AI Stock Picks — S&P 500

Wednesday, August 19, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Neutral  Normal choppiness · VIX 15.4

The market is showing a clear rotation away from high-growth technology and semiconductor names (Meta, Broadcom, Oracle, KLA, ON Semi, CrowdStrike, Datadog all down sharply over the past week) and into energy, healthcare, financials, and select consumer/defensive names that are sitting near their 52-week highs with strong 30-day momentum. Rather than a broad-based rally or selloff, this looks like a sector-rotation environment where quality, value-oriented names are outperforming while richly-valued growth tech consolidates. Selectivity is warranted given the divergence between sectors.

Rotation out of high-multiple tech/semis into energy, healthcare, and financialsEnergy sector strength led by refiners (crack spreads) and E&P names near 52-week highsPharma/biotech/medtech breakout momentum with several names near all-time highsDefensive staples and select financials showing resilient, steady uptrends

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 4
0%
77 · 684.5%
684.5% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 CVX SKIP $207.10 → $217.46
stop $193.43
Position cap reached — 77 of 20 slots in use.
#2 MRK SKIP $149.11 → $156.74
stop $138.22
Position cap reached — 77 of 20 slots in use.
#3 TGT SKIP $159.61 → $167.86
stop $144.93
Position cap reached — 77 of 20 slots in use.
#4 IQV SKIP $249.50 → $262.40
stop $228.79
Position cap reached — 77 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: MTB (to Aug 20), CSX (to Aug 22), WAB (to Aug 22), CSX (to Aug 22), HON (to Aug 22), DGX (to Aug 23), HON (to Aug 23), JPM (to Aug 23), UNP (to Aug 23), CB (to Aug 24), JPM (to Aug 24), DGX (to Aug 26) … and 65 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
13 picks
Blaze
7 picks
Nova
1 pick
Orion
6 picks
Quinn
9 picks

4 Stock Picks

Diversification filter applied: 1 pick removed due to high same-sector price correlation with a higher-ranked pick (EOG), avoiding concentrated sector exposure.
#1 CVXChevron Corporation
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 72%

Chevron is one of the world's largest oil and gas companies, producing and selling energy that powers homes, cars, and industry. Money has been rotating out of expensive tech stocks and into energy names like Chevron, which is trading near its recent highs with strong upward momentum. The main risk is that oil prices can swing quickly on world events, which could stall the stock's climb.

Stop-loss$193.43-6.6%
Today's price$207.10
Target$217.46+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$934 if the stop-loss is hit (-6.6%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 72%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI at 70.82 is in overbought territory, and price is already sitting at the upper Bollinger Band ($206.21) versus a $207.10 quote, leaving little technical room before a mean-reversion pullback.
  • The reported 10.52% one-day change/PreviousClose jump ($187.38 to $207.10) looks like an earnings-gap that has already priced in the beat, meaning the 9.1% 30-day gain may already be behind the stock rather than a launchpad for another 5% move.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.8:1
57%
+0.8%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
65%
High
Blaze
63%
High
Nova
No dated catalyst was found in news, and the next earnings report is roughly 72 days away, too far out to count as a near-term driver.
Orion
68%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#2 MRKMerck & Company, Inc.
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 72%

Merck is a global pharmaceutical company best known for its cancer drug Keytruda. The company raised its full-year sales and profit guidance on strong drug sales and a new FDA approval, a genuinely positive signal. The biggest risk is that the stock's short-term momentum gauge is at an extreme level, which often precedes a pause or pullback, and several executives have recently sold shares.

Stop-loss$138.22-7.3%
Today's price$149.11
Target$156.74+5.1%
Agents estimate: $156.93 (+0.1% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
$1,051 if the target hits (+5.1%)
$927 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 72%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI at 81.64 is deeply overbought, well above the 70 threshold, signaling elevated risk of a short-term reversal after the 20.2% 30-day and 6.3% 5-day sprint.
  • Price ($149.11) is already 5.3% above the upper Bollinger Band ($141.58), an extreme extension that historically precedes consolidation or pullback rather than continued breakout gains.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 63%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.7:1
59%
+0.5%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
55%
Medium
Blaze
76%
Very High
Nova
The stock is deeply overbought (RSI 81.6) with no confirmed news catalyst behind the run, raising the risk of a pullback.
Orion
66%
High
Quinn
55%
Medium
#3 TGTTarget Corporation
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals  ⚠ Earnings in Window
Strong conviction · 72%

Target is a general merchandise retailer. It reported earnings today that sharply beat expectations and meaningfully raised its full-year sales and profit guidance, which sent the stock up about 14% in a single day. The key risk is that this pick is essentially a same-day earnings reaction — much of the good news is likely already reflected in today's price move, so there's real risk of the stock cooling off rather than continuing higher.

Stop-loss$144.93-9.2%
Today's price$159.61
Target$167.86+5.2%
Agents estimate: $168.14 (+0.2% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
$1,052 if the target hits (+5.2%)
$908 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.2%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 72%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI at 71.55 is overbought, and price ($159.61) is pressed right against the upper Bollinger Band ($160.40), leaving minimal technical headroom for a further 5% move.
  • MACD histogram has thinned to just 0.337 (down from a wider gap), suggesting bullish momentum is decelerating even as price grinds higher — a fading-momentum signal, not accelerating strength.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
64%
+0.1%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
65%
High
Blaze
71%
Very High
Nova
65%
High
Orion
Reports earnings today, adding event risk that makes the next 30 days harder to predict despite strong recent momentum
Quinn
60%
Medium
#4 IQVIQVIA Holdings Inc.
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 72%

IQVIA helps pharmaceutical companies run clinical trials and provides healthcare data and analytics. The company beat expectations on revenue and earnings and raised its full-year guidance on the back of record new business bookings. The main risk is that the CEO recently sold a large amount of stock, and short-term momentum has started to cool slightly even though the stock is still near its highs.

Stop-loss$228.79-8.3%
Today's price$249.50
Target$262.40+5.2%
Agents estimate: $262.81 (+0.2% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
$1,052 if the target hits (+5.2%)
$917 if the stop-loss is hit (-8.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 72%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • MACD histogram is negative at -0.4501 (MACD line 9.79 below signal 10.24), a bearish crossover that directly contradicts the momentum narrative despite the price still being near highs.
  • On-Balance Volume is negative at -19.26 million even as price rallied 22.5% over 30 days, a volume/price divergence suggesting the rally isn't being confirmed by sustained buying pressure.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 72% (raw model estimate: 68%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
62%
+0.9%
8.5%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice. Allocations are scaled to 85% of half-Kelly for the current market regime.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
70%
High
Blaze
76%
Very High
Nova
The last earnings report was 22 days ago, just outside the 21-day recency window, and momentum indicators have already started turning negative.
Orion
58%
Medium
Quinn
MACD histogram is negative with the MACD line below its signal line, and RSI isn't oversold, so no qualifying technical setup is present

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by September 18, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by September 18, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 503 S&P 500 constituents and short-listed 25 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • ABNBAirbnb, Inc.Already held
    Scout: Up nearly 30% over the past 30 days and sitting just 0.3% off its 52-week high, showing rare across-the-board strength with no signs of fading.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-17 runs until 2026-09-16 (29 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Nearly 18% gain over 30 days while trading only about 2% below its 52-week high, indicating durable institutional demand.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #6, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Consistent 5-day and 30-day gains with the stock essentially at its 52-week high, a sign of steady accumulation in financials.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • TGTTarget CorporationPicked #3
    Scout: Over 14% gain in the past month and within 1.2% of its 52-week high after apparent post-earnings strength in retail.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Strong refining-sector momentum with a 15.7% monthly gain and price essentially at its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-14 runs until 2026-09-13 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • PSXPhillips 66Already held
    Scout: Both 5-day and 30-day returns are strongly positive (7.8% / 16.5%) with the stock trading near its 52-week high, reflecting robust refining margins.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-17 runs until 2026-09-16 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • VLOValero Energy CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Sustained gains across both the 5-day and 30-day windows (5.3% / 11%) while sitting under 1% from its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • EOGEOG Resources, Inc.Diversification filter
    Scout: Steady 5-day (5.5%) and 30-day (7%) gains with the stock near its 52-week high, benefiting from broad energy-sector strength.
    Dropped by diversification filter: 0.90 30-day daily-return correlation with CVX (both in Energy).
  • APAAPA CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: One of the strongest movers in the index with a 27.5% 30-day gain and price only about 2.7% off its 52-week high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #8, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Consistent upside (5.6% over 5 days, 8.6% over 30 days) and trading within 1.1% of its 52-week high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #10, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • CVXChevron CorporationPicked #1
    Scout: A steady 5-day (5.3%) and 30-day (9.2%) gain with the stock close to its 52-week high, reflecting broad energy-sector tailwinds.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • LLYEli Lilly and CompanyAlready held
    Scout: Strong sustained momentum (5.5% / 12.3%) and price just 0.4% off its 52-week high, a leadership name in the healthcare rally.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-11 runs until 2026-09-10 (23 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • MRKMerck & Company, Inc.Picked #2
    Scout: Notably strong recent momentum (12.2% over 5 days, nearly 20% over 30 days) while trading close to its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • AMGNAmgen Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Nearly 21% monthly gain with the stock essentially at its 52-week high, indicating strong sustained buying interest.
    Average probability across the 3 agent(s) that selected it was 57% raw (48% after calibration), below the 52% minimum to qualify.
  • VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedAlready held
    Scout: Consistent gains (3.2% / 12.9%) with price within 1% of its 52-week high, showing continued biotech strength.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • BDXBecton, Dickinson and CompanyAlready held
    Scout: Strong 30-day gain (21.3%) and the stock is essentially at its 52-week high, reflecting a sustained medtech breakout.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-13 runs until 2026-09-12 (25 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • IQVIQVIA Holdings Inc.Picked #4
    Scout: Over 22% gain in the past month with the stock less than 1% from its 52-week high, a standout in healthcare services.
    Made the final report at #4.
  • JNJJohnson & JohnsonAlready held
    Scout: Steady gains across both windows (5.4% / 10.5%) with price just 0.6% below its 52-week high.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-18 runs until 2026-09-17 (30 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • RTXRTX CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Solid 30-day gain (15.7%) with the stock trading within 1% of its 52-week high, benefiting from continued defense-sector demand.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-07-28 runs until 2026-08-27 (9 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Modest but consistent momentum with the stock just 1.2% from its 52-week high, reflecting steady defense-sector support.
    Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 67% raw (72% after calibration)).
  • KOThe Coca-Cola CompanyDropped at merge
    Scout: Reliable uptrend (3.7% / 9.5%) with price only about 1% off its 52-week high, a defensive name showing renewed strength.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #7, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.Liquidity filter
    Scout: Nearly 8% monthly gain with the stock essentially at its 52-week high, indicating steady financial-sector momentum.
    20-day average daily volume 446,497 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • NDAQNasdaq, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Consistent gains (2.4% / 6.7%) with price close to its 52-week high, a steadier exchange-sector performer amid tech volatility.
    Only Aria selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 62% raw (72% after calibration)).
  • MAMastercard IncorporatedDropped at merge
    Scout: Positive momentum across both windows and trading within 3.5% of its 52-week high, showing resilience in payments.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #9, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • FDXFedEx CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Solid recent gains (3% / 9.9%) with price within 2.6% of its 52-week high, suggesting a logistics-sector rebound.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-14 runs until 2026-09-13 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.