AI Stock Picks — S&P 500

Tuesday, September 1, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Neutral  Normal choppiness · VIX 16.1

Breadth is weak with a large number of S&P 500 names down sharply on earnings misses or guidance cuts (airlines, homebuilders, several industrials), but there are well-defined pockets of strength: energy (refiners and oilfield services riding higher crude/margins), a cluster of software names with strong post-earnings follow-through, and steady healthcare/biotech gainers. Given the wide dispersion, this looks like a stock-picker's market rather than a broad rally.

Energy sector strength: refiners (VLO, PSX, MPC) and oilfield services (SLB, HAL) near 52-week highs on firmer crude/marginsPost-earnings software momentum: CRM, NOW and ADBE showing outsized, sustained gains after beatsHealthcare/biotech resilience: VRTX, GILD, MRK, AMGN, BDX holding near highs on earnings strengthBroad market dispersion: many industrials, airlines, homebuilders and consumer names down double digits over 5-30 days, arguing for selectivity

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 4
0%
107 · 948.5%
948.5% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 NOW SKIP $144.39 → $151.61
stop $129.95
Position cap reached — 107 of 20 slots in use.
#2 MPC SKIP $379.40 → $398.37
stop $349.81
Position cap reached — 107 of 20 slots in use.
#3 HAL SKIP $36.98 → $38.83
stop $34.10
Position cap reached — 107 of 20 slots in use.
#4 AAPL SKIP $324.74 → $340.98
stop $303.63
Position cap reached — 107 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: AMP (to Sep 3), RJF (to Sep 4), NVDA (to Sep 5), SWK (to Sep 6), FAST (to Sep 9), WAT (to Sep 9), LLY (to Sep 10), DRI (to Sep 11), DXCM (to Sep 11), BDX (to Sep 12), BLK (to Sep 12), EXPD (to Sep 13) … and 95 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
9 picks
Blaze
9 picks
Nova
1 pick
Orion
4 picks
Quinn
11 picks

4 Stock Picks

Diversification filter applied: 1 pick removed due to high same-sector price correlation with a higher-ranked pick (SLB), avoiding concentrated sector exposure.
#1 NOWServiceNow, Inc.
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10
Strong conviction · 68%

ServiceNow sells workflow-automation software that big companies use to run their internal IT, HR, and customer-service operations. The stock has been climbing steadily and is beating the broader market by a wide margin, with technical readings that are strong but not yet flashing 'overheated.' The main risk is that after such a fast run-up, any market wobble could trigger a quick pullback, and a recent small insider stock sale is worth watching.

Stop-loss$129.95-10.0%
Today's price$144.39
Target$151.61+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$900 if the stop-loss is hit (-10.0%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 68%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price is already pinned to the upper Bollinger Band (144.39 vs. upper band 145.80, middle 128.47), leaving little room to extend without a pullback or consolidation first.
  • The 26.3% 30-day move has pushed price 26.6% above its 50-day SMA (114.16) and 21.3% above its 200-day SMA (119.01), a stretch extension that historically mean-reverts before a further 5%+ leg.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 68% (raw model estimate: 66%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
67%
-0.1%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
70%
High
Blaze
69%
High
Nova
Big rally but no identifiable company-specific catalyst within the last three weeks — the last earnings beat was too long ago to explain the move and no relevant news turned up.
Orion
64%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#2 MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 68%

Marathon Petroleum refines crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and other fuels. It just reported a blowout quarter, with net income more than four times higher than a year ago as refining margins more than doubled, and management sounded confident about continuing to return cash to shareholders. The main risk is that the stock is already trading right at its 52-week high and refining margins are notoriously volatile.

Stop-loss$349.81-7.8%
Today's price$379.40
Target$398.37+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$922 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.8%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 68%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI at 74.58 is in outright overbought territory, well past HAL's and NOW's readings, and the MACD histogram has compressed to just 0.62 (down from a fatter spread), signaling fading upward momentum even as price holds.
  • 5-day momentum has decelerated sharply to just 1.37% versus the 23.5% 30-day return, suggesting the rally has already stalled with price sitting only 0.46% off its 52-week high and 9.7% above the middle Bollinger Band (379.40 vs 346.22).
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 68% (raw model estimate: 67%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
61%
+0.8%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
65%
High
Blaze
78%
Very High
Nova
Riding a broad energy-sector tailwind, but no company-specific event found, and the stock already looks stretched (RSI near 75).
Orion
64%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#3 HALHalliburton Company
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 68%

Halliburton is one of the world's largest oilfield-services companies, helping energy producers drill and complete wells, and it's benefiting from the same energy-sector strength lifting its peers. The stock's technicals are healthy, trending above both its short- and long-term averages with room left before becoming overbought. The main risk, shared with other energy names here, is that its performance is closely tied to oil prices and drilling budgets, which can shift suddenly.

Stop-loss$34.10-7.8%
Today's price$36.98
Target$38.83+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$922 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.8%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 68%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • The MACD histogram is thin at 0.34 with the line barely above signal (0.684 vs 0.340), and price is already brushing the upper Bollinger Band (36.98 vs 37.28 upper), leaving limited technical room before resistance.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 68% (raw model estimate: 66%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
61%
+0.6%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
66%
High
Nova
Same energy-sector tailwind as peers, but no identifiable stock-specific catalyst and notable insider selling this month.
Orion
64%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#4 AAPLApple Inc.
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 68%

Apple makes iPhones, Macs, and runs a large services and app-store business. The stock is trading above both its short- and long-term trend lines, a classic bullish setup, and its trading range has recently compressed, which technicians often see as the calm before a bigger move. The main risk is that this is a continuation of an already-mature trend rather than a fresh breakout, so a broad market pullback ahead of its late-October earnings could stall the gain.

Stop-loss$303.63-6.5%
Today's price$324.74
Target$340.98+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$935 if the stop-loss is hit (-6.5%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 68%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • OBV shows no divergence confirming the breakout thesis, and recent 5-day momentum has already decelerated to 2.03% versus the 7.03% 30-day return, suggesting the move is losing steam rather than setting up for a fresh breakout.
  • Price sits just $2.74 below the upper Bollinger Band (322.00) despite the 'compressed bands' framing, so the squeeze narrative is somewhat undercut by price already testing the top of the range rather than sitting mid-band.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 68% (raw model estimate: 70%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.8:1
57%
+1.5%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
80%
Very High
Blaze
71%
Very High
Nova
No recent company-specific catalyst found, and the price gain is modest compared to the standout movers evaluated.
Orion
Consumer tech hardware wasn't confirmed as a current rotation favorite, even though the stock's own trend is respectable.
Quinn
60%
Medium

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by October 1, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by October 1, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 503 S&P 500 constituents and short-listed 28 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • CRMSalesforce, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Blowout earnings reaction with 25% 5-day and 39% 30-day gains, only 4% below its 52-week high — strongest momentum name in the index.
    Reward-to-risk 0.48 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.33% target against a -11.1% stop.
  • NOWServiceNow, Inc.Picked #1
    Scout: Sharp earnings-driven rally (+14% in 5 days, +26% in 30 days) showing continued buying pressure.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • ADBEAdobe Inc.Already held
    Scout: Strong post-earnings follow-through (+4.6% 5-day, +15% 30-day) with room to keep climbing toward highs.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-31 runs until 2026-09-30 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AAPLApple Inc.Picked #4
    Scout: Consistent uptrend (+4.8% 5-day, +7% 30-day) trading within 6% of its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #4.
  • MUMicron Technology, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Large earnings beat and 13% 5-day pop reflecting a strengthening memory-chip cycle.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 69% raw (68% after calibration)).
  • QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedDropped at merge
    Scout: Earnings-driven rally with +4.8% 5-day and +9.7% 30-day gains.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #8, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • NVDANVIDIA CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Renewed AI-driven momentum, +2.5% 5-day/+5.7% 30-day, trading within 8% of its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-06 runs until 2026-09-05 (5 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Steady uptrend (+2.3% 5-day, +12.7% 30-day) sitting essentially at its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-21 runs until 2026-09-20 (19 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedAlready held
    Scout: Sustained biotech strength, +16.7% 30-day and only 1.2% off its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-20 runs until 2026-09-19 (18 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Earnings-fueled gain with +13.3% 30-day return and proximity to highs.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-26 runs until 2026-09-25 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MRKMerck & Co., Inc.Already held
    Scout: Strong 30-day momentum (+16.6%) on positive pipeline/earnings news, just 5% below its high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-26 runs until 2026-09-25 (24 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AMGNAmgen Inc.Already held
    Scout: Solid earnings reaction with +14.5% 30-day gain and only 3% off its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-19 runs until 2026-09-18 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BDXBecton, Dickinson and CompanyAlready held
    Scout: Earnings beat drove a +13.4% pop with +10.4% 30-day return, trading near its high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-13 runs until 2026-09-12 (11 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • IQVIQVIA Holdings Inc.Already held
    Scout: +10.4% earnings pop and +11.1% 30-day gain, trading within 2% of its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-27 runs until 2026-09-26 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • RVTYRevvity, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Consistent gains (+2.6% 5-day, +9.5% 30-day) trading close to its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-25 runs until 2026-09-24 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • VLOValero Energy CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Refining-margin tailwind driving +16% earnings pop and +18% 30-day gain, essentially at its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (16 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • PSXPhillips 66Already held
    Scout: Strong refining rally (+18% pop, +21% 30-day), trading less than 1% off its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-31 runs until 2026-09-30 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationPicked #2
    Scout: Refining sector strength with +20% pop and +24% 30-day return, near its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • COPConocoPhillipsAlready held
    Scout: Energy sector leader up +13.75% over 30 days and trading essentially at its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-24 runs until 2026-09-23 (22 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SLBSLB N.V.Diversification filter
    Scout: Oilfield services strength with +7% 5-day, +17% 30-day gains and near-high positioning.
    Dropped by diversification filter: 0.77 30-day daily-return correlation with HAL (both in Energy).
  • HALHalliburton CompanyPicked #3
    Scout: Sustained oilfield-services momentum, +9.4% 5-day and +16% 30-day.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • CVXChevron CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Steady energy strength (+4.8% 5-day, +8.4% 30-day) close to its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-19 runs until 2026-09-18 (17 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • DEDeere & CompanyDropped at merge
    Scout: Earnings beat drove a +13% pop and +10.7% 30-day gain, trading within 1% of its 52-week high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #6, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • CTVACorteva, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Agricultural sector strength with +5.7% 5-day and +15% 30-day gains, near its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-31 runs until 2026-09-30 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanyDropped at merge
    Scout: Broad-based agribusiness momentum, +6.9% 5-day and +7% 30-day.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #10, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Fertilizer/ag strength with +12.5% 30-day gain and proximity to its 52-week high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #9, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Earnings-driven pop with +9.7% 30-day gain, trading within 3% of its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-14 runs until 2026-09-13 (12 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SPGIS&P Global Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Consistent gains (+2.5% 5-day, +7.2% 30-day) on an earnings-related move higher.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #7, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.