Tuesday, August 25, 2026 · Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days
Neutral Normal choppiness · VIX 15.8
NASDAQ 100 shows a sharply bifurcated tape: a large cohort of mega-cap tech and semis is down hard over 5/30 days (AAPL, AVGO, KLAC, AMAT, WDC, TXN), while a distinct group of names posted outsized recent gains with strong 30-day momentum still intact and not yet extended versus their 52-week highs. Breadth is mixed and volatility elevated, so selectivity toward names with confirmed multi-week momentum and room before resistance is warranted.
Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.
| Rank | Stock | Action | Size | Entry → Target | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | DASH | SKIP | — | $231.89 → $243.86 stop $209.63 |
Position cap reached — 102 of 20 slots in use. |
| #2 | INTU | SKIP | — | $360.75 → $379.39 stop $327.92 |
Position cap reached — 102 of 20 slots in use. |
| #3 | AXON | SKIP | — | $607.82 → $642.76 stop $542.18 |
Position cap reached — 102 of 20 slots in use. |
| #4 | TRI | SKIP | — | $105.45 → $110.72 stop $95.75 |
Position cap reached — 102 of 20 slots in use. |
Already open: JPM (to Aug 26), CB (to Aug 27), JPM (to Aug 27), RTX (to Aug 27), WAB (to Aug 27), DGX (to Aug 28), HIG (to Aug 28), WAB (to Aug 28), GM (to Aug 29), MET (to Aug 30), AMP (to Sep 3), WSM (to Sep 3) … and 90 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.
Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.
DoorDash runs the largest food-delivery app in the U.S. The stock has rallied sharply and is beating the broader market, but it's now trading close to technically "overbought" levels, which often precedes at least a pause. The main risk is that this hot stock cools off before it can add another 5%.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 71% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Intuit makes TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma — software millions of people and small businesses use for taxes and accounting. Its share price has climbed steadily and is beating the broader market, but the company reports earnings today, which could cause a big price swing right after this analysis in either direction. Given that immediate uncertainty, this is a higher-risk momentum pick than the others on this list.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 71% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Axon makes law-enforcement technology like Tasers, body cameras and public-safety software. The company just posted its tenth straight quarter of over 30% sales growth and, notably, raised its full-year growth forecast — a strong signal of management confidence — while the stock still trades well below its recent high. The main risk is that several top executives have been selling shares recently, and the stock's valuation leaves little room for a stumble.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 71% (raw model estimate: 75%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Thomson Reuters provides news, legal, and tax/accounting information services worldwide. Its price has been steadily climbing and the charts show a tightening trading range that often precedes a breakout move. The main risk is that its edge over the broader market is relatively small, so a market-wide pullback could easily erase recent gains.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 71% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by September 24, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.
Step-by-Step Action Plan
Position Sizing by Conviction Tier
Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.
| Agents Agreeing | What It Means | Max Allocation Per Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 5/5 | Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed | Up to 10% |
| 4/5 | Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned | Up to 8% |
| 3/5 | High conviction — three agents independently agreed | Up to 6% |
| 2/5 | Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed | Up to 4% |
| 1 Agent | Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence | Up to 2% |
The Three Exit Rules
A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.
Scout scanned 101 NASDAQ 100 constituents and short-listed 28 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.
Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.
Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).
Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.
Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.
Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.
Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.