AI Stock Picks — S&P 500

Monday, July 13, 2026  ·  Five AI analysts screened this index for stocks with the best shot at gaining +5% within 30 days

Today's Market Mood

Optimistic  Normal choppiness · VIX 15.0

The market shows a broad, high-conviction rally with dozens of S&P 500 names posting outsized single-day gains alongside strongly positive 5-day and 30-day returns, concentrated in bank/financial earnings beats, energy refiners, rail transports, and AI-infrastructure names. Many leaders are trading within 1-3% of their 52-week highs, indicating genuine sustained momentum rather than a one-day spike, though some of the largest single-day pops warrant a normal post-earnings pullback risk.

Bank and asset-manager earnings season beats (JPM, BAC, USB, PNC, STT, NTRS, MTB, RF, BNY, SCHW, AMP) lifting financials broadly to near 52-week highsEnergy refiners (VLO, MPC, PSX) rallying on strong crack spreads while upstream E&P names lagRail and freight transports (NSC, UNP, CSX) grinding to fresh highs on steady demandAI/networking infrastructure momentum continuing in ANET, META, AMD, and related semi/hardware namesHealthcare diagnostics and services strength (CRL, TECH, DVA) on company-specific catalysts
Behind the scenes: how each AI analyst did
Aria
7 picks
Blaze
6 picks
Nova
3 picks
Orion
7 picks
Quinn
22 picks

5 Stock Picks

#1 ANETArista Networks, Inc.
4/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Very strong conviction · 78%

Arista Networks makes high-speed networking switches used by cloud computing and AI data centers. Its stock has surged over the past month and continues to outperform the broader market, suggesting strong investor excitement about AI infrastructure spending. The main risk is that a major early investor and other insiders have been steadily selling shares, and the stock could pull back if AI-spending enthusiasm cools.

Stop-loss$166.77-10.8%
Today's price$186.96
Target$196.31+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$892 if the stop-loss is hit (-10.8%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 78%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • Price ($186.96) is now trading above its own upper Bollinger Band ($184.56) while sitting just 1.51% below its 52-week high — a statistically overbought extension that typically precedes consolidation rather than a fresh leg higher.
  • Nearly the entire 30-day gain came from a single 23.19% gap (prior close $151.76 to $186.96), implying the earnings catalyst is already priced in and leaving less fresh fuel to clear another 5%.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 78% (raw model estimate: 69%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
68%
+0.1%

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
75%
Very High
Blaze
66%
High
Nova
Orion
76%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#2 UNPUnion Pacific Corporation
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Very strong conviction · 78%

Union Pacific operates one of the largest freight railroads in the western United States, hauling everything from grain to automobiles. Its stock is riding a broad rally in transportation stocks, trading near its highs with healthy technical momentum. The main risk is that rail stocks are cyclical and tied to overall economic activity, so any slowdown in shipping volumes or a market-wide pullback could quickly erase the recent gains.

Stop-loss$271.75-5.3%
Today's price$286.96
Target$301.31+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$947 if the stop-loss is hit (-5.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 78%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • RSI at 68.04 is on the doorstep of overbought (70), with price ($286.96) pressed directly against the upper Bollinger Band ($290.53) — very little technical room remains before resistance kicks in.
  • ATR14 of only $5.68 (~2% of price) reflects a historically low-volatility name; sustaining the pace needed to add another net 5% without giving back gains looks like a stretch given that volatility profile.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 78% (raw model estimate: 69%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.9:1
51%
+1.8%

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
72%
Very High
Blaze
Nova
Orion
76%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#3 AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Very strong conviction · 78%

Ameriprise provides financial advice, retirement planning, and asset management to individuals. It's riding the same bank/financial-sector strength as the rest of the group, with one of the best relative-strength readings in the group and more room to run before hitting its 52-week high. The main risk is that it's already up sharply over the past month, so some of the good news may already be priced in.

Stop-loss$467.74-7.7%
Today's price$506.76
Target$532.10+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$923 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.7%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 78%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • The 50-day SMA ($464.99) is still below the 200-day SMA ($473.16) despite the rally — no golden cross has formed, so the longer-term trend structure remains bearish underneath the short-term momentum story.
  • Price ($506.76) is already close to the upper Bollinger Band ($512.79) with RSI at 66.45, limiting near-term room before the band itself becomes resistance.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 78% (raw model estimate: 62%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.6:1
61%
+0.2%

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
Blaze
Nova
53%
Medium
Orion
73%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#4 BNYThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 4/10  ⚠ Conflicting Signals
Very strong conviction · 78%

BNY Mellon is one of the world's largest custody banks, holding and servicing trillions in client assets. Banks are one of the market's clear leaders right now, and this stock is climbing steadily, sits near its recent high, and doesn't have an imminent earnings date to create surprise volatility. The main risk is that the broader bank rally could stall or reverse if economic data disappoints.

Stop-loss$140.53-7.5%
Today's price$151.92
Target$159.52+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$925 if the stop-loss is hit (-7.5%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 78%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • The MACD histogram is only +0.45 — the thinnest bullish momentum reading among this batch of picks — making the 'crossover' fragile and easily reversible on any pause in buying.
  • Price ($151.92) is already pinned against the upper Bollinger Band ($152.89) and within 2% of its 52-week high, leaving minimal technical runway before hitting resistance.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 78% (raw model estimate: 68%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.7:1
60%
+1.0%

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
Blaze
68%
High
Nova
Orion
76%
Very High
Quinn
60%
Medium
#5 METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
3/5 Agents Agree  Risk 5/10
Very strong conviction · 78%

Meta runs Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp and is pouring money into AI. It beat profit estimates by a wide margin last quarter, and even after its recent rally the stock is still roughly 16% below its 52-week high, suggesting there may be more room to run. The main risks are an earnings report in about two and a half weeks and heavy recent stock selling by top executives.

Stop-loss$606.97-9.3%
Today's price$669.21
Target$702.67+5.0%
If you invested $1,000
$1,050 if the target hits (+5.0%)
$907 if the stop-loss is hit (-9.3%)
The AI puts the chance of the win case at 78%. Not a guarantee — always set the stop-loss.

Why the AI likes it

What could go wrong

⚔ The Skeptic's View — Sage, the Devil's Advocate
  • OBV is deeply negative at -125,099,600 even after a 17.7% rally, meaning cumulative volume flow shows more distribution than accumulation — undercutting the claim that the ~2x average volume reflects buying conviction.
  • Price ($669.21) is trading above its own upper Bollinger Band ($645.38), a statistically overbought extension that raises mean-reversion risk before another 5% move can build.
Show the detailed analysis

Calibrated probability: 78% (raw model estimate: 61%) — adjusted using the accuracy of past resolved picks.

Trade math

0.5:1
65%
-0.6%

What each AI analyst estimated

Aria
Its 50-day average is still below its 200-day average despite the recent surge, and the stock remains well below its 52-week high, suggesting this may be a sharp bounce rather than confirmed sustained momentum.
Blaze
66%
High
Nova
56%
Medium
Orion
Despite a strong recent bounce, the stock remains nearly 16% below its 52-week high, suggesting a recovery rally rather than sustained new-high strength, with earnings risk ahead
Quinn
60%
Medium

Retail Investor Execution Guide

This report identifies stocks with an AI-assessed probability of gaining +5% within 30 calendar days (target exit by August 12, 2026). Picks are ranked by how many independent AI agents agreed — more agreement means higher conviction. The guide below tells you exactly how to act on them.

Step-by-Step Action Plan

  1. Act within one trading day. Prices are freshest now. The longer you wait, the more the entry price drifts away from what the agents analysed.
  2. Verify the entry price. Check the live price before buying. If a stock has already moved more than 3% above the Current Price shown in the report, skip it or wait for a pullback — the risk/reward has shifted.
  3. Use limit orders, not market orders. Set your buy limit at or below the Current Price shown. Chasing with a market order gives brokers and algorithms an advantage over you.
  4. Set your stop-loss immediately after buying. Use the Max Downside % on each pick card as your hard exit level. If the price falls to that level, sell without hesitation — the trade thesis is broken.
  5. Set a take-profit at the Target Price. Place a limit sell order at the Target Price shown. When it fills, the trade is done — resist the urge to hold for more.
  6. Exit all positions by August 12, 2026. This is your hard deadline. If a stock has not hit its target by then, exit anyway. Holding past the window turns a short-term trade into an unsupervised long-term position.
  7. Never add to a losing position. If your stop-loss is hit, exit completely. Averaging down turns a small, controlled loss into a potentially large one.

Position Sizing by Conviction Tier

Size each position according to the coloured border on its pick card. Cap your total exposure across all picks from this report at 25% of your overall trading budget.

Agents Agreeing What It Means Max Allocation Per Pick
5/5 Highest conviction — all five independent analytical checks passed Up to 10%
4/5 Very high conviction — four of five independent checks aligned Up to 8%
3/5 High conviction — three agents independently agreed Up to 6%
2/5 Moderate conviction — two agents independently agreed Up to 4%
1 Agent Speculative — solo pick, admitted only at Very High confidence Up to 2%

The Three Exit Rules

These picks are generated by AI agents for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Probability estimates reflect the agents' analytical models — they are not guarantees of any outcome. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Markets can and do move against even well-researched trades. Always conduct your own research, and consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser before placing any orders. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Understanding the Numbers

A plain-English guide to every figure shown on each pick card — what it means, how it is calculated, and what a good or bad value looks like.

AI Conviction Meter
Estimated probability of hitting the target, shown as a 5-bar gauge
The filled bars and label translate the AI's probability estimate into plain language: 75%+ is Very strong, 60–74% Strong, 50–59% Moderate, below 50% Cautious. Where enough past picks have been resolved, the probability is calibrated against the AI's real track record.
e.g. "Moderate conviction · 58%" — the AI thinks this trade works slightly more often than a coin flip.
✓ More filled bars = more confidence — but even Very strong picks fail sometimes; always size positions accordingly.
If You Invested $1,000
$1,000 × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)  /  $1,000 × (1 + Max Downside ÷ 100)
The same Target Gain and Max Downside percentages expressed in concrete money terms for a $1,000 position — what you'd have if the target hits versus if your stop-loss is triggered.
e.g. +10% target and −12.3% stop → $1,100 on a win, $877 on a stopped-out loss.
✓ Scales linearly — a $500 position sees half these amounts, a $2,000 position double.
Current Price
Market price at time of analysis
The stock's price when this report was generated. All other figures on the card are calculated from this reference point.
e.g. $215.20 — check the live price before placing an order; if it has moved more than ~3%, re-evaluate the risk/reward.
✓ No positive/negative distinction — it is simply your cost basis.
Target Price
Current Price × (1 + Target Gain ÷ 100)
The price the agents project the stock could reach within the time window. This is your take-profit level — place a limit sell order here after buying.
e.g. $215.20 × 1.085 = $233.49 target on an 8.5% pick.
✓ Always above Current Price — this tool only selects upside candidates.
Target Gain
(Target Price − Current Price) ÷ Current Price × 100
The percentage return you would earn if the stock hits its Target Price from your entry. Set by the run parameters — every pick in this report targets the same percentage.
e.g. +8.5% means a $100 stock has a $108.50 target; a $500 stock has a $542.50 target.
✓ Always positive — picks are upside-only. A larger % means a bigger move is required.
Max Downside
Estimated stop-loss level, as % below entry
The worst-case loss the agents estimated if the thesis fails — based on key support levels and recent volatility. Use this as your hard stop-loss. If the price falls to this level, exit immediately; the trade thesis is broken.
e.g. −12.0% means: if you bought at $100, sell if it drops to $88.00.
⚠ Always negative. A smaller magnitude (e.g. −5%) = tighter risk. A larger magnitude (e.g. −20%) = more room to fall before you exit — riskier.
Reward : Risk
Target Gain ÷ |Max Downside|
How much you could gain for every dollar you are risking. A ratio of 2.0:1 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 at risk. Higher is better.
e.g. 8.5% gain ÷ 12% downside = 0.7:1 (unfavourable). 10% gain ÷ 5% downside = 2.0:1 (good).
✓ ≥ 2.0:1 is strong. ⚠ < 1.0:1 means you are risking more than you could gain — approach with caution.
Breakeven Win Rate
|Max Downside| ÷ (Target Gain + |Max Downside|) × 100
The minimum percentage of trades at this reward:risk that must succeed for you to break even over time — regardless of how good your stock picking is.
e.g. 12 ÷ (8.5 + 12) = 59% — you need roughly 6 in 10 trades to win just to avoid losing money.
✓ Lower is better — ≤ 35% means even a poor win rate is survivable. ⚠ ≥ 55% means you need most trades to work out.
Expected Value
(Probability% × Target Gain%) + ((1 − Probability%) × Max Downside%)
The average return per trade if the AI's probability estimate is accurate over many similar trades. A positive Expected Value means the trade has a mathematical edge; a negative value means the math works against you on average, even if you sometimes win.
e.g. 65% × +8.5% + 35% × −12% = +1.3% EV. Over 100 similar trades you would expect an average gain of 1.3% per trade.
✓ Positive = edge in your favour over many trades. ⚠ Negative = the math loses money on average — even if individual wins feel good. Note: EV is only as reliable as the probability estimate.
Every stock Scout considered — and why each was discarded

Scout scanned 503 S&P 500 constituents and short-listed 28 candidates for deep analysis by the five analysts. Here is what happened to each one.

  • ANETArista Networks, Inc.Picked #1
    Scout: 5-day return of +16.9% and 30-day return of +19.5% with the stock only 1.5% off its 52-week high, reflecting sustained AI-networking demand momentum.
    Made the final report at #1.
  • AAPLApple Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: Steady uptrend with a 30-day return of +6.7% and just 0.7% off its 52-week high, showing consistent institutional accumulation.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #13, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.Passed over
    Scout: Large earnings-driven jump plus a +7.3% 30-day return, trading only 2% below its 52-week high.
    Aria: Passed the screen but its MACD trend is slightly negative and it reports earnings tomorrow, adding uncertainty on top of picks already covering the bank sector.
    Blaze: Reports earnings tomorrow — buying right before an unknown Q2 result is too close to a coin flip to call a 30-day thesis
    Nova: Recent momentum is weak (5-day return just 0.6%) and the company reports earnings tomorrow, adding binary event risk right at the start of the holding period
    Orion: Earnings report tomorrow adds outsized event risk right at the start of the holding window, and momentum is weaker than other financials reviewed
    Quinn: No qualifying setup — RSI, Bollinger squeeze, and golden cross conditions all failed, and the MACD histogram is negative, signaling fading momentum.
  • BACBank of America CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: Earnings-related surge with an +8.2% 30-day return and just 1.9% off its 52-week high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #7, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • USBU.S. BancorpDropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +8.3% with the stock within 1.6% of its 52-week high, indicating a genuine earnings-driven breakout.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #12, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +7.7%, trading just 1.6% below its 52-week high on strong regional bank earnings sentiment.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • STTState Street CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return of +5.6% and 30-day return of +9.3%, only 1.7% off its 52-week high.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • NTRSNorthern Trust CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +7.5% with the stock essentially at its 52-week high (-1.1%), showing strong sustained momentum.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #8, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • MTBM&T Bank CorporationPassed over
    Scout: 30-day return of +6.4%, trading just 0.5% off its 52-week high — one of the strongest momentum setups in regional banks.
    Aria: Its 5-day momentum turned slightly negative, failing the momentum screen despite a positive 30-day trend.
    Nova: 5-day price momentum is essentially flat to slightly negative despite the large monthly gain, suggesting the move has already stalled
    Orion: Recent momentum has flattened and turned slightly negative over the last 5 days despite the sector tailwind
    Quinn: MACD histogram is negative and no other setup condition (oversold RSI, squeeze, golden cross) was met, so no qualifying quantitative setup exists.
  • RFRegions Financial CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +7.4% with the stock only 1.6% below its 52-week high.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • BNYThe Bank of New York Mellon CorporationPicked #4
    Scout: 30-day return of +6.9%, just 2% off its 52-week high on solid earnings sentiment.
    Made the final report at #4.
  • SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return of +6.3% and 30-day return of +16.3% on an apparent earnings/asset-growth beat, still only 4% off its high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #14, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.Picked #3
    Scout: 30-day return of +12.5% following an apparent earnings beat, with sustained upward momentum.
    Made the final report at #3.
  • NSCNorfolk Southern CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +5.5%, virtually at its 52-week high (-0.3%), reflecting steady freight demand strength.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • UNPUnion Pacific CorporationPicked #2
    Scout: 30-day return of +7.0%, just 0.7% off its 52-week high on consistent rail volume strength.
    Made the final report at #2.
  • CSXCSX CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +4.3%, trading just 0.5% below its 52-week high alongside sector-wide rail strength.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • VLOValero Energy CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return of +4.8% and 30-day return of +9.8%, just 2.2% off its 52-week high on strong refining margins.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #6, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationDropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return of +6.5% and 30-day return of +8.8%, only 1.2% off its 52-week high.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #9, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • PSXPhillips 66Dropped at merge
    Scout: 5-day return of +6.8%, trading just 2.4% off its 52-week high on refining sector tailwinds.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • CRLCharles River Laboratories International, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +24.1% and only 1.9% off its 52-week high following a major company-specific catalyst.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • TECHBio-Techne CorporationPassed over
    Scout: 30-day return of +32.0%, just 1.2% off its 52-week high, one of the strongest sustained moves in the index.
    Aria: RSI is deep in overbought territory after a huge one-day price spike, and trading volume isn't confirming the rally — both warning signs of a pullback.
    Blaze: Revenue and adjusted EPS both declined year-over-year with a slight earnings miss — a genuine negative fundamental finding despite the huge stock rally
    Nova: Extremely overbought (RSI 76) with momentum stalling over the last 5 days and a mixed recent earnings track record
    Quinn: RSI at 76.4 is close to overbought and on-balance volume diverges from the sharp 32% one-month rally, signaling the move isn't confirmed by volume.
  • DVADaVita Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +14.2%, only 2.9% off its 52-week high on continued healthcare-services strength.
    Only Quinn selected this stock — Quinn solo picks require High or Very High confidence and at least 60% probability (this pick: Medium, 60% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • EGEverest Group, Ltd.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +10.2%, trading just 2.3% below its 52-week high on solid insurance-sector momentum.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #10, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • GLGlobe Life Inc.Passed over
    Scout: 30-day return of +8.5%, only 1.8% off its 52-week high.
    Aria: Its 5-day momentum turned negative, so it failed the momentum screen even though the 30-day trend was positive.
    Nova: 5-day momentum has turned negative and technical indicators show weakening trend strength after the initial jump
    Quinn: MACD histogram is negative and on-balance volume shows a bearish divergence; no qualifying setup triggered.
  • AIZAssurant, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +7.9%, just 1.8% off its 52-week high amid broad insurance-sector strength.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #15, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • ABNBAirbnb, Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +13.6%, only 1.1% off its 52-week high, showing renewed travel-demand momentum.
    Qualified on merit but ranked #11, outside the 5-pick limit for this run.
  • WELLWelltower Inc.Dropped at merge
    Scout: 30-day return of +9.9%, trading just 3.1% off its 52-week high on healthcare-REIT strength.
    Only Blaze selected this stock — single-agent picks require Very High confidence and at least 70% probability (this pick: High, 69% raw (78% after calibration)).
  • METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Picked #5
    Scout: 5-day return of +14.8% and 30-day return of +17.7%, reflecting strong AI-driven momentum despite being further from its 52-week high.
    Made the final report at #5.

Agent Analytical Approaches

Aria

Momentum & Technical

Checks 30-day price history for every candidate before making any selection. Requires positive period return and positive 5-day momentum as mandatory gates. Ranks picks by proximity to their period high and adjusts probability based on volume. Uses news only to rule out major negative catalysts.

Blaze

Fundamental & Earnings

Searches earnings results, analyst upgrades, and revenue trends before checking price data. Requires at least one verifiable fundamental catalyst — earnings beat, analyst upgrade, or revenue acceleration — within the last 60 days. Favours stocks with strong fundamentals trading below recent highs (value entry).

Nova

News Catalyst & Event-Driven

Hunts for specific events within the last 21 days: FDA approvals, major contract wins, product launches, earnings surprises, or significant analyst upgrades. Requires a positive price reaction confirming the market is recognising the catalyst. Also scans for upcoming events that could drive further gains.

Orion

Macro & Sector Rotation

Maps the macroeconomic regime (risk-on / risk-off / neutral) and identifies sectors benefiting from current conditions before looking at individual stocks. Only selects stocks from macro-aligned sectors with confirmed sector tailwinds. Adjusts for interest rate sensitivity and geopolitical factors.

Sage

Devil's Advocate

Reviews the final picks after all four analysts agree and actively challenges each bull thesis. Searches for bearish technical signals, negative news, insider selling, and elevated short interest that the agreeing agents may have underweighted. Produces evidence-based counter-arguments shown on each pick card.

Quinn

Quantitative / Statistical

Pure-quant analyst: no news, no narrative, only numbers. Identifies mean-reversion setups from RSI extremes (<35) with momentum turning, Bollinger squeeze breakouts, and multi-factor quant scores using RSI, MACD, OBV, short interest, and insider transaction data. Counterbalances narrative bias across the four analyst agents.