AI Stock Picks — S&P 500

Monday, August 17, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Optimistic  Calm market · VIX 15.0

Breadth is broadening beyond mega-cap tech: refiners, money-center/regional banks, payments processors, and AI-infrastructure semiconductor/storage names are pushing to or near 52-week highs with strong 5- and 30-day momentum, even as a handful of large-cap tech names (AAPL, META, TSLA) lag on 30-day returns. The strongest, most sustained moves are concentrated in energy refining, financials, and the AI supply chain (memory, optical networking, test equipment).

Refining margins driving MPC/VLO/PSX/COP to fresh highsAI infrastructure demand lifting memory (STX, SNDK, MU), optical (CIEN, LITE, COHR) and semi-cap equipment (TER, LRCX)Financials (banks, brokers, payments) breaking out on rate/earnings tailwindsRotation away from a few large-cap tech laggards into cyclicals and industrials

Today's Actionable List

Which of today's picks to actually take, and at what size, given what you are already holding. Each pick's own Suggested Allocation sizes it in isolation; this table applies the portfolio limits — at most 20 open positions and 60% of the portfolio committed in total. Run with --capital 25000 to see these sizes as order amounts rather than percentages.

0 of 5
0%
62 · 540.5%
540.5% / 60%
0 of 20
RankStockActionSizeEntry → TargetNotes
#1 COP SKIP — $126.05 → $132.35
stop $115.84
 Position cap reached — 62 of 20 slots in use.
#2 CPAY SKIP — $412.98 → $435.18
stop $378.70
 Position cap reached — 62 of 20 slots in use.
#3 STT SKIP — $193.63 → $203.31
stop $180.26
 Position cap reached — 62 of 20 slots in use.
#4 PSX SKIP — $237.93 → $249.83
stop $216.52
 Position cap reached — 62 of 20 slots in use.
#5 GPN SKIP — $91.68 → $96.26
stop $82.88
 Position cap reached — 62 of 20 slots in use.

Already open: USB (to Aug 18), USB (to Aug 19), MTB (to Aug 20), CSX (to Aug 22), WAB (to Aug 22), CSX (to Aug 22), HON (to Aug 22), DGX (to Aug 23), HON (to Aug 23), JPM (to Aug 23), UNP (to Aug 23), CB (to Aug 24) … and 50 more. Symbols you already hold were excluded from this run's candidates rather than re-picked.

Position-sizing guidance only — half-Kelly per pick, bounded by the limits above. Not personal investment advice.

Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
8 picks
Blaze
6 picks
Nova
2 picks
Orion
11 picks
Quinn
7 picks

5 Stock Picks

#1 COPConocoPhillips
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 73%

ConocoPhillips is one of the largest independent oil and gas producers, pumping crude and natural gas across the US and abroad. Its stock has been climbing steadily alongside strength in energy prices, and unlike many peers it is still gaining strength rather than looking stretched. The main risk is that a drop in oil prices or a broad market pullback could quickly erase this momentum.

Stop-loss$115.84-8.1%
Today's price$126.05
Target$132.35+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$919 if the stop-loss is hit (-8.1%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 73%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price is already 4.6% above the upper Bollinger Band (126.05 vs 128.13 midpoint context aside, price sits well above the 120.21 mid-band and near the 128.13 upper band), leaving little room before mean-reversion pressure builds after a 9.9% 30-day spike.
  • Volume of 612,557 shares is thin for a large-cap E&P, raising the risk that the +6.8% 5-day momentum leg was driven by low-liquidity price action rather than durable institutional accumulation.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 73% (raw model estimate: 65%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
62%
+0.4%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
66%
High
Nova
—
—
No company-specific catalyst found in the news; the price strength isn't tied to a confirmed recent event
Orion
58%
Medium
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#2 CPAYCorpay, Inc.
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 73%

Corpay runs corporate payment and fuel-card programs used by businesses to manage expenses. The stock has been on a strong, steady climb and continues to outperform the broader market with healthy, not overheated, technical readings. The key risk is a pullback in corporate spending or a reversal of the current rally in payments stocks.

Stop-loss$378.70-8.3%
Today's price$412.98
Target$435.18+5.4%
Agents estimate: $436.73 (+0.4% vs target)
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,054 if the target hits (+5.4%)
▼$917 if the stop-loss is hit (-8.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 73%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Reported volume of just 16,359 shares is extremely thin for a stock priced above $400 and up 12.9% in 30 days, making the OBV/MACD confirmation less reliable and the move more susceptible to a sharp reversal on normal volume.
  • At $412.98 the stock is only 3.05% below its 52-week high after a 12.9% run, meaning most of the anticipated re-rating from the raised guidance may already be priced in, leaving limited fresh upside for a further 5% gain.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 73% (raw model estimate: 71%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
61%
+1.4%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
76%
Very High
Nova
—
—
News mentioned only broad chip-sector headlines, nothing specific to Corpay's own business
Orion
73%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#3 STTState Street Corporation
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 73%

State Street is one of the world's largest custody banks, safeguarding and servicing trillions of dollars in institutional assets. Its shares have quietly built a steady uptrend, riding the broader rally in financial stocks toward new highs. The main risk is that this move has a bit less performance cushion than other names, so it could stall if bank stocks lose favor.

Stop-loss$180.26-6.9%
Today's price$193.63
Target$203.31+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$931 if the stop-loss is hit (-6.9%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 73%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI(14) at 69.63 is at the very edge of overbought (70), and the price ($193.63) is trading essentially at the upper Bollinger Band (193.03), a classic setup for a near-term pullback rather than continued acceleration.
  • 5-day momentum of only +2.59% versus the 30-day return of +6.14% shows the rally is decelerating, and relative strength versus the market has compressed to just 1.84 points — the weakest outperformance edge of the five picks.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 73% (raw model estimate: 64%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.7:1
58%
+0.7%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
72%
Very High
Blaze
—
—
Solid earnings beat and record assets under management, but a smaller catalyst and steady insider selling made it less compelling than the top picks
Nova
—
—
No confirmed catalyst in the news feed for State Street despite a positive price trend
Orion
61%
High
Quinn
60%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#4 PSXPhillips 66
2/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Strong conviction · 73%

Phillips 66 is an oil refiner that turns crude oil into gasoline, diesel and other fuels. The stock has surged as energy refiners rally broadly and now sits right near a one-year high with strong momentum. The main risk is that it has already run up so fast (15% in a month) that it looks stretched, and several company executives selling shares recently adds to the case for caution.

Stop-loss$216.52-9.0%
Today's price$237.93
Target$249.83+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$910 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.0%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 73%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI(14) at 78.95 is deep in overbought territory (nearly 9 points above the standard 70 threshold), historically the most stretched reading among these picks and a strong technical warning sign of an imminent reversal or consolidation.
  • Price ($237.93) is already above the upper Bollinger Band (234.98) after an 11.69% 5-day sprint, an unsustainable pace that increases the odds of mean reversion eating into the thesis before the 30-day target window closes.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 73% (raw model estimate: 66%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
64%
+0.2%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
—
—
RSI(14) near 79 is deeply overbought, raising the odds of a near-term pullback despite strong momentum
Blaze
—
—
Earnings beat but the stock is already at its 52-week high with an overbought RSI near 79 and heavy executive insider selling, leaving little room for a fresh move
Nova
—
—
News feed showed only generic, unrelated market headlines with no Phillips 66-specific catalyst despite strong price gains
Orion
76%
Very High
Quinn
55%
Medium

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha
#5 GPNGlobal Payments Inc.
2/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10
Strong conviction · 73%

Global Payments processes credit and debit card transactions for merchants and businesses. The stock has jumped sharply as payment processors are named one of the market's strongest current themes, with technical indicators confirming strong upward price momentum. The main risk is that one of our volume-based indicators isn't fully confirming the price rally, which can sometimes be an early warning sign that a move is losing steam.

Stop-loss$82.88-9.6%
Today's price$91.68
Target$96.26+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
▲$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
▼$904 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.6%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 73%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • OBV divergence is explicitly flagged true, and OBV itself is deeply negative (-19,587,455) even as price rallied 17.8% over 30 days — this is a textbook bearish divergence suggesting the price advance is not being confirmed by accumulation volume.
  • The MACD histogram has nearly flattened to just 0.25 (versus COP's 0.73 and PSX's 2.21), signaling fading bullish momentum just as the stock trades near multi-month highs, a warning that the trend may be running out of steam.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 73% (raw model estimate: 67%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
66%
+0.2%
10%

Suggested allocation is half-Kelly sizing guidance capped at 10% — not personal investment advice.

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
65%
High
Blaze
—
—
Nova
—
—
No Global Payments-specific news catalyst found; price gains lack a clear news driver
Orion
68%
Very High
Quinn
—
—
On-balance volume is diverging from the price rally (price rising without volume support), a signal that pulls the probability down to the floor

Data Sources

Yahoo FinanceFinvizMarketWatchSeeking Alpha

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by September 16, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by September 16, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Suggested Allocation
half-Kelly: (Probability ÷ |Max Downside| − (1 − Probability) ÷ Target Gain) ÷ 2, capped at 10%
The Kelly criterion computes the portfolio fraction that maximises long-run growth for a bet with these odds; half-Kelly is the standard hedge against the probability estimate being too optimistic. Uses the calibrated probability where available. 0% means the math sees no edge worth sizing; — means it couldn't be computed.
e.g. 57% probability, +10% target, −13% downside → Kelly ≈ 8.5% of portfolio, half-Kelly ≈ 4.2%.
Generic sizing guidance only — not personal investment advice. Position sizing must reflect your own portfolio, risk tolerance and circumstances.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 503 S&P 500 constituents and short-listed 27 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationAlready held
    Scout: Up 12.6% over 5 days and 15.4% over 30 days, sitting just 0.5% off its 52-week high — strong refining-margin momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-14 runs until 2026-09-13 (28 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • VLOValero Energy CorporationAlready held
    Scout: 9.9% 5-day and 11.7% 30-day gains with price only 0.5% below its 52-week high, confirming a genuine breakout in refiners.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-13 runs until 2026-09-12 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • PSXPhillips 66Picked #4
    Scout: 10.4% 5-day, 15.0% 30-day return and just 0.3% from its 52-week high — the refining trio all confirming the same catalyst.
    Made the final report at #4.
  • COPConocoPhillipsPicked #1
    Scout: Steady 2.5%/9.9% 5- and 30-day gains as crude/upstream names catch a bid alongside refiners.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 9.8% 30-day gain with price essentially at its 52-week high (-0.12%), reflecting strength in brokerage/asset-gathering names.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (73% after calibration)).
  • STTState Street CorporationPicked #3
    Scout: 3.7% 5-day, 6.1% 30-day momentum and only 0.8% from its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • BACBank of America CorporationAlready held
    Scout: 6.2% 30-day gain with price just 0.24% off its 52-week high, showing sustained bank strength.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-13 runs until 2026-09-12 (27 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.Already held
    Scout: 6.8% 30-day return sitting 0.6% from its 52-week high — the largest bank confirming sector momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-07-28 runs until 2026-08-27 (11 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Picked #5
    Scout: 6.4% 5-day and 17.8% 30-day gains, just 4% off its 52-week high — fintech/payments breakout.
    Made the final report at #5.
  • CPAYCorpay, Inc.Picked #2
    Scout: 12.9% 30-day gain with price only 3% below its 52-week high, extending the payments-sector strength.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • NVDANVIDIA CorporationAlready held
    Scout: 11.5% 30-day gain and just 4.4% off its 52-week high — the AI bellwether continuing to lead the group higher.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-06 runs until 2026-09-05 (20 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • ANETArista Networks, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 18.5% 30-day return with price only 7% below its 52-week high, riding AI datacenter networking demand.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #9, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • TERTeradyne, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 17.8% 5-day and 33.5% 30-day surge on strong semiconductor test-equipment demand tied to AI chip volumes.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #7, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcDropped at merge
    Scout: 24.6% 5-day and 26.7% 30-day gains as AI-driven enterprise storage demand lifts hard-drive makers.
    Reward-to-risk 0.38 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -13.2% stop.
  • SNDKSandisk CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Exceptional 43.4% 5-day and 31.0% 30-day momentum on surging NAND/memory pricing tied to AI storage demand.
    Reward-to-risk 0.45 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -11.0% stop.
  • MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.Passed over
    Scout: 12.7% 5-day and 24.6% 30-day gains as custom AI-silicon demand accelerates.
    Blaze: Guidance was raised and results are strong, but the company reports earnings again in about 10 days, squarely inside the holding window, making this more of a binary bet
    Orion: Reports earnings in just 10 days, inside the 30-day window, adding event risk not offset by a strong enough sector-alignment signal.
    Quinn: Wide average trading range implies a downside stop near -14.4%, a weak risk/reward versus the target gain
  • MUMicron Technology, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 17.8% 5-day and 19.5% 30-day return as memory pricing tailwinds continue across the group.
    Reward-to-risk 0.46 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.25% target against a -11.5% stop.
  • HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise CompanyPassed over
    Scout: 26.1% 30-day gain on strength in AI server/infrastructure orders.
    Aria: Earnings arrive in just 16 days, inside the holding window, adding event risk on top of an already large one-month move
    Blaze: Guidance was raised and the beat was large, but earnings land again in about two weeks, adding binary-event risk inside the 30-day window
    Orion: Reports earnings in about two weeks, inside the holding window, and server hardware isn't a precise match to the news-confirmed AI-supply-chain subsegments.
  • CIENCiena CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 14.5% 5-day and 18.6% 30-day momentum as optical-networking capex tied to AI datacenters accelerates.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #8, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • LITELumentum Holdings Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 17.0% 5-day and 29.9% 30-day surge on optical-component demand from AI infrastructure buildouts.
    Reward-to-risk 0.42 is below the 0.50 minimum — a +5.00% target against a -12.0% stop.
  • COHRCoherent Corp.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 23.2% 30-day gain as photonics/optical demand for AI networking continues to build.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #10, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies CorporationAlready held
    Scout: 15.3% 30-day gain with price just 1.5% off its 52-week high — steady industrial/rail momentum.
    Already held: a position opened 2026-07-29 runs until 2026-08-28 (12 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • URIUnited Rentals, Inc.Liquidity filter
    Scout: 10.7% 30-day return and only 1.9% below its 52-week high, reflecting resilient construction/industrial demand.
    20-day average daily volume 498,435 shares is below the 500,000-share liquidity floor.
  • MRKMerck & Co., Inc.Already held
    Scout: 4.1% 5-day and 6.9% 30-day gain with price essentially at its 52-week high (-0.25%).
    Already held: a position opened 2026-08-12 runs until 2026-09-11 (26 day(s) left). Re-picking it would concentrate the portfolio, not diversify it.
  • FOXAFox CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 8.3% 5-day and 20.3% 30-day gain on strong recent media-sector momentum.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (73% after calibration)).
  • WDAYWorkday, Inc.Passed over
    Scout: 5.7% 5-day and 34.5% 30-day return as enterprise software names rebound sharply.
    Nova: No Workday-specific catalyst found despite an earnings date in 10 days; current move lacks a confirmed news driver
    Orion: Enterprise software isn't one of the sectors the current rotation favors, and it reports earnings in 10 days, inside the holding window.
  • DASHDoorDash, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 3.4% 5-day and 17.8% 30-day gain on sustained delivery-platform momentum.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #6, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.