AI Stock Picks — FTSE 100

Friday, August 28, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Optimistic  Calm market · VIX 14.4

FTSE 100 breadth is strong, led by a sharp commodities rally (miners and gold/copper names up double digits on 5-day and 30-day windows, several near 52-week highs) alongside broad-based strength in financials, housebuilders and select tech/industrials. The gains are offset by a clear rotation away from defensives — pharma, tobacco, staples and some retail/insurance names are down sharply — suggesting capital moving from safety trades into cyclicals and hard assets rather than a uniform market advance.

Metals and mining rally (copper, gold, diversified miners near 52-week highs)Rotation out of defensives (pharma, tobacco, staples) into cyclicals and financialsUK housebuilder rebound on rate-cut hopesMomentum concentrated in names near their 52-week highs, signaling trend continuation

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 2
0%
106 · 941.5%
941.5% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 ANTO.L SKIP £4,039.00 → £4,261.12
stop £3,610.87
Position cap reached — 106 of 20 slots in use.
#2 ABDN.L SKIP £252.20 → £264.81
stop £242.11
Position cap reached — 106 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: GM (to Aug 29), MET (to Aug 30), AMP (to Sep 3), RJF (to Sep 4), NVDA (to Sep 5), AME (to Sep 6), SWK (to Sep 6), FAST (to Sep 9), WAT (to Sep 9), EMR (to Sep 10), LLY (to Sep 10), DRI (to Sep 11) … and 94 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
7 picks
Blaze
2 picks
Nova
2 picks
Orion
5 picks
Quinn
3 picks

2 Stock Picks

Diversification filter applied: 1 pick removed due to high same-sector price correlation with a higher-ranked pick (EDV.L), avoiding concentrated sector exposure.
#1 ANTO.LAntofagasta plc
5/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 68%

Antofagasta is a Chilean copper mining company. Its share price has surged over 13% in the past month, riding a broad rally in metals and mining stocks, and it's still climbing faster than the wider market. The main risk is that this rapid run-up could cool off or reverse if copper prices pull back.

Stop-loss£3,610.87-10.6%
Today's price£4,039.00
Target£4,261.12+5.5%
Agents estimate: £4,281.29 (+0.5% vs target)
If you invested £1,000
£1,055 if the target hits (+5.5%)
£894 if the stop-loss is hit (-10.6%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 68%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • The +9.8% 5-day move sits just below the Bollinger upper band (4208.90 vs. current 4039.0, middle 3860.45), and daily ATR of 159.37 (~4% of price) means a single average-sized down day could erase a meaningful chunk of the recent gain — this looks more like a sharp breakout spike than the 'not a blow-off' framing suggests.
  • No golden cross is confirmed (GoldenCross: false) despite price being above both the 50- and 200-day averages, meaning the longer-term trend structure hasn't technically turned bullish yet, and short-interest data is entirely unavailable, so the bull case can't actually verify the absence of a crowded short squeeze narrative.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 68% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
66%
-0.1%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
56%
Medium
Nova
56%
Medium
Orion
76%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#2 ABDN.LAberdeen Group Plc
2/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 68%

Aberdeen Group is a UK asset management and investment firm. Its share price is climbing steadily and trading above both its short- and long-term average prices, a technically healthy setup with no warning signs from trading volume. The main risk is that its lead over the broader market is thin, so a market-wide dip could easily erase the edge.

Stop-loss£242.11-4.0%
Today's price£252.20
Target£264.81+5.0%
If you invested £1,000
£1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
£960 if the stop-loss is hit (-4.0%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 68%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Relative strength is nearly flat at just +0.23% versus the benchmark despite the bull thesis framing this as 'ahead of the index' — this is a rounding-error edge, not meaningful outperformance, and only 2 of 5 agents agreed on the pick.
  • The 30-day return is a mere +0.97%, meaning almost the entire move happened in the last 5 days (+1.6%) — RSI at 57 and MACD histogram at +0.33 are consistent with a stock just starting to move, not one with an established multi-week trend to confirm continuation.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 68% (raw model estimate: 66%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

1.2:1
44%
+1.9%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
72%
Very High
Blaze
30-day gain is only about 1% with weak momentum, not enough runway visible for a 5% move in the next 30 days.
Nova
Momentum and volume are only average, too mild to treat as a fresh price-driven move
Orion
Essentially flat over the past month and barely outperforming the broader market, showing no meaningful relative strength despite a financials-sector tailwind
Quinn
60%
Medium

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by September 27, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by September 27, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 25 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • AAL.LAnglo American plcAlready held
    Scout: Up ~18% on the day and ~17% over 30 days, only ~1% off its 52-week high — strong, sustained mining-sector momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-24 runs until 2026-09-23 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • RIO.LRio Tinto GroupAlready held
    Scout: Nearly 12% gain both intraday and over 30 days as diversified miners rally on commodity strength.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-25 runs until 2026-09-24 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • GLEN.LGlencore plcAlready held
    Scout: Up ~17.5% over both the day and the month; still ~16% below its 52-week high, leaving room to extend the rally.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-21 runs until 2026-09-20 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ANTO.LAntofagasta plcPicked #1
    Scout: Copper miner up ~9% on 5-day and ~13% on 30-day returns, closing in on its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • EDV.LEndeavour Mining plcDiversification filter
    Scout: Standout gold miner, up 32% over the past month with continued 5-day strength (+5.4%).
    Dropped by diversification filter: 0.70 30-day daily-return correlation with ANTO.L (both in Basic Materials).
  • FRES.LFresnillo plcAlready held
    Scout: Precious-metals miner up nearly 24% over 30 days on the gold/silver rally, though 5-day momentum is flattening — worth watching for continuation.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-21 runs until 2026-09-20 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • WEIR.LWeir PLCAlready held
    Scout: Mining-equipment supplier riding the sector tailwind, up ~13% over 5 and 30 days.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-24 runs until 2026-09-23 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MTLN.LMetlen Energy & Metals PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: Up ~10.6% over both windows as energy/metals names broadly re-rate.
    20-day average daily volume 133,523 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • CCC.LComputacenter plcLiquidity filter
    Scout: Up ~18% intraday and ~17% over 30 days, trading essentially at its 52-week high — strong, confirmed uptrend.
    20-day average daily volume 248,960 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • BGEO.LLion Finance Group PLCLiquidity filter
    Scout: Up ~17% intraday and ~17% over 30 days, only ~1.5% from its 52-week high.
    20-day average daily volume 70,348 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • SGE.LThe Sage Group plcAlready held
    Scout: Software name up ~16% intraday and ~17% over the month, rebuilding toward its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-19 runs until 2026-09-18 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • IMI.LIMI plcDropped at merge
    Scout: Steady industrial momentum (+4.5% 5-day, +5% 30-day) trading within 2% of its 52-week high.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 59% raw (48% after calibration), below the 50% minimum to qualify.
  • CRDA.LCroda International PlcLiquidity filter
    Scout: Specialty chemicals name up ~9.5% intraday, ~8.5% over 30 days, near its 52-week high.
    20-day average daily volume 469,747 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • ADM.LAdmiral Group plcAlready held
    Scout: Insurer up ~7% intraday and ~8% over 30 days, just 2.5% off its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-27 runs until 2026-09-26 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • RR.LRolls-Royce Holdings plcAlready held
    Scout: Consistent uptrend (+7.8% both 5-day and 30-day) close to its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-17 runs until 2026-09-16 (19 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • AV.LAviva plcAlready held
    Scout: Up ~5.5% intraday and ~4.3% over 30 days, only ~1.4% from its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • SMT.LScottish Mortgage OrdAlready held
    Scout: Growth-equity trust up ~12.6% intraday and ~11.5% over 30 days, approaching its high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-19 runs until 2026-09-18 (21 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • PCT.LPolar Capital Technology OrdPassed over
    Scout: Tech-focused trust up ~7.5% intraday and ~7% over 30 days on renewed risk appetite.
    Aria: Despite a positive 30-day return, its price has fallen over the last 5 days, failing the short-term momentum requirement
    Blaze: Price has slipped below its 50-day average with a negative MACD and a negative 5-day trend — a weakening rather than constructive setup.
    Nova: 5-day momentum is negative and trading volume is below average, with a bearish MACD reading
    Orion: Despite a positive monthly return, the last 5 days show a negative trend and the technical indicators (MACD below signal, neutral RSI) point to fading momentum
    Quinn: MACD is negative and 5-day momentum has turned down, with volume diverging from price; no oversold, breakout, or multi-factor trigger is present.
  • NWG.LNatWest Group plcPassed over
    Scout: Steady bank momentum, up ~2.2% intraday, ~6% off its 52-week high with a consistent uptrend.
    Aria: Its 5-day price trend is slightly negative, failing the short-term momentum requirement
    Blaze: Momentum has stalled: flat-to-negative over the last 5 days, a negative MACD, and price sitting just below its 50-day average.
    Nova: 5-day momentum is negative and the trend indicator (MACD) is bearish
    Orion: Financials have sector tailwind but this stock's own trend is weak: barely positive over 30 days, negative over the last 5 days, and momentum indicators are below neutral
    Quinn: RSI (44.3) barely qualifies for a multi-factor setup, but MACD is negative and 5-day momentum is negative, making the quantitative edge too weak to trust.
  • BTRW.LBarratt Redrow plcDropped at merge
    Scout: Housebuilder up 8% intraday and ~8.5% over 30 days on rate-cut optimism.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 54% raw (48% after calibration), below the 50% minimum to qualify.
  • PSN.LPersimmon PlcAlready held
    Scout: Fellow housebuilder up ~6.2% intraday, ~6.5% over 30 days, part of a sector-wide rebound.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MRO.LMelrose Industries PLCDropped at merge
    Scout: Aerospace/industrial name up ~8.4% intraday and ~7% over 30 days.
    Average probability across the 2 agent(s) that selected it was 56% raw (48% after calibration), below the 50% minimum to qualify.
  • STJ.LSt. James's Place plcAlready held
    Scout: Wealth manager up ~9.3% intraday and ~8.4% over 30 days, showing a strong recovery bounce.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-17 runs until 2026-09-16 (19 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • HLMA.LHalma plcDropped at merge
    Scout: Safety/tech conglomerate up 5.6% over 5 days, showing fresh momentum after a period of consolidation.
    Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: Medium, 57% raw (48% after calibration)).
  • ABDN.LAberdeen Group PlcPicked #2
    Scout: Asset manager showing renewed 5-day momentum (+4.2%) within 5% of its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #2.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.