price$651.53
Target$684.11+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$934 if the stop-loss is hit (-6.6%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 64%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price ($651.53) trades above the upper Bollinger Band ($634.05), a stronger overextension warning than the RSI reading alone conveys.
  • RSI at 70.03 sits at the conventional overbought threshold and only 8 points from the bulls' own-cited 78 exhaustion line, after a 12.6% 5-day surge — leaving little room before a pullback trigger.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 64% (raw model estimate: 60%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.8:1
57%
+0.4%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
60%
Medium
Blaze
—
—
Last quarter's EPS surprise was negative (-14.4%) and only 2 of the last 4 quarters beat estimates; no earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration was found, so it fails the fundamental screen despite today's sector-wide bounce.
Nova
—
—
No stock-specific catalyst found in recent news, and the technical indicators show the rally may already be overbought
Orion
—
—
Social media/advertising giant outside the favoured memory/semiconductor rotation theme, and its RSI above 70 suggests overbought conditions.
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#4 TSLATesla, Inc.
2/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10
Strong conviction · 64%

Tesla makes electric vehicles and energy storage products. The stock is up over the past month and outperforming the broader tech market, and its price bands have tightened (a 'squeeze') which often precedes a bigger move. The main risk is that Tesla is a famously volatile stock whose price can swing on news, tweets, or delivery numbers with little warning.

Stop-loss$339.26-8.0%
Today's price$368.76
Target$387.20+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$920 if the stop-loss is hit (-8.0%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 64%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price ($368.76) remains below its 200-day SMA ($399.22) by roughly 7.6%, meaning the cited breakout setup sits inside a longer-term downtrend, not a confirmed reversal.
  • Shares are still 26.1% below their 52-week high despite the 30-day rally — consistent with a bounce off depressed levels rather than fresh strength.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 64% (raw model estimate: 72%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
62%
+1.4%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
—
—
Last quarter's EPS missed by nearly 40% and only 2 of the last 4 quarters beat; no fundamental catalyst (earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration) was found.
Nova
—
—
No stock-specific catalyst identified in recent news despite the positive price move
Orion
—
—
Electric vehicle maker outside the favoured rotation theme, with choppier and more modest momentum than the chip names.
Quinn
70%
High

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by October 9, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by October 9, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 101 NASDAQ 100 constituents and short-listed 23 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • MUMicron Technology, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Up double digits today with strong 5-day and 30-day returns; memory/HBM pricing upcycle continues to drive sustained momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-07 runs until 2026-10-07 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SNDKSandisk CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Explosive 46% daily move on top of a 43% 30-day return; NAND/storage pricing surge, though volatility is extreme.
    Reward-to-risk 0.42 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.9% stop.
  • WDCWestern Digital CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Consistent gains across 5-day and 30-day windows tied to the same storage-demand cycle as MU/STX.
    Reward-to-risk 0.44 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.3% stop.
  • STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcDropped at merge
    Scout: Double-digit gains today and over 30 days; enterprise storage demand tailwind from AI data growth.
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.0% stop.
  • NBISNebius Group N.V.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Very strong sustained momentum (+22% 5-day, +32% 30-day) on AI infrastructure/GPU cloud demand.
    Reward-to-risk 0.33 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -15.2% stop.
  • AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Broad-based strength across 5-day, 30-day, and daily returns; AI accelerator demand narrative intact.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-09 runs until 2026-10-09 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Picked #3
    Scout: Double-digit daily gain with strong sustained 5-day/30-day momentum; ad revenue and AI capex efficiency in focus.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • TSLATesla, Inc.Picked #4
    Scout: 12% daily gain with positive 30-day trend; renewed momentum after prior weakness.
    Made the final report at #4.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.Passed over
    Scout: Strong custom-silicon/AI networking momentum across all recent windows.
    Aria: Even though the stock is up over the past month, its price has slipped over the last 5 trading days, failing the short-term momentum requirement
    Nova: No company-specific catalyst identified; the news flow was generic chip-sector commentary rather than a Marvell-specific event
    Orion: Semiconductor peer with a strong 30-day gain, but momentum has turned negative over the last 5 days and MACD is rolling over, making near-term follow-through less certain.
    Quinn: MACD histogram is negative and none of the oversold, breakout, or multi-factor trend conditions are met, so no qualifying setup exists
  • LITELumentum Holdings Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Strongest momentum in the optical networking group and only ~7% off its 52-week high, indicating genuine strength rather than a dead-cat bounce.
    Reward-to-risk 0.40 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -12.5% stop.
  • TERTeradyne, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 13% 5-day gain on semiconductor test-equipment demand tied to the AI chip cycle.
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.1% stop.
  • INTCIntel CorporationAlready held
    Scout: 18% 5-day return and positive 30-day trend; foundry/turnaround catalysts continue to attract buying.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-08 runs until 2026-10-08 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Steady 30-day uptrend and only ~7% from its 52-week high, showing durable strength in a defensive biotech.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-26 runs until 2026-09-25 (16 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Strong daily and 30-day gains on pipeline/catalyst-driven biotech momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-02 runs until 2026-10-02 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • CEGConstellation Energy CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Consistent gains across timeframes tied to nuclear/power demand from AI datacenter buildout.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-07 runs until 2026-10-07 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedPicked #1
    Scout: Positive momentum across 5-day and 30-day windows amid broader semiconductor strength.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • LRCXLam Research CorporationPicked #2
    Scout: Solid 5-day and 30-day gains from semiconductor capital-equipment demand.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • CRWVCoreWeave, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Sharp 17% 5-day rally on AI cloud infrastructure demand; higher-risk, high-momentum name.
    Reward-to-risk 0.40 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -12.6% stop.
  • NVDANVIDIA CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Only ~5% from its 52-week high with steady positive momentum, offering AI-sector exposure with lower drawdown risk than peers.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-04 runs until 2026-10-04 (25 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.Already held
    Scout: Strong 30-day uptrend and just ~4% off its 52-week high, a defensive name showing genuine relative strength.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-21 runs until 2026-09-20 (11 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Positive 30-day trend and close to its 52-week high, with ongoing strategic/M&A speculation providing a catalyst.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-20 runs until 2026-09-19 (10 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Only ~7% from its 52-week high with a strong daily gain, benefiting from firmer energy prices.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-09-01 runs until 2026-10-01 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MSTRStrategy IncDropped at merge
    Scout: Very strong 5-day and 30-day momentum tied to bitcoin strength, though still far below its 52-week high, marking it as a higher-risk, higher-reward pick.
    Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (64% after calibration)).

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.