Thursday, August 20, 2026 · Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days
Optimistic Normal choppiness · VIX 15.8
FTSE 100 breadth is strong, led by a sharp rally in industrial/precious metals miners, a rebound in energy majors, and continued strength in defense names. Financials and select consumer/industrial names are also grinding higher with many stocks trading within single digits of their 52-week highs, though a handful of stocks (Rentokil, IG Group, Imperial Brands, JD Sports) show sharp declines suggesting idiosyncratic negative catalysts to avoid.
Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.
| Rank | Stock | Action | Size | Entry → Target | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | EDV.L | SKIP | — | £4,417.00 → £4,651.06 stop £3,953.22 |
Position cap reached — 83 of 20 slots in use. |
| #2 | BP.L | SKIP | — | £550.20 → £578.37 stop £508.38 |
Position cap reached — 83 of 20 slots in use. |
| #3 | AUTO.L | SKIP | — | £528.60 → £555.03 stop £502.70 |
Position cap reached — 83 of 20 slots in use. |
| #4 | BAB.L | SKIP | — | £1,139.50 → £1,196.48 stop £1,069.99 |
Position cap reached — 83 of 20 slots in use. |
Already open: MTB (to Aug 20), CSX (to Aug 22), WAB (to Aug 22), CSX (to Aug 22), JPM (to Aug 23), UNP (to Aug 23), CB (to Aug 24), JPM (to Aug 24), JPM (to Aug 26), CB (to Aug 27), JPM (to Aug 27), RTX (to Aug 27) … and 71 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.
Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.
Endeavour Mining runs gold mines in West Africa, and it's benefiting from a broad rally in metals miners that's currently one of the strongest trends on the London market. The stock has surged and sits right at its recent high with strong buying momentum behind it. The main risk is that gold prices and mining stocks can reverse sharply if the rally cools, and much of the recent move may already be priced in.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 63%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
BP is one of the world's largest oil and gas companies, producing and selling energy globally. Its share price has been climbing steadily, is beating the wider FTSE 100 market, and is riding a broader rebound in energy stocks, with healthy (not overheated) technical signals backing the trend. The main risk is that a drop in oil prices or a broad market pullback could quickly stall the rally.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Auto Trader runs the UK's leading online marketplace for buying and selling used cars. Its share price is trending higher and beating the wider market, and the stock's recent tight trading range (a Bollinger squeeze) suggests a bigger move could be coming. The main risk is that not every technical signal is fully confirmed yet, so the breakout could go either way.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 61%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
Babcock provides engineering and support services, largely to the UK defense sector. Its share price has broken out of a tight trading range on strong momentum over the past month, with volume confirming the move. The main risk is that this breakout has happened despite a weakening trend indicator, so it could reverse if buying doesn't hold.
Why the AI likes it
What could go wrong
Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.
Trade math
Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.
What each AI analyst estimated
This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by September 19, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.
Step-by-Step Action Plan
Position Sizing by Conviction Tier
Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.
| Agents Agreeing | What It Means | Max Allocation Per Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 5/5 | Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed | Up to 10% |
| 4/5 | Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned | Up to 8% |
| 3/5 | High conviction — three agents independently agreed | Up to 6% |
| 2/5 | Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed | Up to 4% |
| 1 Agent | Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence | Up to 2% |
The Three Exit Rules
A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.
Scout scanned 100 FTSE 100 constituents and short-listed 25 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.
Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.
Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).
Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.
Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.
Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.
Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.