Friday, August 21, 2026 · Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days
Optimistic Normal choppiness · VIX 15.5
FTSE 100 breadth is strong, led by a broad-based commodities rally (miners up double digits over 30 days) alongside financials, insurers and select industrials pushing toward 52-week highs. A handful of laggards (tobacco, utilities, betting/travel names) are seeing sharp drawdowns, but the majority of constituents show sustained positive 5-day and 30-day momentum.
Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.
| Rank | Stock | Action | Size | Entry → Target | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | GLEN.L | SKIP | — | £597.70 → £627.58 stop £538.53 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #2 | FRES.L | SKIP | — | £3,257.00 → £3,419.85 stop £2,937.81 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #3 | BT-A.L | SKIP | — | £204.80 → £215.04 stop £189.03 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #4 | III.L | SKIP | — | £2,876.00 → £3,019.80 stop £2,717.82 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
| #5 | EXPN.L | SKIP | — | £2,951.70 → £3,099.28 stop £2,742.13 |
Position cap reached — 92 of 20 slots in use. |
Already open: CSX (to Aug 22), WAB (to Aug 22), CSX (to Aug 22), JPM (to Aug 23), UNP (to Aug 23), CB (to Aug 24), JPM (to Aug 24), JPM (to Aug 26), CB (to Aug 27), JPM (to Aug 27), RTX (to Aug 27), WAB (to Aug 27) … and 80 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.
Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.
Glencore is a major global mining and commodities trading company that digs up and sells materials like coal, copper and zinc. Its share price has surged over the past month and is comfortably beating the wider market, backed by strong technical signals and healthy trading activity. The main risk is that commodity prices — and this stock — could pull back sharply if the current mining rally cools off.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Fresnillo is the world's largest silver miner and also produces a substantial amount of gold. Its shares have jumped strongly over the past month, riding a rally in precious metal prices, and short-term momentum remains positive. The main risk is that the stock is trading close to overbought levels, so a pause in precious metals could quickly cool the recent gains.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 62%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
BT Group is the UK's largest telecoms company, providing broadband, mobile and network services. Its shares have been recovering steadily and are beating the wider market over the past month, with encouraging short-term momentum. The main risk is that telecom stocks are sensitive to interest-rate expectations, and a shift in the rate outlook could stall the rally.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 61%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
3i Group is a private equity investment firm best known for its large stake in the European discount retailer Action. Its shares have climbed steadily and are comfortably outperforming the broader market, and the charts show the stock coiling tightly, which can precede a breakout move. The main risk is that momentum could stall if broader appetite for investment trusts fades.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 68%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Experian is a global data and credit-reporting company that helps banks and businesses assess creditworthiness. Its shares have climbed steadily over the past month and continue to outperform the broader market, supported by encouraging technical signals. The main risk is a broader market pullback or any sign of slowing demand for its data services.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by September 20, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.
Step-by-Step Action Plan
Position Sizing by Conviction Tier
Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.
| Agents Agreeing | What It Means | Max Allocation Per Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 5/5 | Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed | Up to 10% |
| 4/5 | Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned | Up to 8% |
| 3/5 | High conviction — three agents independently agreed | Up to 6% |
| 2/5 | Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed | Up to 4% |
| 1 Agent | Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence | Up to 2% |
The Three Exit Rules
A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.
Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 27 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.
Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.
Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).
Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.
Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.
Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.
Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.